Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
47
lifetime
Volume
$108
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$13
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 06-28 10:47
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
56%
Politics
43%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +21 $4 15¢ $3 $-1 06-17 17:39
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No -5 $-2 50¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 16:22
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +25 $14 $2 $-12 06-28 10:47
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? Yes +25 $2 $2 $-0 05-29 19:44
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +13 $2 10¢ $1 $-1 05-29 19:41
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-17 21:07
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +7 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-26 17:29
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +9 $1 $0 $-1 06-13 23:21
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? Yes +3 $2 $0 $-2 05-28 18:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +99 $3 $0 $-3 06-05 20:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +50 $4 $0 $-4 06-11 13:21