Fluffy-Hose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$111

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

40.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,324

lifetime

Volume

$16.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-08 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

67% 33% $-81

Politics

22% 0% $-30

Crypto

11% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes		+178	$2	2¢	$3	+$2	06-08 14:47
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+43	$0	3¢	$1	+$1	06-03 10:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	7	$1.2K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	03-10 14:04
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	6	$1.2K	1,317	1,317	+0	open	—	03-23 11:16
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	14	$940	486	586	-100	open	—	03-30 18:32
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	54	$649	4,384	617	+3,767	open	—	03-26 20:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	6	$510	300	300	+0	open	—	05-18 18:26
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	4	$408	800	800	+0	open	—	04-09 15:55
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	7	$367	267	300	-33	open	—	04-10 18:05
will iran strike israel on march 10	14	$365	8,808	225	+8,583	open	—	03-16 23:48
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	28	$314	1,337	0	+1,337	open	—	05-08 18:10
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	16	$291	2,065	1,690	+375	open	—	03-23 12:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	11	$276	615	0	+615	open	—	04-10 21:55
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	10	$259	291	133	+158	open	—	03-30 23:49
spx up or down on april 10 2026	22	$235	749	25	+724	open	—	04-10 19:35
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	5	$211	200	200	+0	open	—	04-08 03:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$207	300	0	+300	open	—	05-06 08:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	5	$189	331	0	+331	open	—	05-06 08:06
btc updown 5m 1773794700	5	$179	208	0	+208	open	—	03-18 00:48
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	5	$179	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 06:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	6	$176	325	0	+325	open	—	04-29 20:43
will netanyahu tweet again by saturday	4	$166	100	100	+0	open	—	03-15 01:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$157	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 18:17
spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	12	$151	2,380	100	+2,280	open	—	03-11 13:30
ndx up or down on march 12 2026	4	$146	172	0	+172	open	—	03-12 17:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	3	$144	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 18:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	8	$141	489	0	+489	open	—	04-08 19:12
spx opens up or down on march 18 2026	7	$138	530	0	+530	open	—	03-18 13:02
btc updown 5m 1773787800	5	$135	155	0	+155	open	—	03-17 22:53
will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	9	$134	1,079	0	+1,079	open	—	04-13 12:21
ndx up or down on april 10 2026	2	$126	100	100	+0	open	—	04-10 21:51
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	4	$120	612	75	+537	open	—	04-11 03:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 14:47:57	Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfffefe…
06-03 23:33:16	Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	168	1¢	$2	0xfe6054…
06-03 10:59:44	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0xd77f33…
05-18 18:26:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x2d7c04…
05-18 18:26:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	243	99¢	$241	0xb952a8…
05-18 18:19:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x313a71…
05-18 18:17:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x9a21d3…
05-15 12:41:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xdce5c5…
05-15 12:41:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x0da89b…
05-15 11:49:17	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	No	BUY	290	1¢	$3	0x6559e1…
05-15 11:48:56	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9dd179…
05-13 11:36:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x6fc45e…
05-12 12:39:29	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	387	3¢	$12	0x078b74…
05-12 11:56:09	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xdd64ee…
05-12 11:53:14	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xc2b1b9…
05-12 11:49:03	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0xffe756…
05-12 11:46:40	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xbd0db2…
05-08 18:10:40	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x13fa87…
05-08 18:04:01	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xb634e9…
05-07 22:16:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0x6fe385…
05-07 22:11:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x7558ab…
05-07 22:11:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x37c44b…
05-07 19:36:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0x734633…
05-07 19:34:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xb2b83d…
05-07 19:28:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x990850…
05-07 19:07:53	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	No	BUY	270	5¢	$14	0xe16f49…
05-07 19:07:53	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	No	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x758c5f…
05-07 19:07:51	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x51d65b…
05-07 18:40:09	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x2079b3…
05-06 08:51:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xc26842…
05-06 08:50:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	80	28¢	$22	0x3a00ad…
05-06 08:07:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x549066…
05-06 08:06:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	81	36¢	$29	0x13ee4b…
05-06 02:43:56	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3dfad3…
05-05 22:55:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	76	56¢	$43	0x8a4d51…
05-05 20:46:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x46f819…
05-05 18:53:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xb69c21…
05-05 04:49:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0x4a53fe…
05-04 23:00:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	52	65¢	$34	0xc778b1…
05-04 23:00:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	48	65¢	$31	0x390782…
05-04 21:32:04	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xdd2ff8…
05-04 21:26:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x61e257…
05-04 15:40:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xeb236d…
05-04 15:25:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x384403…
05-04 15:05:52	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x5be6e1…
05-03 13:41:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x2f8c59…
05-03 01:28:32	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x3cdf5a…
05-02 11:06:26	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xbb9618…
05-02 04:49:38	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x68c2be…
05-01 13:16:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	316	1¢	$3	0xb3af38…
05-01 13:15:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xbe38a1…
05-01 13:12:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x932fb2…
05-01 13:11:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	653	1¢	$7	0x47588d…
05-01 12:29:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x060c2b…
05-01 07:24:50	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x5f625f…
04-30 18:42:32	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x4b25b8…
04-30 12:53:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xfaa946…
04-29 23:18:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	99	9¢	$9	0xde43f3…
04-29 23:18:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xc0e971…
04-29 23:18:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xd99286…
04-29 23:18:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xbb1eb0…
04-29 23:18:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x344a34…
04-29 22:54:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	91	24¢	$22	0x2acb7b…
04-29 22:30:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	109	24¢	$26	0x9490b6…
04-29 22:17:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0xadb0da…
04-29 22:08:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x89b2a3…
04-29 22:08:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0xddc025…
04-29 22:05:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc87eff…
04-29 20:43:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	98	53¢	$52	0x8d14ee…
04-29 20:40:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x46eead…
04-29 20:34:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x4160f2…
04-28 12:31:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x046d42…
04-27 13:30:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	474	1¢	$5	0xe8b4b5…
04-27 13:30:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x592d98…
04-24 18:08:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x336ddd…
04-24 13:10:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	163	1¢	$2	0x96330d…
04-24 13:06:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	837	1¢	$8	0x21a8fe…
04-23 14:23:38	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0xf81397…
04-23 14:10:20	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x1e8e0d…
04-23 12:40:56	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3ec9cc…
04-23 12:28:14	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x730f14…
04-23 11:49:30	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0xef89c7…
04-22 00:30:32	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x10d3c9…
04-22 00:28:18	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x059e83…
04-22 00:14:52	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xd9e842…
04-22 00:14:50	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x6140ad…
04-22 00:14:50	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x5ae28f…
04-22 00:14:12	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xdd01de…
04-22 00:12:34	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x3c4895…
04-21 21:32:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xe2896c…
04-21 21:23:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xd362ca…
04-21 21:23:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x6b2954…
04-16 16:36:34	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xb7ccf3…
04-13 15:36:05	will hungarian two tailed dog party magyar ktfark kutya prt mkkp win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xca8782…
04-13 12:21:23	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	Yes	BUY	138	22¢	$30	0xfc342e…
04-13 12:18:51	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	Yes	BUY	168	18¢	$30	0x158955…
04-13 12:18:21	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	No	BUY	174	17¢	$30	0xb898df…
04-13 12:15:45	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x81df66…
04-13 12:15:35	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x79ef68…
04-13 12:14:59	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	Yes	BUY	189	11¢	$21	0x59e6b0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	143	$68.3K	15,216	05-06 17:04
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	142	$831.2K	16,724	06-01 00:34
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	139	$16.9M	29,526	06-01 06:36
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	130	$341.1K	28,264	05-31 15:36
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	127	$538.9K	39,431	05-31 17:26
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	121	$86.8K	2,296	05-29 21:07
Mountainous-Elongation 0x5fe5…8b99	119	$27.0K	7,294	04-12 10:29
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	117	$14.7K	2,621	05-29 23:02