Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$939

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$3.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$74

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-25 18:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

60% 78% -$950

Politics

17% 100% +$4

Crypto

12% 100% +$3

Sports

8% 100% +$4

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+51	$50	96¢	$49	-$1	07-30 06:15
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-25	-$24	99¢	$-24	-$1	04-30 08:41
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	05-15 13:39
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	08-25 11:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elc swa bbr 2026 01 20 swa	1	$503	931	0	+931	Yes	-$503	01-20 11:16
bun wol pau 2026 01 14 wol	2	$449	956	0	+956	Yes	-$449	01-14 06:08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	21	$169	89	89	+0	open	—	08-16 07:29
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	5	$123	64	64	+0	open	—	08-25 11:35
Iran leadership change by May 31?	7	$118	61	61	+0	No	+$1	05-26 09:38
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	9	$110	56	56	+0	open	—	08-04 08:29
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$106	54	54	+0	open	—	05-09 09:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$106	55	55	+0	open	—	07-04 15:06
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	2	$104	56	56	+0	open	—	10-25 18:37
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	2	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	10-02 13:40
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	09-17 15:50
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	2	$100	53	53	+0	open	—	08-26 23:55
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	4	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	07-31 20:59
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	8	$99	52	52	+0	open	—	09-07 08:00
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	2	$97	51	51	+0	No	+$0	06-04 22:55
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	5	$97	51	51	+0	Yes	+$1	05-22 02:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	3	$96	49	49	+0	No	+$1	05-26 11:03
Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$95	48	48	+0	No	+$0	06-19 12:21
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$94	47	47	+0	No	+$0	06-19 19:41
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	5	$93	47	47	+0	No	+$0	06-15 08:09
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	2	$92	48	48	+0	Yes	+$0	05-29 08:34
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?	2	$91	48	48	+0	open	—	06-18 13:31
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	3	$83	42	42	+0	open	—	10-10 19:51
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$80	82	0	+82	No	+$3	07-03 15:00
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$80	42	42	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 06:38
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	1	$53	55	0	+55	No	+$2	06-22 14:08
Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?	1	$53	56	0	+56	open	—	10-15 07:01
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?	1	$53	55	0	+55	open	—	10-16 09:55
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$1	05-12 12:20
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	07-30 06:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 18:37:08	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0x6e2f7d…
10-22 16:32:00	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?	No	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x2551af…
10-16 09:55:30	Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x54dd81…
10-15 07:01:28	Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0xbd3982…
10-10 19:51:42	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	42	98¢	$42	0xb26d68…
10-03 01:19:29	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	92¢	$52	0xeebb8c…
10-02 13:40:59	IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$52	0x4f0b2c…
09-28 16:34:57	IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x8ce281…
09-17 15:50:48	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x9452e7…
09-07 08:00:55	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0xe8a0f4…
09-04 14:44:15	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x4c3bf9…
09-04 10:33:45	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x31fd89…
09-03 11:09:43	Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x63a2e0…
09-03 10:58:52	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6b3c97…
09-03 10:58:00	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x3e8ca8…
08-28 22:14:15	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xd8774d…
08-26 23:55:01	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x89a15a…
08-25 11:35:58	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xf67d1e…
08-25 09:32:33	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x6689e5…
08-25 08:37:28	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0x716282…
08-25 07:16:18	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0x0f338f…
08-25 06:27:37	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xafb62c…
08-18 14:49:24	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0x53b10d…
08-17 18:04:49	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x2c8cb2…
08-17 13:12:18	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x02097e…
08-17 03:32:43	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa26ef8…
08-16 07:29:39	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x255d94…
08-04 08:29:08	Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x8aacec…
08-01 19:23:05	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x8afff0…
08-01 11:04:59	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2aab6c…
08-01 10:51:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe7785b…
08-01 10:25:48	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x045d38…
07-31 20:59:09	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x672c6f…
07-31 20:59:09	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2ad27b…
07-31 20:56:11	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xaccc32…
07-31 03:24:20	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc552aa…
07-30 11:10:18	Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xbddd68…
07-30 06:15:18	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x5f2a83…
07-26 16:25:37	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xad8796…
07-26 05:21:07	Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x930986…
07-25 18:33:45	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x547907…
07-25 13:31:49	Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe77578…
07-25 13:00:28	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x789f0a…
07-25 10:26:57	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xbec3bf…
07-25 08:41:04	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x6fbd3f…
07-25 05:08:19	Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x9f5b0a…
07-25 04:56:27	Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb933bf…
07-24 20:48:55	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd9ff81…
07-24 19:11:18	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x4b95c3…
07-24 17:23:01	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x5437b4…
07-04 15:06:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x0ff5cb…
07-03 21:45:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4ca779…
07-03 15:00:32	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x8542ef…
07-03 14:00:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x861f60…
07-03 13:59:19	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xa2ff8a…
07-03 13:56:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd8372d…
07-03 13:55:19	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0c1a32…
07-03 13:55:08	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa68f83…
07-03 13:53:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3517ef…
07-03 13:53:08	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf06851…
07-03 13:52:44	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x55eced…
07-03 13:50:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfa933a…
07-03 13:49:49	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4d610b…
07-03 13:47:41	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xaf9181…
07-03 13:47:37	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xf6f365…
06-24 19:25:56	Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x63550e…
06-24 19:25:52	Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x766d3f…
06-24 07:25:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1218ed…
06-23 19:07:14	Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf56cc9…
06-23 12:57:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0x6204fe…
06-23 11:16:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe123c9…
06-23 10:05:37	Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x64df77…
06-23 05:43:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x05bcf0…
06-22 16:52:05	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb4f573…
06-22 16:51:41	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x622196…
06-22 16:51:26	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2fa03a…
06-22 16:51:23	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc1b4d6…
06-22 16:50:37	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x300789…
06-22 14:08:37	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0xa514ef…
06-19 19:41:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x6ea1c8…
06-19 12:21:35	Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0xf38455…
06-18 13:31:52	Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0x9aeac1…
06-15 08:09:19	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x94ad91…
06-09 11:19:09	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8f52f3…
06-09 04:30:06	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd87ca9…
06-09 02:24:01	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xb82125…
06-08 20:38:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x8b0113…
06-08 14:13:36	Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa647d3…
06-08 12:25:34	Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x22d4b8…
06-08 07:12:19	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcdd346…
06-04 22:55:19	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	51	95¢	$49	0x4f5c1b…
05-30 16:25:35	Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xcf62e3…
05-29 11:12:52	Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x9e120e…
05-29 08:34:54	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x284eb8…
05-26 11:03:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x75258a…
05-26 09:38:34	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x783bad…
05-26 08:55:10	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc5c4f7…
05-26 08:46:41	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x956cbf…
05-26 08:38:46	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xeaa855…
05-26 07:29:32	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xf04f38…