Polished-Scheme — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

294

lifetime

Volume

$290

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-03 02:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

69% — —

Politics

20% 0% $-0

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No		-1	$-1	97¢	$-1	$-0	06-10 10:03
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	84¢	$1	$-0	05-29 09:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	28	$27	23	23	+0	open	—	02-10 00:23
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-18 10:12
Human moon landing in 2026?	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	07-04 01:15
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 03:46
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	7	$8	5	4	+0	open	—	03-11 01:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$8	9	9	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:05
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-02 03:36
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-17 09:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 06:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-23 01:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-25 03:12
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 07:01
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-30 01:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:20
Will Alberta join the US?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 09:08
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:30
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:29
dems or gop larger turnout in texas senate primary	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-05 08:18
solana up or down on march 16 2026	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	03-16 01:16
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 08:42
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-18 10:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-31 00:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 06:25
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 03:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 06:12
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:51
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-23 10:18
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-26 10:06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 03:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 01:15:49	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7754a5…
07-04 01:15:17	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5dfe41…
07-04 01:05:13	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe5bfe8…
07-04 01:04:34	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9c12f8…
07-03 02:11:59	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x65ac08…
07-03 02:11:40	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5b2957…
07-03 02:01:07	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2f2e55…
07-03 02:00:14	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcd2d69…
07-02 03:36:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3314db…
07-02 03:30:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd37bcb…
07-02 02:11:02	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x99b48c…
07-02 02:10:22	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7bf21b…
07-02 02:03:46	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8777f1…
07-02 02:02:05	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7bb6dd…
07-01 00:55:44	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7bb162…
07-01 00:55:14	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa516e6…
07-01 00:46:05	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x14a86b…
07-01 00:44:28	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbf8a03…
06-30 01:53:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb89642…
06-30 01:53:05	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c26a7…
06-30 01:26:26	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x35740b…
06-30 01:25:20	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc42cae…
06-27 01:44:32	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5d8b5f…
06-27 01:32:28	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x155ac5…
06-25 03:12:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x23185c…
06-25 02:42:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x20274c…
06-23 10:18:29	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x535651…
06-23 10:18:05	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf25f0d…
06-23 10:09:25	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6e7a39…
06-23 10:08:17	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x76d22e…
06-22 09:44:16	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa8b5ea…
06-22 09:43:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8956dc…
06-22 09:18:17	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e5146…
06-22 09:16:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0863f9…
06-18 10:12:04	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3b04a6…
06-18 10:11:43	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4d3599…
06-18 10:10:38	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x36999b…
06-18 10:06:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8bc92a…
06-17 09:15:14	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xac7679…
06-17 08:57:43	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1096ab…
06-16 09:49:54	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6bd27d…
06-16 09:49:16	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x46a952…
06-16 09:42:57	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb39430…
06-16 09:41:28	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7676af…
06-13 09:09:48	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa3ba45…
06-13 09:09:03	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf2cbfe…
06-13 08:58:58	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b6a65…
06-13 08:52:40	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x38b6ff…
06-12 09:50:46	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfac47e…
06-12 09:50:27	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x00127c…
06-12 09:38:43	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd7ce0d…
06-12 09:37:22	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbac44b…
06-11 09:59:42	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9e9c16…
06-11 09:59:12	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa20857…
06-11 09:42:31	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae892f…
06-11 09:40:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe03b03…
06-10 10:03:00	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6c7069…
06-10 10:02:33	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1f27b7…
06-10 09:48:01	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x38b285…
06-09 08:57:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe23593…
06-09 08:48:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x959a74…
06-09 08:47:21	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xbcf811…
06-09 08:45:51	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5e4090…
06-06 08:55:21	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcf175b…
06-06 08:53:34	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0f3625…
06-06 08:39:31	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x39aab8…
06-06 08:37:54	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x203333…
06-05 09:08:07	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xeab81b…
06-05 08:40:42	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8cc485…
06-04 10:09:19	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x34269c…
06-04 09:58:48	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x09a411…
06-03 08:48:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x132d8e…
06-03 08:47:42	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9ed1ec…
06-02 08:31:51	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf2786a…
06-02 08:19:46	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5c4754…
06-01 10:01:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x70c65d…
06-01 09:49:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9ae029…
05-30 03:42:47	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe5ed38…
05-30 03:37:11	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfcce6e…
05-29 09:29:32	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x931c36…
05-28 10:37:58	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa125f5…
05-28 10:37:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x943cea…
05-28 10:20:30	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5fcd05…
05-28 10:19:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6f4f43…
05-26 10:06:58	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe16d2f…
05-26 09:55:22	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x39ce52…
05-25 09:11:17	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7d404e…
05-25 09:10:52	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfd524c…
05-25 09:01:57	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5867c2…
05-25 09:01:08	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x07489a…
05-23 01:35:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7af53e…
05-23 01:21:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0ba7a6…
05-22 07:26:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3a7422…
05-22 07:08:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd96284…
05-21 02:26:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x011efd…
05-21 02:26:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbf22fd…
05-21 02:01:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbe6c38…
05-21 01:57:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6f8d1c…
05-18 02:51:25	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb74506…
05-18 02:15:22	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1ffe7e…