Realized P&L
+$53
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
90.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
1,328
lifetime
Volume
$24.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$161
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-01 15:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
61% 50% +$56
Sports
25% 40% $-3
Politics
14%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -409 $-66 14¢ $-55 +$11 06-17 23:13
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +100 $49 36¢ $37 $-12 06-29 23:06
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +310 $30 $23 $-7 06-30 07:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -44 $-24 48¢ $-21 +$3 06-30 02:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -57 $-14 24¢ $-14 $-0 07-01 15:14
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes -280 $2 $-5 $-8 06-30 20:46
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -12 $-9 25¢ $-3 +$6 06-08 22:07
Will Travis Kelce retire before next season? Yes +65 $1 $1 +$0 07-01 03:17
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes -5 $4 21¢ $-1 $-5 06-23 09:21
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +0 $-10 34¢ $0 +$10 06-18 14:13
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +0 $6 12¢ $0 $-6 06-15 08:38