Tidy-Leverage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

310

lifetime

Volume

$308

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-03 02:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

72% — —

Politics

18% 0% $-0

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No		-1	$-1	97¢	$-1	$-0	06-10 10:02
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	84¢	$1	$-0	05-29 09:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	37	$37	31	31	+0	open	—	02-18 00:43
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	11	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	06-18 10:12
Human moon landing in 2026?	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	07-04 01:15
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 03:46
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	7	$8	5	4	+0	open	—	03-11 01:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$8	9	9	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:08
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-02 03:36
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-17 09:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 06:06
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-12 23:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-23 01:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 00:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-25 03:12
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 07:01
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-30 01:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:20
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:30
Will Alberta join the US?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 09:08
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:29
dems or gop larger turnout in texas senate primary	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-05 08:18
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 08:42
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-18 10:11
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 06:24
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 03:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 06:12
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:51
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-23 10:17
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-26 10:06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 03:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 01:15:47	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1c3186…
07-04 01:15:13	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x48897d…
07-04 01:05:11	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x93daa8…
07-04 01:04:34	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x37eff3…
07-03 02:11:56	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x07c481…
07-03 02:11:40	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x495d0b…
07-03 02:01:02	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa663e3…
07-03 02:00:13	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd01b49…
07-02 03:36:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x947f9a…
07-02 03:30:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6f8182…
07-02 02:11:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0d4caa…
07-02 02:10:20	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x805642…
07-02 02:03:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeb18ee…
07-02 02:01:44	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x23e462…
07-01 00:55:43	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8572e5…
07-01 00:55:14	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x772980…
07-01 00:46:02	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x33d515…
07-01 00:44:28	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7d44b4…
06-30 01:53:38	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x66eaad…
06-30 01:53:05	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8bf633…
06-30 01:26:22	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c7728…
06-30 01:25:14	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6d778…
06-27 01:44:32	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2c1baa…
06-27 01:32:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x641909…
06-25 03:12:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x636239…
06-25 02:42:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0bd5cb…
06-23 10:18:25	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb507cb…
06-23 10:17:59	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6d92fb…
06-23 10:09:29	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xba0f72…
06-23 10:08:17	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a4124…
06-22 09:44:17	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xef4472…
06-22 09:43:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9df875…
06-22 09:18:28	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6f4119…
06-22 09:16:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x943c7a…
06-18 10:12:11	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7c168e…
06-18 10:11:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xeef454…
06-18 10:10:41	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6a864…
06-18 10:06:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa934ec…
06-17 09:15:13	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xccf3e2…
06-17 08:57:43	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x35ee4d…
06-16 09:49:54	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfff18a…
06-16 09:49:16	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x306bb7…
06-16 09:42:57	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfd9601…
06-16 09:41:28	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5637b7…
06-13 09:09:46	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1e5ef6…
06-13 09:09:03	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf81970…
06-13 08:58:49	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x22d875…
06-13 08:55:13	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x77f56f…
06-13 08:52:40	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeda7a4…
06-12 09:50:43	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x08103e…
06-12 09:50:25	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xce20ec…
06-12 09:38:40	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4ae3df…
06-12 09:37:24	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c855a…
06-11 09:59:28	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf454c5…
06-11 09:59:03	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x29d2cf…
06-11 09:42:34	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x63fc52…
06-11 09:40:34	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc8f512…
06-10 10:02:57	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb3a853…
06-10 10:02:28	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x63357f…
06-10 09:45:06	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x62eead…
06-09 08:57:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x00dfad…
06-09 08:57:13	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3c7e61…
06-09 08:47:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x593058…
06-09 08:45:51	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd0ecc7…
06-06 08:55:22	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe196d8…
06-06 08:53:36	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x063f44…
06-06 08:39:30	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x62b4be…
06-06 08:37:55	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa070a6…
06-05 09:08:06	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9de5bb…
06-05 08:40:40	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5f8a30…
06-04 10:09:19	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa61e50…
06-04 09:58:48	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x684c40…
06-03 08:48:48	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x79c0fb…
06-03 08:47:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc50859…
06-02 08:31:49	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x79c1c0…
06-02 08:19:46	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf6e768…
06-01 10:01:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x254165…
06-01 09:49:56	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2ff12d…
05-30 03:42:49	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0d3d6d…
05-30 03:37:09	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x85fb6e…
05-29 09:29:33	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2f00fe…
05-28 10:37:58	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb60f15…
05-28 10:37:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf9182a…
05-28 10:20:30	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9886d5…
05-28 10:19:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x222a16…
05-26 10:06:55	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x891bce…
05-26 09:55:20	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe11bce…
05-25 09:11:17	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf7af84…
05-25 09:10:52	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd623dd…
05-25 09:01:58	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbb367d…
05-25 09:01:08	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2193da…
05-23 01:35:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd16adc…
05-23 01:21:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x40de3a…
05-22 07:26:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfc3e20…
05-22 07:08:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x177b48…
05-21 02:26:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x68059a…
05-21 02:25:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4a1f5c…
05-21 02:01:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xed0f09…
05-21 01:57:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b920f…
05-18 02:51:21	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xad5043…