Realized P&L (90d)
-$842
Unrealized P&L
-$71
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved (90d)
139
Trades (90d)
446
2,081 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$34.6K
$117.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$2.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 11-01 14:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
70% 64% -$1,286
Politics
27% 52% -$1,555
Tech
3% 50% +$1,552
Sports
0% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No +840 $666 96¢ $806 +$141 10-17 12:37
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? Yes +384 $266 96¢ $369 +$103 08-07 15:06
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? Yes +368 $255 99¢ $364 +$109 08-22 04:44
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +144 $31 100¢ $144 +$113 08-01 08:52
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat? Yes +109 $90 96¢ $105 +$15 08-12 18:28
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? No +111 $85 92¢ $103 +$18 08-05 20:45
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +1,116 $146 3¢ $36 -$111 09-11 02:13
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +36 $28 98¢ $35 +$7 09-20 04:38
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +504 $70 6¢ $33 -$37 10-13 01:38
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat? Yes +23 $19 97¢ $22 +$4 08-13 01:01
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? No +19 $12 99¢ $19 +$7 08-19 14:48
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes +151 $30 10¢ $15 -$15 10-27 09:37
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? Yes +8 $7 99¢ $8 +$1 08-19 15:33
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? No +448 $301 1¢ $4 -$297 10-02 06:40
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? Yes +102 $88 3¢ $3 -$85 08-04 16:39
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? Yes +52 -$10 5¢ $2 +$13 09-22 19:38
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? No +1 $14 99¢ $1 -$12 07-25 00:08
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat? No +1 -$3 98¢ $1 +$4 09-18 18:40
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +2 -$12 72¢ $1 +$13 10-13 02:10
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat? No +1 -$3 99¢ $1 +$4 09-18 04:09
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +1 -$1 98¢ $1 +$2 09-07 01:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1 -$36 99¢ $1 +$37 08-13 15:08
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$1 10-22 10:08
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1 $22 94¢ $1 -$21 09-05 09:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1 $0 97¢ $1 +$1 08-10 16:35
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat? Yes +96 $64 1¢ $1 -$63 08-09 01:08
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$2 09-15 00:11
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? Yes +0 -$16 94¢ $0 +$16 08-20 16:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +1 -$5 44¢ $0 +$5 10-17 13:37
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +2 $43 15¢ $0 -$42 10-17 02:39