Realized P&L (30d)
-$51
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
50.4%
Resolved (30d)
75
Trades (30d)
347
1,795 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$4.61K
$100.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$78
14 positions
First seen
2026-06-15
last 10-28 09:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
87% 64% +$240
Politics
10% 56% -$112
Sports
2% 67% -$31
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Crypto
1% 67% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 230 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +100 $77 74¢ $74 -$2 09-24 00:53
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? Yes +50 $14 7¢ $3 -$11 09-29 23:36
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 98¢ $0 +$2 09-29 17:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 99¢ $0 +$1 09-06 20:11
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$1 07-14 09:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +0 -$1 95¢ $0 +$1 09-22 09:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +0 -$1 94¢ $0 +$1 09-25 15:40
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +0 -$1 86¢ $0 +$1 09-22 18:26
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +0 -$1 76¢ $0 +$1 09-24 17:40
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$1 74¢ $0 +$1 09-23 03:40
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +0 $0 33¢ $0 +$0 07-11 03:07
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$1 64¢ $0 +$1 09-24 21:16
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? No +0 -$1 52¢ $0 +$1 08-30 16:03
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +0 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 07-08 07:23