Needy-Constellation 0x522658…b4b4f5
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Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
241
lifetime
Volume
$901
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$126
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 06-30 08:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
92% — —
Politics
8% 100% +$2
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +716 $24 4¢ $28 +$4 06-26 08:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +402 $21 5¢ $21 +$1 06-30 08:33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +444 $18 4¢ $18 $-0 06-19 06:29
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes +259 $11 6¢ $14 +$4 06-23 17:39
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes -152 $-17 8¢ $-13 +$5 06-22 07:41
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? Yes +611 $16 2¢ $13 $-4 06-22 04:21
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? Yes -200 $-16 6¢ $-12 +$4 06-03 05:30
OPEC dissolves in 2026? Yes +51 $4 6¢ $3 $-0 06-04 17:51
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? Yes -37 $-3 6¢ $-2 +$1 06-09 12:34
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? Yes -22 $-1 4¢ $-1 +$0 06-16 14:40
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? Yes +8 $1 4¢ $0 $-0 05-30 07:45