Deserted-Alley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

358

lifetime

Volume

$354

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-25 09:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

68% — —

Politics

22% 0% $-0

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	37	$37	32	32	+0	open	—	02-18 00:43
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-21 01:45
Human moon landing in 2026?	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	07-04 01:15
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-16 09:49
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 03:46
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	7	$8	5	4	+0	open	—	03-11 01:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$8	9	9	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:06
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-02 03:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-25 03:12
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-17 09:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 06:06
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 01:10
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-12 23:56
Trump out as President before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-17 01:22
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	07-23 01:58
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-30 01:53
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 00:09
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 07:01
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-30 01:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:20
Will Alberta join the US?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 09:08
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-10 01:35
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:30
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:29
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 01:30
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 08:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 06:24
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 03:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 06:12
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 09:51:09	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd1da0d…
07-25 09:50:39	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa91153…
07-25 09:36:58	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x561dc2…
07-25 09:36:22	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x99e0f7…
07-23 01:59:13	Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x32abfc…
07-23 01:58:42	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcfa7ad…
07-23 01:35:04	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1ffb95…
07-23 01:33:01	Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf7b052…
07-21 01:45:06	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4b93bf…
07-21 01:28:37	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9cb5d5…
07-20 03:44:09	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3caf7c…
07-20 03:43:25	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xeeaae0…
07-20 03:28:42	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x832c46…
07-20 03:27:12	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x89c6b2…
07-18 01:11:12	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa79fda…
07-18 01:10:49	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x621bdc…
07-18 00:41:49	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1826b5…
07-18 00:40:18	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8975d5…
07-17 01:22:19	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x587e0e…
07-17 01:21:46	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0a8353…
07-17 01:02:19	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9ec9f0…
07-17 01:01:35	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a52ea…
07-16 00:59:10	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc998ba…
07-16 00:46:25	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x50696f…
07-15 01:56:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x738068…
07-15 01:35:01	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa18f2a…
07-14 01:09:04	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd6ff31…
07-14 01:00:43	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xad8f00…
07-13 02:50:50	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x874a86…
07-13 02:33:19	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x32e139…
07-11 02:33:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x679601…
07-11 02:10:46	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x80dd1c…
07-10 01:36:13	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6f435a…
07-10 01:35:50	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1fd7cf…
07-10 01:21:40	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x51cb01…
07-10 01:20:47	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x281172…
07-09 00:58:47	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf6f6f…
07-09 00:48:20	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1c5b52…
07-08 01:30:19	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xa53027…
07-08 01:28:38	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa7e239…
07-08 01:09:59	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcaf6eb…
07-08 01:07:43	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0b1e1e…
07-07 01:08:49	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x896d3f…
07-07 00:57:19	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26a2c5…
07-06 02:16:37	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3b648d…
07-06 02:15:47	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x75290e…
07-06 02:00:37	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf34bf…
07-06 01:59:26	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb34c43…
07-04 01:15:52	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8c20b9…
07-04 01:15:22	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4abc1d…
07-04 01:05:16	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5a975f…
07-04 01:04:38	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x41b2dd…
07-03 02:11:59	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb9a7d6…
07-03 02:11:41	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x46b62b…
07-03 02:01:11	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc495f1…
07-03 02:00:19	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x534680…
07-02 03:36:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9be5f6…
07-02 03:30:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa5a4e2…
07-02 02:11:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x524555…
07-02 02:10:25	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8abded…
07-02 02:03:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x07221b…
07-02 02:02:16	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x14f3e1…
07-01 00:55:55	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x210351…
07-01 00:55:17	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xec3862…
07-01 00:46:08	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x661f11…
07-01 00:44:34	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd4ff06…
06-30 01:53:44	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3f4796…
06-30 01:53:08	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0ed4e2…
06-30 01:26:38	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3f071f…
06-30 01:25:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50a391…
06-27 01:44:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x75aeac…
06-27 01:32:32	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x702011…
06-25 03:12:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x13484a…
06-25 02:42:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x602f34…
06-23 10:18:26	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe18eae…
06-23 10:18:01	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x62d33a…
06-23 10:09:31	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc6fe47…
06-23 10:08:22	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3997ee…
06-22 09:44:19	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x77967e…
06-22 09:43:47	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcadf06…
06-22 09:18:17	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9b441f…
06-22 09:16:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x25a01f…
06-18 10:21:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1cbac8…
06-18 10:20:47	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1feb75…
06-18 10:17:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x36d45e…
06-18 10:16:32	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x850a85…
06-17 09:15:14	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd55ab9…
06-17 08:57:44	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xed8a42…
06-16 09:49:57	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xaba431…
06-16 09:49:31	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x41e6a9…
06-16 09:42:58	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xefc5dc…
06-16 09:41:30	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x58b92c…
06-13 09:09:54	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0fa3aa…
06-13 09:09:07	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe01b75…
06-13 08:55:19	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf66db9…
06-13 08:52:46	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe4bd5d…
06-12 09:50:45	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9a53b2…
06-12 09:50:25	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x13317e…
06-12 09:38:46	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe55991…
06-12 09:37:25	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5179b3…