Quixotic-Return 0xb10aba…cb5b24
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
49.9%
Resolved
309
Trades
512
lifetime
Volume
$7.74K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$236
28 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 10-14 20:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
51% 35% -$171
Sports
22% 69% +$293
Politics
15% 38% -$119
Tech
8% 33% -$12
Crypto
3% 20% -$11
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -160 -$138 96¢ $-154 -$16 05-05 10:03
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? No +99 $37 18¢ $17 -$20 08-04 14:02
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +19 $10 61¢ $11 +$2 10-06 15:51
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +11 $7 72¢ $8 +$1 09-10 12:10
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +10 $4 71¢ $7 +$4 08-04 16:51
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +6 $3 94¢ $6 +$2 05-26 15:18
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +12 $5 38¢ $5 $0 09-01 14:33
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -11 -$4 36¢ $-4 +$0 05-20 18:01
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $3 34¢ $4 +$1 09-11 15:19
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +52 $4 5¢ $3 -$1 05-27 18:38
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +24 $3 11¢ $3 -$1 06-02 16:00
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $3 74¢ $2 $0 05-04 10:57
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -159 -$19 1¢ $-2 +$17 05-12 17:55
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +5 $1 34¢ $2 +$0 09-26 14:17
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +11 $2 14¢ $1 -$1 06-02 18:52
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +10 $3 13¢ $1 -$1 07-27 14:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 09-03 19:49
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 08-28 15:38
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +21 $1 4¢ $1 -$1 06-24 15:11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +11 $1 6¢ $1 $0 09-04 19:15
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +11 $1 6¢ $1 -$1 08-19 23:05
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes +19 $1 3¢ $1 -$1 05-04 10:34
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No -1 $0 70¢ $-0 +$0 08-25 20:16
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes -0 $0 70¢ $-0 +$0 08-25 20:16
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +104 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 06-16 15:25
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? Yes -1 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 08-25 20:16
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -0 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 08-25 20:16
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 7¢ $0 $0 07-20 08:51