Realized P&L
+$53
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
90.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
1,366
lifetime
Volume
$24.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$187
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-22 12:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
61% 50% +$56
Sports
24% 40% $-3
Politics
14%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -409 $-66 14¢ $-57 +$9 06-17 23:13
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +301 $43 14¢ $41 $-3 07-19 23:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -44 $-30 42¢ $-18 +$12 07-20 14:46
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes -112 $-12 16¢ $-17 $-5 07-04 16:49
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +310 $30 $15 $-14 06-30 07:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -57 $-14 22¢ $-12 +$1 07-01 15:14
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes -518 $-3 $-10 $-7 07-07 20:55
Will Travis Kelce retire before next season? Yes -239 $-12 $-8 +$3 07-22 12:42
US congress stock trading ban before 2027? Yes +42 $5 11¢ $5 $-1 07-23 02:25
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -12 $-9 20¢ $-2 +$6 06-08 22:07
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +0 $-10 34¢ $0 +$10 06-18 14:13
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +0 $15 30¢ $0 $-15 07-07 20:21
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +0 $2 11¢ $0 $-2 07-21 05:53
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +0 $6 12¢ $0 $-6 06-15 08:38