Amusing-Noise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

304

lifetime

Volume

$304

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-30 07:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-0

Politics

29% 0% $-0

Crypto

15% 0% $-0

Sports

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No		+1	$1	97¢	$1	$-0	06-06 02:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	9	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	03-16 00:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-26 02:59
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	9	$9	5	4	+1	open	—	06-06 02:00
nothing ever happens microstrategy	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-06 09:24
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	7	$7	3	4	-1	open	—	05-30 00:49
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-27 07:19
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-01 09:07
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-13 01:29
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-24 06:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 06:08
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	06-05 01:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 01:46
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-22 01:12
will ukraine re enter huliaipole by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-06 09:24
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 02:10
north korea missile test by march 31 472	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-13 04:31
crude oil all time high by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 03:43
will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:45
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	05-29 01:24
spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-29 08:28
will solana reach 160 in june 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-18 02:28
will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-09 02:25
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-12 02:23
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-18 02:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 07:27
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 01:04
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-24 09:05
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 01:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-14 01:21
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 09:07:04	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc3df02…
07-01 09:03:46	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0d530e…
06-30 07:55:08	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x135cd3…
06-30 07:54:26	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6e72c0…
06-30 07:47:35	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x23532a…
06-30 07:46:04	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa3df5c…
06-29 07:32:50	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2e0621…
06-29 07:25:10	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5068d3…
06-27 07:06:43	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3d54d1…
06-27 07:06:01	will xrp reach 1pt6 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbd796d…
06-27 06:59:11	will xrp reach 1pt6 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b296b…
06-27 06:56:47	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3de594…
06-26 02:59:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x74afdb…
06-26 02:54:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3046d4…
06-24 01:39:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x185fe5…
06-24 01:36:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x05b569…
06-23 02:05:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8a3122…
06-23 01:57:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x30aa70…
06-22 01:12:46	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x600f58…
06-22 01:07:13	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x932cdc…
06-21 03:00:11	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8d6653…
06-21 02:50:56	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c6960…
06-18 02:28:28	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x56fe98…
06-18 02:27:52	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe79fd0…
06-18 02:17:41	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb2c329…
06-18 02:14:43	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb292a5…
06-17 02:20:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x23ceb2…
06-17 02:06:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf87a5d…
06-16 01:26:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x44c5bd…
06-16 01:21:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7b63d3…
06-15 03:07:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x93875f…
06-15 03:06:30	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x439918…
06-13 01:29:52	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7dda37…
06-13 01:29:00	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfde81c…
06-13 01:24:27	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f9570…
06-13 01:20:06	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xef1c12…
06-12 02:24:28	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 50 by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x5e7b74…
06-12 02:23:54	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1ff8c2…
06-12 02:15:36	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa14410…
06-12 02:14:51	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 50 by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x62cfc8…
06-11 02:14:45	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x67fe2a…
06-11 02:14:07	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1d3436…
06-11 02:00:18	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xddab0d…
06-11 01:58:18	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6675b6…
06-10 02:30:51	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xaed2b3…
06-10 02:21:36	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xac73b8…
06-09 02:25:31	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc5fa79…
06-09 02:25:13	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x127f07…
06-09 02:00:39	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcfec49…
06-09 01:56:28	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf7f6bc…
06-08 02:43:21	Will Richard Pan advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4bd9f2…
06-08 02:43:04	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4273ff…
06-08 02:39:22	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa45189…
06-08 02:37:58	Will Richard Pan advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe56a2b…
06-06 02:01:27	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x1b6315…
06-06 02:00:28	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3a507e…
06-06 01:55:09	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1c5d8a…
06-06 01:54:30	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd3ea94…
06-06 01:50:52	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7a4901…
06-06 01:47:57	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x19e348…
06-05 01:40:21	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x862a44…
06-05 01:39:48	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x305202…
06-05 01:34:03	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0deb6c…
06-05 01:32:16	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x667107…
06-04 03:02:12	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd7ac57…
06-04 03:01:15	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2a3e00…
06-04 02:47:28	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x881ff3…
06-04 02:45:15	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7bd538…
06-03 03:31:28	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x71e4b8…
06-03 03:31:00	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x97e78f…
06-03 03:03:58	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x175037…
06-03 03:01:15	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaac925…
06-02 01:17:23	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe6ebf6…
06-02 01:16:21	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x96e8c2…
06-01 02:40:47	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xde5493…
06-01 02:40:15	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1b3e01…
06-01 02:33:15	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5b8777…
06-01 02:31:39	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1a519e…
05-30 00:49:32	Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x65491d…
05-30 00:49:00	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x84bc8e…
05-30 00:45:34	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1aa93f…
05-30 00:43:54	Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8d1d38…
05-29 01:24:52	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x54c416…
05-29 01:23:51	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1573ac…
05-29 01:14:10	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfe1f8c…
05-29 01:12:18	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8754b0…
05-28 01:33:03	Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xad101a…
05-28 01:32:33	Will Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x98f88d…
05-28 01:22:52	Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x233a53…
05-28 01:21:38	Will Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb72a3a…
05-26 02:12:08	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9c2e27…
05-23 08:22:32	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x85d4cd…
05-23 08:21:43	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9ca03b…
05-23 08:10:43	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a1f6b…
05-23 08:09:23	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3090a3…
05-22 01:46:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x87eb58…
05-22 01:21:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3bfb07…
05-19 09:57:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe2a99c…
05-19 09:35:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3b8904…
05-18 09:56:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1340dc…