Deserted-Alley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

306

lifetime

Volume

$302

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-03 02:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

72% — —

Politics

18% 0% $-0

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No		-1	$-1	97¢	$-1	$-0	06-10 10:02
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	84¢	$1	$-0	05-29 09:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	37	$37	32	32	+0	open	—	02-18 00:43
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-16 09:49
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 03:46
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	7	$8	5	4	+0	open	—	03-11 01:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$8	9	9	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:06
Human moon landing in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-03 02:11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-02 03:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-25 03:12
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-17 09:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 06:06
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-12 23:56
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-30 01:53
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 00:09
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 07:01
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-30 01:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:20
Will Alberta join the US?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 09:08
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:30
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:29
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 08:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 06:24
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 03:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 06:12
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:51
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-23 10:18
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-26 10:07
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 03:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 02:25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-02 02:11
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-04 10:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 02:11:59	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb9a7d6…
07-03 02:11:41	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x46b62b…
07-03 02:01:11	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc495f1…
07-03 02:00:19	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x534680…
07-02 03:36:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9be5f6…
07-02 03:30:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa5a4e2…
07-02 02:11:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x524555…
07-02 02:10:25	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8abded…
07-02 02:03:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x07221b…
07-02 02:02:16	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x14f3e1…
07-01 00:55:55	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x210351…
07-01 00:55:17	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xec3862…
07-01 00:46:08	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x661f11…
07-01 00:44:34	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd4ff06…
06-30 01:53:44	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3f4796…
06-30 01:53:08	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0ed4e2…
06-30 01:26:38	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3f071f…
06-30 01:25:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50a391…
06-27 01:44:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x75aeac…
06-27 01:32:32	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x702011…
06-25 03:12:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x13484a…
06-25 02:42:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x602f34…
06-23 10:18:26	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe18eae…
06-23 10:18:01	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x62d33a…
06-23 10:09:31	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc6fe47…
06-23 10:08:22	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3997ee…
06-22 09:44:19	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x77967e…
06-22 09:43:47	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcadf06…
06-22 09:18:17	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9b441f…
06-22 09:16:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x25a01f…
06-18 10:21:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1cbac8…
06-18 10:20:47	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1feb75…
06-18 10:17:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x36d45e…
06-18 10:16:32	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x850a85…
06-17 09:15:14	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd55ab9…
06-17 08:57:44	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xed8a42…
06-16 09:49:57	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xaba431…
06-16 09:49:31	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x41e6a9…
06-16 09:42:58	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xefc5dc…
06-16 09:41:30	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x58b92c…
06-13 09:09:54	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0fa3aa…
06-13 09:09:07	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe01b75…
06-13 08:55:19	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf66db9…
06-13 08:52:46	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe4bd5d…
06-12 09:50:45	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9a53b2…
06-12 09:50:25	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x13317e…
06-12 09:38:46	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe55991…
06-12 09:37:25	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5179b3…
06-11 09:59:33	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xeceebd…
06-11 09:59:09	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xeb920f…
06-11 09:42:39	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac3ccf…
06-11 09:40:40	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd27a19…
06-10 10:02:58	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x22f4e8…
06-10 10:02:33	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x474e43…
06-10 09:48:03	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2aa1e7…
06-09 08:57:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc79278…
06-09 08:57:16	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7dbca7…
06-09 08:47:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbfbe28…
06-09 08:45:58	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd322e6…
06-06 08:55:24	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x65a43b…
06-06 08:53:37	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x82fa25…
06-06 08:39:33	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1638e4…
06-06 08:37:58	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xded746…
06-05 09:08:04	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2b8fdf…
06-05 08:40:42	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x92b726…
06-04 10:09:19	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x59d6c4…
06-04 09:58:49	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf9bc2b…
06-03 08:48:52	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4a3c53…
06-03 08:47:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1adcb4…
06-02 08:31:49	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa0908b…
06-02 08:19:50	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x65d762…
06-01 10:01:48	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcd80f1…
06-01 09:49:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x08acf8…
05-30 03:42:52	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x007319…
05-30 03:37:13	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd235c7…
05-29 09:29:35	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8cc1a2…
05-28 10:38:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa6b0d7…
05-28 10:37:40	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbfe22f…
05-28 10:20:33	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2182be…
05-28 10:19:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x31e014…
05-26 10:07:00	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe4da5d…
05-26 09:55:29	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2c753d…
05-25 09:11:18	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5f0c43…
05-25 09:10:54	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3bb801…
05-25 09:01:58	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc00d20…
05-25 09:01:11	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4508e3…
05-22 07:26:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf65cf2…
05-22 07:08:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd7f52a…
05-21 02:26:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x763dcb…
05-21 02:25:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa12278…
05-21 02:01:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x544948…
05-21 01:57:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x61bd0c…
05-18 02:51:19	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2b414d…
05-18 02:15:18	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5cb85d…
05-09 02:20:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfae36c…
05-09 01:58:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x882f8a…
05-08 01:51:16	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa60a25…
05-08 01:22:51	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x81ff72…
05-07 02:31:59	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x00e3a7…
05-07 01:25:42	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x470f62…