Scientific-Blackness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

26.2%

Resolved

Trades

388

lifetime

Volume

$387

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-20 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-0

Politics

28% 50% $-0

Crypto

12% 0% $-0

Sports

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No		+1	$1	99¢	$1	$-0	06-06 02:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-26 02:59
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	01-31 08:52
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	01-24 06:41
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	01-23 09:36
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	9	$9	5	4	+1	open	—	06-06 02:00
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	7	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-16 00:09
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	7	$7	3	4	-1	open	—	05-30 00:49
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-27 07:19
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-01 09:07
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-20 09:39
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-13 01:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 06:08
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-11 08:41
nothing ever happens microstrategy	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-06 09:24
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	06-05 01:40
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-21 08:37
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 08:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 01:46
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-22 01:12
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-19 09:40
will ukraine re enter huliaipole by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-06 09:24
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 02:10
will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 08:42
spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-29 09:12
us strike on somalia by february 28 399	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 09:05
north korea missile test by march 31 472	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-13 04:31
crude oil all time high by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 03:43
will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:45
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	05-29 01:24
han duck soo in jail by january 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-21 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 08:38:13	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 17 2026 20260714210903831	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd13963…
07-21 08:37:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x93b533…
07-21 08:28:25	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 17 2026 20260714210903831	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb3aeb1…
07-21 08:27:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9a52c2…
07-20 09:39:27	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd17238…
07-20 09:38:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa86275…
07-20 09:31:48	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x406e25…
07-20 09:30:58	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x35ed82…
07-18 09:18:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x881f64…
07-18 09:08:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2e72bc…
07-17 07:27:06	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0d11ad…
07-17 07:26:42	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x492c91…
07-17 06:58:24	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x557e1f…
07-17 06:57:22	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfb6a74…
07-16 06:54:52	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x270c3d…
07-16 06:54:10	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x01887c…
07-16 06:34:40	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcff2bb…
07-16 06:33:56	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6b157d…
07-15 08:53:59	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x915d16…
07-15 08:46:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5fddc4…
07-14 07:41:46	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7ac648…
07-14 07:19:58	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6558b7…
07-13 09:47:58	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x662776…
07-13 09:38:40	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5271d7…
07-11 08:42:08	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8c8598…
07-11 08:41:46	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x27bb2b…
07-11 08:37:29	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa4fd6e…
07-11 08:36:35	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebb086…
07-10 08:12:14	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 28 2026 20260630182730906	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb43f85…
07-10 08:11:41	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x39b1bb…
07-10 08:01:20	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2f5aab…
07-10 07:59:28	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 28 2026 20260630182730906	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd95496…
07-09 04:16:13	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x77d110…
07-09 04:14:19	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x621f8a…
07-09 03:51:52	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x91b7c7…
07-09 03:51:17	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x726c68…
07-08 07:29:56	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 8 2026 20260630182730886	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xdb7b47…
07-08 07:28:40	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x830cdc…
07-08 07:17:11	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x283453…
07-08 07:11:41	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 8 2026 20260630182730886	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x82e03b…
07-07 07:01:49	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 6 2026 20260630182730884	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x58b4df…
07-07 07:00:08	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x37c382…
07-07 06:54:32	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x34af56…
07-07 06:50:02	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 6 2026 20260630182730884	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x42968c…
07-06 08:34:55	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x737984…
07-06 08:25:02	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x62980c…
07-04 06:35:37	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2bdd69…
07-04 06:17:59	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdcfdda…
07-03 06:31:31	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5bb615…
07-03 06:30:44	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3296a3…
07-03 06:23:22	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb3390f…
07-03 06:22:04	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf00603…
07-02 07:33:01	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9101d0…
07-02 07:27:34	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x008048…
07-01 09:07:05	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xcd165d…
07-01 09:03:43	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc9234b…
06-30 07:55:07	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb59dd7…
06-30 07:54:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x433551…
06-30 07:47:31	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8dedf1…
06-30 07:46:02	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd5efa…
06-29 07:32:56	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb7dc56…
06-29 07:25:08	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2f8192…
06-27 07:06:38	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd8f2ae…
06-27 07:05:55	will xrp reach 1pt6 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb39d3a…
06-27 06:59:20	will xrp reach 1pt6 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9080da…
06-27 06:56:43	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x24e445…
06-26 02:59:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x95222f…
06-26 02:54:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x520d7a…
06-24 01:39:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4d64f1…
06-24 01:36:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x43947b…
06-23 02:05:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd195eb…
06-23 01:57:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa0ae8e…
06-22 01:12:49	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x14b7a1…
06-22 01:07:14	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4eb086…
06-21 03:00:13	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfd605a…
06-21 02:50:58	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2712ea…
06-18 02:28:31	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd4b58e…
06-18 02:27:53	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x44080a…
06-18 02:17:41	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x034860…
06-18 02:14:40	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa50989…
06-17 02:20:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x09463c…
06-17 02:06:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2e7f76…
06-16 01:26:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9d4697…
06-16 01:21:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xecac72…
06-15 03:07:21	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x94ebec…
06-15 03:06:39	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6a2f88…
06-13 01:29:51	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2cec01…
06-13 01:28:57	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdac8a1…
06-13 01:24:06	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x086f9a…
06-13 01:20:03	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x673b95…
06-12 02:24:30	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 50 by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x3ae2f9…
06-12 02:23:54	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x509ea1…
06-12 02:15:39	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3cd753…
06-12 02:14:51	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 50 by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7020ad…
06-11 02:14:46	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5e42fd…
06-11 02:14:12	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd8c010…
06-11 02:00:22	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5585f2…
06-11 01:58:19	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc91af5…
06-10 02:30:51	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf81604…
06-10 02:21:37	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7a68e2…