Tidy-Leverage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

362

lifetime

Volume

$360

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-25 09:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

69% — —

Politics

21% 0% $-0

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	37	$37	31	31	+0	open	—	02-18 00:43
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-21 01:45
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	11	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	06-18 10:12
Human moon landing in 2026?	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	07-04 01:15
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 03:46
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	7	$8	5	4	+0	open	—	03-11 01:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$8	9	9	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:08
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-02 03:36
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-17 09:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 06:06
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 01:10
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-12 23:56
Trump out as President before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-17 01:22
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	07-23 01:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-23 01:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 00:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-25 03:12
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 07:01
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-30 01:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:20
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-10 01:35
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:30
Will Alberta join the US?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 09:08
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:29
dems or gop larger turnout in texas senate primary	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-05 08:18
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 01:30
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 08:42
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-18 10:11
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 06:24
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 03:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 09:51:06	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x34331d…
07-25 09:50:40	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xba6262…
07-25 09:36:54	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x98bd0c…
07-25 09:36:19	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6551e2…
07-23 01:59:07	Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8b81eb…
07-23 01:58:39	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x36fb33…
07-23 01:35:01	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc65cc6…
07-23 01:32:57	Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3048c4…
07-21 01:45:00	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x486072…
07-21 01:28:40	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4d94e7…
07-20 03:44:07	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb0dd07…
07-20 03:43:24	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0d822a…
07-20 03:28:30	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc30570…
07-20 03:27:25	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x71d049…
07-18 01:11:10	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x586517…
07-18 01:10:45	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8d7c0c…
07-18 00:41:46	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x97cc0a…
07-18 00:40:16	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x923ee1…
07-17 01:22:17	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc052b8…
07-17 01:21:43	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2f88de…
07-17 01:02:16	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x13968c…
07-17 01:01:32	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ae6ff…
07-16 00:59:07	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa813a6…
07-16 00:46:23	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x389ac6…
07-15 01:56:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf5dc92…
07-15 01:34:58	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5994bc…
07-14 01:09:02	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd20dfe…
07-14 01:00:32	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe9fb20…
07-13 02:50:49	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x41de2d…
07-13 02:33:19	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x23f138…
07-11 02:33:59	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcbca28…
07-11 02:10:41	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd652b…
07-10 01:36:07	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xad4bac…
07-10 01:35:41	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2b5ec3…
07-10 01:21:34	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbc4ccc…
07-10 01:20:40	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbe7464…
07-09 00:58:37	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa6ce7a…
07-09 00:48:14	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7171c…
07-08 01:30:16	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x7a5c11…
07-08 01:28:31	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa68a14…
07-08 01:09:55	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0bd9e2…
07-08 01:07:38	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaec300…
07-07 01:08:38	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x961607…
07-07 00:57:11	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb0ec9…
07-06 02:16:31	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x37c377…
07-06 02:15:44	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xbf0aee…
07-06 02:00:20	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x44f9bc…
07-06 01:59:28	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x77f9dc…
07-04 01:15:47	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1c3186…
07-04 01:15:13	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x48897d…
07-04 01:05:11	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x93daa8…
07-04 01:04:34	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x37eff3…
07-03 02:11:56	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x07c481…
07-03 02:11:40	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x495d0b…
07-03 02:01:02	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa663e3…
07-03 02:00:13	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd01b49…
07-02 03:36:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x947f9a…
07-02 03:30:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6f8182…
07-02 02:11:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0d4caa…
07-02 02:10:20	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x805642…
07-02 02:03:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeb18ee…
07-02 02:01:44	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x23e462…
07-01 00:55:43	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8572e5…
07-01 00:55:14	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x772980…
07-01 00:46:02	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x33d515…
07-01 00:44:28	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7d44b4…
06-30 01:53:38	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x66eaad…
06-30 01:53:05	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8bf633…
06-30 01:26:22	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c7728…
06-30 01:25:14	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6d778…
06-27 01:44:32	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2c1baa…
06-27 01:32:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x641909…
06-25 03:12:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x636239…
06-25 02:42:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0bd5cb…
06-23 10:18:25	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb507cb…
06-23 10:17:59	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6d92fb…
06-23 10:09:29	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xba0f72…
06-23 10:08:17	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a4124…
06-22 09:44:17	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xef4472…
06-22 09:43:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9df875…
06-22 09:18:28	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6f4119…
06-22 09:16:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x943c7a…
06-18 10:12:11	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7c168e…
06-18 10:11:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xeef454…
06-18 10:10:41	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6a864…
06-18 10:06:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa934ec…
06-17 09:15:13	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xccf3e2…
06-17 08:57:43	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x35ee4d…
06-16 09:49:54	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfff18a…
06-16 09:49:16	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x306bb7…
06-16 09:42:57	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfd9601…
06-16 09:41:28	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5637b7…
06-13 09:09:46	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1e5ef6…
06-13 09:09:03	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf81970…
06-13 08:58:49	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x22d875…
06-13 08:55:13	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x77f56f…
06-13 08:52:40	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeda7a4…
06-12 09:50:43	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x08103e…
06-12 09:50:25	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xce20ec…
06-12 09:38:40	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4ae3df…