Realized P&L
-$1.48K
Unrealized P&L
+$183
Hit rate
68.4%
Resolved
223
Trades
2,085
lifetime
Volume
$117.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$1.83K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 11-07 08:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Other
70% 64% -$1,479
Politics
27% 52% -$1,555
Tech
3% 50% +$1,552
Sports
0% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No +840 $666 99¢ $828 +$162 10-17 12:37
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? Yes +384 $266 99¢ $379 +$113 08-07 15:06
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +144 $31 100¢ $144 +$112 08-01 08:52
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? No +152 $114 91¢ $138 +$24 08-08 03:36
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat? Yes +109 $90 99¢ $108 +$19 08-12 18:28
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? No +111 $85 93¢ $103 +$19 08-05 20:45
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +36 $28 98¢ $35 +$7 09-20 04:38
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +1,116 $146 3¢ $35 -$111 09-11 02:13
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? No +19 $12 99¢ $19 +$7 08-19 14:48
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes +151 $30 10¢ $15 -$15 10-27 09:37
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? Yes +8 $7 99¢ $8 +$1 08-19 15:33
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? Yes +102 $88 3¢ $3 -$85 08-04 16:39
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? Yes +52 -$10 3¢ $2 +$12 09-22 19:38
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +2 -$12 92¢ $1 +$13 10-13 02:10
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat? No +1 -$3 99¢ $1 +$5 09-18 18:40
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +1 -$1 97¢ $1 +$2 09-07 01:42
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? No +1 -$2 96¢ $1 +$3 08-01 09:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1 -$36 99¢ $1 +$37 08-13 15:08
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$1 10-22 10:08
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1 $22 94¢ $1 -$21 09-05 09:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1 $0 97¢ $1 +$1 08-10 16:35
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$2 09-15 00:11
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? Yes +0 -$16 99¢ $0 +$16 08-20 16:41
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat? Yes +96 $64 0¢ $0 -$64 08-09 01:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +1 -$5 42¢ $0 +$5 10-17 13:37
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? No +0 -$18 98¢ $0 +$19 09-04 17:23
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +2 $43 6¢ $0 -$43 10-17 02:39
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1 $0 18¢ $0 $0 08-02 15:09
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? No +1 -$1 14¢ $0 +$1 06-30 01:10
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? No +0 $58 18¢ $0 -$58 09-12 22:10