Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$678

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved

884

Trades

2,313

lifetime

Volume

$88.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-23 14:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 89% -$115

Other

22% 73% +$636

Politics

9% 64% -$262

Sports

4% 80% +$355

Tech

1% 50% +$63

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	13	$2.0K	1,062	1,062	+0	Yes	+$106	07-23 14:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	7	$1.9K	1,026	1,026	+0	No	+$89	04-01 03:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$1.5K	749	749	+0	No	+$27	07-06 15:22
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	11	$1.5K	803	803	+0	Yes	+$134	02-19 21:21
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$1.4K	1,325	444	+881	Yes	+$180	06-12 22:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$1.2K	611	611	+0	Yes	+$4	06-07 02:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$1.1K	567	567	+0	No	+$32	03-16 14:49
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$1.1K	987	987	+0	Yes	+$48	03-30 06:16
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$1.1K	591	591	+0	Yes	+$89	04-12 21:49
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$984	515	515	+0	Yes	+$37	01-30 16:09
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	12	$902	464	464	+0	No	+$22	06-27 09:20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	1	$900	903	0	+903	Yes	+$3	06-16 23:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 15?	2	$889	449	449	+0	Up	+$9	06-15 16:11
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	8	$872	508	508	-0	Yes	-$3	07-23 14:32
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$865	500	500	+0	No	-$35	03-06 15:59
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$586	715	0	+715	Yes	+$129	04-12 21:50
spx opens up or down on february 9 2026	7	$537	431	356	+75	Down	-$13	02-09 10:51
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	3	$523	285	285	+0	No	+$15	06-23 04:57
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	6	$521	1,079	540	+539	Down	+$29	02-02 14:28
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	1	$511	530	0	+530	No	+$19	01-30 17:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$502	405	405	+0	Yes	-$219	04-07 22:10
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	2	$490	510	0	+510	Yes	+$20	06-12 16:40
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	3	$489	598	0	+598	Seahawks	+$108	02-09 01:12
spy up or down on june 18 2026	1	$483	500	0	+500	Up	+$17	06-18 16:15
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$460	500	0	+500	Yes	+$40	06-22 02:57
spx up or down on june 15 2026	3	$440	458	0	+458	Up	+$18	06-15 13:08
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	1	$440	444	0	+444	Yes	+$4	06-15 03:42
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$415	423	0	+423	No	+$8	03-06 15:59
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$414	600	0	+600	Yes	+$186	02-19 21:22
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$412	414	0	+414	Yes	+$2	03-18 03:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 14:32:42	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1,062	100¢	$1,061	0x9e6322…
07-23 14:32:25	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x670889…
07-13 14:37:17	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x591235…
07-09 06:01:56	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	340	92¢	$313	0x1add1c…
07-09 06:01:16	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x66078f…
07-09 06:00:34	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x0398d7…
07-09 06:00:11	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x8857b4…
07-09 06:00:05	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x2ea0e3…
07-09 05:59:59	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x90e1bd…
07-09 05:59:35	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	65	90¢	$58	0x11200b…
07-07 18:00:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	214	93¢	$200	0x1dd130…
07-07 00:06:43	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	133	91¢	$121	0x89f0db…
07-06 15:23:10	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xa8fe4a…
07-06 15:22:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	749	100¢	$748	0xe2416c…
07-06 15:21:34	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	29	88¢	$26	0xb4d4c0…
07-04 16:26:52	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xd1615a…
07-03 21:03:14	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x4b39b2…
07-03 21:03:14	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x23e4af…
07-03 21:01:26	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xaac774…
07-03 21:01:26	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x05e8fc…
07-03 20:59:08	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	195	77¢	$150	0x014f5d…
07-03 20:58:25	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x45ee55…
07-03 20:57:53	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	187	85¢	$159	0x5eb58a…
07-03 20:48:16	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	382	86¢	$330	0x21100b…
06-27 19:22:28	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x0919a0…
06-27 19:19:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	468	98¢	$460	0x9c8203…
06-27 09:20:56	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	47	100¢	$46	0x919e6c…
06-27 09:07:37	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	170	100¢	$169	0x0ef9aa…
06-27 07:28:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x4b4553…
06-27 07:28:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x265a36…
06-27 07:05:38	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd21690…
06-27 06:24:10	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x346582…
06-27 04:57:28	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x5f6e5a…
06-27 04:46:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x492db2…
06-23 04:59:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x91546b…
06-23 04:58:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0x6c6c96…
06-23 04:58:23	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xa47230…
06-23 04:57:50	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	285	94¢	$269	0x4b8daa…
06-22 16:53:17	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	248	97¢	$240	0x3bdeba…
06-22 16:49:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	BUY	279	89¢	$250	0x67bcab…
06-22 13:27:16	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x3242d6…
06-22 13:15:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0xb08bf8…
06-22 13:06:01	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x495fad…
06-22 13:03:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	133	93¢	$123	0x67753f…
06-22 02:57:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x0b6cb0…
06-21 04:47:41	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xf07204…
06-21 04:46:43	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x52f682…
06-20 20:39:13	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x9eb5cb…
06-20 20:39:02	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	No	SELL	118	61¢	$72	0x2b2c4e…
06-20 20:35:10	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Team Falcons	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x1340b5…
06-20 20:21:58	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Team Falcons	SELL	128	56¢	$72	0xd6b526…
06-20 20:20:37	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Team Falcons	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xc6c4a2…
06-20 20:18:59	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe021c3…
06-20 19:59:04	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9afc23…
06-20 19:58:28	cs2 g1 100t 2026 06 20	100 Thieves	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd65e02…
06-20 19:56:41	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x66dfc8…
06-20 17:11:13	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x2ee7b8…
06-20 17:10:41	Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0x898a4c…
06-20 17:10:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	94¢	$142	0xc73882…
06-20 06:17:20	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0x8ae01a…
06-20 06:12:40	Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xab183c…
06-20 06:09:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0xeec4c1…
06-20 06:08:20	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	86¢	$65	0x5b2485…
06-20 05:26:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xdff90c…
06-20 05:24:17	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x8ad2cf…
06-20 05:17:11	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x556296…
06-19 23:57:40	Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x905ed7…
06-19 02:53:50	Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x630806…
06-19 02:48:49	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x09872b…
06-18 21:35:28	val srb adg 2026 06 18	Shopify Rebellion Black	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x70ab17…
06-18 21:19:01	val srb adg 2026 06 18	Shopify Rebellion Black	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x78d220…
06-18 16:15:52	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	500	97¢	$483	0x87c570…
06-18 01:21:37	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	412	92¢	$379	0x6003fd…
06-17 18:46:11	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	47	56¢	$26	0xa595db…
06-17 16:26:02	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x7efc72…
06-17 15:56:32	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	430	93¢	$400	0x33c91a…
06-16 23:45:35	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	903	100¢	$900	0xd064df…
06-16 21:49:29	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	No	SELL	222	88¢	$196	0x8e9fb9…
06-16 05:38:37	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x382d41…
06-16 05:38:16	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	460	87¢	$400	0x75b285…
06-15 23:24:58	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	No	SELL	233	57¢	$133	0xabd14e…
06-15 22:31:42	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x6659b0…
06-15 19:20:10	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 15?	Yes	SELL	55	44¢	$24	0x7edd3a…
06-15 17:48:16	spy closes above 755 on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	55	65¢	$36	0x93a428…
06-15 17:47:28	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x813db8…
06-15 16:13:51	spy closes above 750 on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0x08c8dd…
06-15 16:11:31	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Up	SELL	449	100¢	$449	0x8a65c0…
06-15 16:10:37	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 15?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xd2fc93…
06-15 13:08:10	spx up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0x655842…
06-15 13:07:28	spx up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	251	97¢	$243	0x936535…
06-15 12:58:15	spx up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	67	95¢	$64	0xd16fdf…
06-15 03:50:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 15?	Up	BUY	449	98¢	$440	0x9ef15c…
06-15 03:42:18	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	444	99¢	$440	0x9be2ea…
06-12 22:45:00	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	881	81¢	$712	0xcae3a5…
06-12 16:40:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	198	79¢	$156	0x34817a…
06-12 16:40:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x4c444f…
06-12 16:39:36	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	444	81¢	$359	0x3d6d80…
06-12 16:39:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xf1ea36…
06-12 16:38:27	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	302	96¢	$290	0xde16c1…
06-07 02:38:09	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	390	78¢	$305	0x6fdea2…