Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$92

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

387

Trades

1,792

lifetime

Volume

$100.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$80

14 positions

First seen

2026-06-15

last 10-22 22:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

87% 64% +$240

Politics

10% 56% -$112

Sports

2% 67% -$31

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% 67% -$6

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 230 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+100	$77	74¢	$74	-$2	09-24 00:53
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	Yes	+50	$14	10¢	$5	-$9	09-29 23:36
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$1	98¢	$0	+$2	09-29 17:55
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	+0	$0	56¢	$0	+$0	07-11 03:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$1	99¢	$0	+$1	09-06 20:11
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$1	07-14 09:17
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+0	-$1	94¢	$0	+$1	09-25 15:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+0	-$1	94¢	$0	+$1	09-22 09:48
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	+0	-$1	86¢	$0	+$1	09-22 18:26
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	+0	-$1	80¢	$0	+$1	09-24 17:40
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+0	-$1	74¢	$0	+$1	09-23 03:40
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+0	-$1	60¢	$0	+$1	09-24 21:16
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	+0	-$1	52¢	$0	+$1	08-30 16:03
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	+0	$0	8¢	$0	+$0	07-08 07:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 2pt5	12	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Under	+$10	06-27 21:23
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Sweden?	4	$1.5K	800	800	+0	No	+$30	06-25 23:52
lol dcg tl2 2026 06 29 game3	7	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Team Liquid	+$10	06-29 06:03
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 2pt5	13	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Over	+$15	06-16 11:03
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	9	$1.2K	659	659	+0	No	+$26	07-04 17:34
Canada leading at halftime?	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	06-28 10:18
fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 btts	5	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	06-24 01:14
cs2 ice shk 2026 06 27	5	$1.0K	953	953	+0	Inner Circle Esports	+$10	06-27 10:09
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	2	$988	500	500	+0	No	$0	08-03 19:32
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?	6	$971	500	500	+0	Yes	+$19	07-04 18:44
France vs. Iraq: Neither team to score first?	6	$971	500	500	+0	No	+$5	06-22 19:48
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 team total home 2pt5	7	$970	500	500	+0	Under	+$5	06-16 03:16
Iraq leading at halftime?	10	$969	500	500	+0	No	+$11	06-22 21:14
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Japan?	2	$964	500	500	+0	No	+$16	06-29 17:29
val ega adg 2026 06 28 game1	8	$961	1,000	1,000	+0	Evil Geniuses Academy	+$1	06-28 22:44
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	2	$956	500	500	+0	No	-$3	08-03 18:28
Canada to score first vs. Switzerland?	21	$936	800	800	+0	No	+$8	06-24 19:25
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	5	$936	500	500	+0	No	+$9	06-19 01:19
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Haiti?	2	$928	500	500	+0	No	+$2	06-19 19:00
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Spain?	2	$915	500	500	+0	No	+$45	06-27 01:58
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?	29	$902	500	500	+0	No	+$32	06-17 17:56
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?	8	$900	500	500	+0	No	+$0	07-05 14:24
Germany to win the second half?	3	$885	800	780	+20	No	+$5	06-25 21:07
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?	2	$880	500	500	+0	No	+$0	07-03 01:35
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$869	500	500	+0	open	—	08-03 20:21
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team total home 0pt5	2	$855	500	500	+0	Over	+$5	07-05 06:11
lol mkoi shft 2026 07 31	2	$825	500	500	+0	Movistar KOI	+$5	07-31 19:03
cs2 tl1 vit 2026 07 24 game1	4	$820	500	500	+0	Liquid	+$30	07-24 15:57
lol dcg gz 2026 07 30 game handicap away 1pt5	2	$794	500	500	+0	Ground Zero Gaming	+$204	07-30 14:20
Belgium leading at halftime?	6	$769	500	500	+0	No	+$229	06-15 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 22:42:27	Will Chris Olave have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0x4fd10a…
10-22 22:41:51	Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0xe5cbab…
10-22 21:02:36	Will Washington Capitals be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x793829…
10-22 20:38:06	Will Nikolaj Ehlers record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xed52e1…
10-22 20:23:35	Will Chris Olave have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xa5239b…
10-21 10:53:39	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	59¢	$29	0xe55230…
10-19 08:42:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 5%-10%?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x4e8ab5…
10-18 18:17:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x40be89…
10-17 18:50:21	Will Lillestrom finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x57c432…
10-15 22:07:24	Will Omonia finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xad0f7f…
10-14 22:41:00	Will Barcelona finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x4155a1…
10-14 17:39:46	Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xf2b0a2…
10-14 16:01:31	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xe7d543…
10-13 21:42:22	Will AVAX reach $13 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	58¢	$27	0x77d32c…
10-13 17:03:30	Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xd8e746…
10-13 03:44:26	Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x08db0a…
10-12 18:28:14	Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x47c651…
10-12 04:35:11	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x11f3f4…
10-12 00:16:02	Will Lech Poznan finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$5	0xba145a…
10-11 18:04:34	Will the Seattle Seahawks win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 10.5	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x1c8dfd…
10-10 19:54:55	Will VfB Stuttgart finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0xeb63b9…
10-09 09:14:24	Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x668a79…
10-08 13:22:06	Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0xc3649a…
10-08 08:59:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	37	87¢	$32	0x111bd5…
10-07 09:06:53	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x086b9e…
10-06 22:50:03	Will Alessia Russo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x9026df…
10-06 19:14:33	Will OFI finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xb33342…
10-06 17:13:32	Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 25+ goals in the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0xb3f08b…
10-06 08:54:37	Will Widow's Bay rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xfbf920…
10-06 08:54:28	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xe40c97…
10-05 20:27:38	Will any player have 125+ receptions in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xf56cb6…
10-04 10:25:31	Will New York Yankees advance to the ALCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?	No	SELL	25	62¢	$15	0x883025…
10-03 16:34:24	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xf3c7f3…
10-02 21:55:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 15%-18%?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xa311ce…
10-02 19:00:32	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 55%-60%?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0xc7bd4b…
10-02 12:48:02	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	No	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x13201d…
10-02 12:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 2?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xce89fc…
10-02 09:01:50	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x9fecd4…
10-02 06:49:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$45	0xcabbd4…
10-02 01:15:15	Will mada have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x9c4e34…
10-02 01:15:06	Will Trump say "Ass" during his rally in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfa6311…
10-01 22:39:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x5a65a4…
10-01 14:36:14	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xfbcaad…
10-01 12:00:57	Will the Tennessee Titans have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xc4d354…
10-01 12:00:45	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xbd2635…
10-01 00:16:39	Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x7a314a…
10-01 00:16:27	mamdani wears a yarmulke by the end of channukah	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$9	0xd4a8ce…
10-01 00:16:08	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	No	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x4adf62…
09-30 20:13:44	Will Alberts Smits win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xc26a26…
09-30 20:10:12	Will Tommy Tremble finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xc60c85…
09-30 19:53:18	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xa74f7b…
09-30 18:42:08	Will Tommy DeVito finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x0fe406…
09-30 18:41:56	Will Justin Fields finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe1426a…
09-30 18:26:24	Will Ray Davis finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x5d4265…
09-30 17:37:44	will bytedances valuation hit high 825b by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x305499…
09-30 17:30:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 55%-60%?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xa790db…
09-30 17:24:00	Will AVAX reach $13 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	58¢	$27	0x26af25…
09-30 17:22:38	Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xd19e3c…
09-30 17:18:59	will pltr reach 195 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x937786…
09-30 17:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x556bc6…
09-30 17:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xef6673…
09-30 17:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdab2c6…
09-30 17:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 2?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xcc93db…
09-30 17:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x4dcfb9…
09-30 17:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x34102a…
09-30 17:10:17	Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x60399d…
09-30 17:10:17	Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x489577…
09-30 17:09:24	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x84c738…
09-30 17:09:24	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x49e9c5…
09-30 17:07:20	will databricks valuation hit high 270b by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd8e7ca…
09-30 17:05:57	will canvas valuation hit high 39b by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x61c9cf…
09-30 17:05:21	will anthropics valuation hit low 1pt1t by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x9ac4ce…
09-30 17:04:53	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xd6012a…
09-30 17:03:06	will bytedances valuation hit high 825b by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xb33431…
09-30 17:00:20	will trump say venezuela during hispanic heritage month celebration september 30	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x848f9c…
09-30 16:46:11	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf653e8…
09-30 16:43:32	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x2b8bd9…
09-30 16:35:41	Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x71b5f1…
09-30 16:34:50	Will Carlos Viana win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x608596…
09-30 16:26:26	Will skuba have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xcfd5f1…
09-30 16:26:26	Will skuba have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x9ee081…
09-30 16:25:59	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x080a49…
09-30 16:25:41	Will Omarion Hampton have 749.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xc89013…
09-30 16:25:30	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	48¢	$17	0xdbcd01…
09-30 16:25:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x548dba…
09-30 16:24:27	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x15f5e6…
09-30 16:17:36	will alessia russo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xf60663…
09-30 16:13:33	Will AVAX reach $16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xd2d8c2…
09-30 16:04:45	Will Carlos Viana win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x7aea30…
09-30 15:50:35	Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xd9ef42…
09-30 15:50:27	Will Solary win WSCI 2026?	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xd8d011…
09-30 14:51:33	Will Poland be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x8ab46f…
09-30 14:38:03	Will Marina JHC win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	No	SELL	36	59¢	$21	0xc6e1c2…
09-30 14:38:02	Will Marina JHC win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	No	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x548605…
09-30 14:34:47	Will Marina JHC win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xe1b17a…
09-30 14:30:21	Will Kyler Murray finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x3e89f4…
09-30 14:13:12	Will more than 575,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x129921…
09-30 14:10:26	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	33	32¢	$11	0xe724a5…
09-30 12:56:54	Will Matthew Wright finish as a top-5 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xbe7bd0…
09-30 12:22:47	will mrbeast hit 521 million subscribers by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xce8e73…