Deserted-Alley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.9%

Resolved

141

Trades

480

lifetime

Volume

$474

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-01 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

68% 13% -$4

Politics

23% 12% -$1

Crypto

7% 18% +$0

Sports

2% 0% $0

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	37	$37	32	32	+0	No	-$1	02-18 00:43
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	12	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	07-21 01:45
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	07-02 03:36
Human moon landing in 2026?	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	07-04 01:15
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	06-16 09:49
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-10 01:36
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	03-17 03:46
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	7	$8	5	4	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 01:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$8	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	01-20 09:06
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-23 01:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-25 03:12
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-17 09:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	04-08 06:06
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 01:10
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$6	4	4	+0	No	$0	02-12 23:56
Trump out as President before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-17 01:22
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	08-01 07:04
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	No	$0	05-13 02:25
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-30 01:53
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 00:09
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-24 07:01
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-16 01:22
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-30 01:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 02:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-09 02:20
Will Alberta join the US?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 09:08
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-10 01:35
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 07:30
Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-16 00:59
Will Quantinuum's market cap be less than $10B at market close on IPO day?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-04 10:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 07:05:47	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x931535…
08-01 07:04:59	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe8c351…
08-01 06:40:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5f9d0b…
08-01 06:31:05	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcfd90c…
07-31 02:13:39	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6aaa8c…
07-31 02:13:08	Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3c8e36…
07-31 02:02:23	Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xca4dd7…
07-31 02:01:02	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdeb88f…
07-30 01:51:11	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1aade3…
07-30 01:50:53	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x825a9e…
07-30 01:24:54	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c1135…
07-30 01:22:50	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f4149…
07-28 01:57:46	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556652	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xceb9c9…
07-28 01:57:30	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x118fb5…
07-28 01:30:24	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf6217b…
07-28 01:29:13	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556652	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf41ba4…
07-25 09:51:09	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd1da0d…
07-25 09:50:39	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa91153…
07-25 09:36:58	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x561dc2…
07-25 09:36:22	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x99e0f7…
07-23 01:59:13	Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x32abfc…
07-23 01:58:42	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcfa7ad…
07-23 01:35:04	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1ffb95…
07-23 01:33:01	Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf7b052…
07-21 01:45:42	Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6317d3…
07-21 01:45:06	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4b93bf…
07-21 01:28:37	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9cb5d5…
07-21 01:20:10	Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4a8dbc…
07-20 03:44:09	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3caf7c…
07-20 03:43:25	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xeeaae0…
07-20 03:28:42	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x832c46…
07-20 03:27:12	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x89c6b2…
07-18 01:11:12	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa79fda…
07-18 01:10:49	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x621bdc…
07-18 00:41:49	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1826b5…
07-18 00:40:18	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8975d5…
07-17 01:22:19	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x587e0e…
07-17 01:21:46	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0a8353…
07-17 01:02:19	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9ec9f0…
07-17 01:01:35	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a52ea…
07-16 00:59:56	Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x892105…
07-16 00:59:10	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc998ba…
07-16 00:58:17	Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3ec3d7…
07-16 00:46:25	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x50696f…
07-16 00:45:20	Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f9956…
07-15 01:56:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x738068…
07-15 01:35:01	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa18f2a…
07-15 01:33:38	Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x143224…
07-14 01:09:04	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd6ff31…
07-14 01:08:41	Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9640fd…
07-14 01:00:43	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xad8f00…
07-14 00:59:32	Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e36f3…
07-13 02:51:19	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc7b57c…
07-13 02:50:50	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x874a86…
07-13 02:34:05	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x99d943…
07-13 02:33:19	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x32e139…
07-11 02:34:22	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc69546…
07-11 02:33:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x679601…
07-11 02:10:46	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x80dd1c…
07-11 02:10:01	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f58dd…
07-10 01:36:13	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6f435a…
07-10 01:35:50	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1fd7cf…
07-10 01:21:40	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x51cb01…
07-10 01:20:47	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x281172…
07-09 00:59:11	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd5c8d8…
07-09 00:58:47	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf6f6f…
07-09 00:48:20	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1c5b52…
07-09 00:47:13	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4e57be…
07-08 01:30:19	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xa53027…
07-08 01:28:38	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa7e239…
07-08 01:09:59	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcaf6eb…
07-08 01:07:43	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0b1e1e…
07-07 01:09:20	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xadeea0…
07-07 01:08:49	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x896d3f…
07-07 00:57:19	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26a2c5…
07-07 00:56:22	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x105aa3…
07-06 02:16:37	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3b648d…
07-06 02:15:47	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x75290e…
07-06 02:00:37	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf34bf…
07-06 01:59:26	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb34c43…
07-04 01:15:52	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8c20b9…
07-04 01:15:22	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4abc1d…
07-04 01:05:16	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5a975f…
07-04 01:04:38	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x41b2dd…
07-03 02:11:59	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb9a7d6…
07-03 02:11:41	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x46b62b…
07-03 02:01:11	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc495f1…
07-03 02:00:19	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x534680…
07-02 03:36:37	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x111f1d…
07-02 03:36:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9be5f6…
07-02 03:30:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa5a4e2…
07-02 03:29:16	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa0299b…
07-02 02:11:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x524555…
07-02 02:10:25	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8abded…
07-02 02:03:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x07221b…
07-02 02:02:16	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x14f3e1…
07-01 00:55:55	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x210351…
07-01 00:55:17	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xec3862…
07-01 00:46:08	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x661f11…
07-01 00:44:34	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd4ff06…