Dense-Tomato — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$336

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

407

Trades

1,757

lifetime

Volume

$4.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 08-15 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

73% 43% -$151

Politics

22% 70% +$15

Sports

5% 33% -$199

Tech

0% 50% -$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$159	245	0	+245	Knicks	-$159	06-13 15:34
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 12?	12	$134	125	125	+0	Yes	+$115	05-13 02:06
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	14	$134	154	129	+25	Yes	+$12	08-05 06:00
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	9	$129	305	305	+0	Yes	-$70	03-27 09:40
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	8	$112	60	60	-0	No	+$2	08-11 03:34
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	16	$106	131	15	+116	Yes	+$32	06-05 01:58
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	12	$102	81	40	+41	No	-$37	06-03 16:25
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	8	$97	278	0	+278	No	-$97	03-27 09:48
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	16	$72	66	66	+0	Yes	+$2	08-11 03:34
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	4	$65	33	33	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 00:54
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	6	$65	68	0	+68	Yes	+$3	05-25 20:34
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	8	$50	27	27	+0	Yes	+$2	08-05 01:30
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	5	$49	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	06-03 08:55
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	11	$47	51	51	+0	open	—	08-11 03:34
Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	2	$46	34	34	+0	No	+$14	08-11 03:34
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	7	$46	28	28	+0	open	—	08-11 03:35
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	6	$44	49	5	+44	Yes	+$10	08-08 15:56
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	15	$43	63	63	+0	No	+$21	07-31 22:27
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	8	$41	28	18	+9	No	+$1	08-05 01:28
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-23 13:45
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$40	114	0	+114	Thunder	-$40	05-25 03:19
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?	1	$40	108	0	+108	Yes	-$40	07-21 10:05
will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	3	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-08 12:01
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	5	$35	36	0	+36	Yes	+$1	06-04 00:55
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 9?	16	$34	45	0	+45	No	+$11	05-09 08:02
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	2	$34	35	0	+35	Yes	+$1	07-23 02:53
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on May 14?	6	$33	20	20	+0	Yes	+$4	05-14 05:50
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	08-05 01:26
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	4	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	+$1	07-23 13:55
will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	6	$29	35	0	+35	Yes	+$6	07-31 16:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 17:39:04	Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x420b77…
08-11 10:02:33	Will Brayden Myer be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	239	0¢	$0	0xb9b25a…
08-11 09:55:52	Will Brayden Myer be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x30c4ba…
08-11 09:54:48	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x789721…
08-11 09:54:43	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x10c1af…
08-11 03:35:45	Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0xdf4160…
08-11 03:35:40	Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x100342…
08-11 03:35:34	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	SELL	17	21¢	$4	0x64eee7…
08-11 03:35:21	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x0ec36c…
08-11 03:35:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x51a5c8…
08-11 03:35:07	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xafea31…
08-11 03:35:04	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x5ecee1…
08-11 03:34:55	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	37	27¢	$10	0x847ac1…
08-11 03:34:52	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	32	57¢	$18	0x282b2b…
08-11 03:34:45	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	51	49¢	$25	0x1490b8…
08-11 03:34:37	Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0x6bb782…
08-11 03:34:30	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0xca1ccd…
08-11 02:10:06	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc5a410…
08-10 15:49:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xdb016e…
08-10 13:42:55	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x75b986…
08-10 09:30:46	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x98aecb…
08-09 08:20:12	Will Brayden Myer be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x81c2d0…
08-09 08:20:12	Will Brayden Myer be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x73fd42…
08-09 07:50:28	Will Brayden Myer be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x4747e3…
08-09 07:06:21	Will Brayden Myer be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x96695a…
08-09 07:06:21	Will Brayden Myer be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5a0470…
08-09 07:06:21	Will Brayden Myer be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	71	0¢	$0	0x157c68…
08-08 22:10:30	Will Brayden Myer be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xdbba40…
08-08 22:00:30	Will Cindy Werner be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	115	0¢	$0	0x1f1fab…
08-08 22:00:28	Will Brayden Myer be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xff6752…
08-08 22:00:28	Will Brayden Myer be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x267054…
08-08 15:56:01	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xce027e…
08-08 15:24:58	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x9d412c…
08-08 12:45:19	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x3fe41f…
08-08 12:17:43	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc587ff…
08-08 12:01:10	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x53e69e…
08-08 11:53:51	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd42bde…
08-08 09:37:03	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x9cc4ed…
08-07 12:55:34	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x215962…
08-07 12:54:51	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xf8a5c4…
08-07 10:17:07	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x17c686…
08-07 09:33:21	Will Cindy Werner be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	385	0¢	$1	0x29bee7…
08-07 09:32:40	Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x3eb24a…
08-07 09:32:36	Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x976242…
08-07 04:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x9a5e4e…
08-07 04:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6c712b…
08-07 04:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb327af…
08-07 04:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x387804…
08-07 04:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc6dd85…
08-07 01:26:51	Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9bf56a…
08-06 20:36:38	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x47d09b…
08-06 20:17:06	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x68e670…
08-06 20:17:02	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb6a9a9…
08-06 19:38:17	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x501b12…
08-06 17:07:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7b456b…
08-06 17:03:03	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb9b0e1…
08-06 16:20:38	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xfecb4d…
08-06 15:52:17	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd696e2…
08-06 15:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6112a3…
08-06 13:39:41	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x2aa826…
08-06 13:13:20	will trump post china on truth social this week 20260731171732970	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x772d9e…
08-06 12:53:08	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x979aa3…
08-06 10:29:42	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x903cd8…
08-06 10:10:12	Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x867b27…
08-06 09:06:12	Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x904059…
08-06 03:10:06	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xf50ad0…
08-05 23:50:50	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1dd4c2…
08-05 16:32:44	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9dbf15…
08-05 16:00:41	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3f514d…
08-05 06:00:00	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x5f02e6…
08-05 05:57:48	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x75eda4…
08-05 03:46:27	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	15	90¢	$13	0xd932dc…
08-05 03:36:20	will ken vaz advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014641	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x15ac86…
08-05 03:31:32	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xfd27ac…
08-05 03:31:30	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xe4e74d…
08-05 03:30:50	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x52d9bb…
08-05 03:29:29	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xc3aa11…
08-05 03:16:14	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x1f46b7…
08-05 03:11:42	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x743d54…
08-05 02:58:20	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xec27e7…
08-05 02:40:35	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xd7d543…
08-05 01:30:23	Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xa7789c…
08-05 01:28:53	Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa1931e…
08-05 01:26:57	Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8793a5…
08-05 01:26:53	Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x79de21…
08-05 01:26:45	Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xae521a…
08-05 01:23:38	Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xebc6a3…
08-05 01:18:24	Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xd499c3…
08-05 01:18:24	Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x60e8e4…
08-05 01:18:24	Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x1b7b6b…
08-05 01:18:24	Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x14e649…
08-05 00:39:14	Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c1ad8…
08-05 00:32:39	Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xb857ed…
08-05 00:32:39	Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x378818…
08-04 22:13:30	Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x486bf5…
08-04 13:44:21	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x1b3c05…
08-04 02:00:56	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x923d7f…
08-03 18:34:42	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x98a500…
08-03 18:07:50	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd23e34…
08-03 17:37:59	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xce94ac…