Realized P&L
+$7.97K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.28K
Hit rate
69.6%
Resolved
183
Trades
3,839
lifetime
Volume
$4.11M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.07K
Open exposure
$243.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-22 07:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 76 days
Categories
Politics
56% 69% -$54,436
Other
34% 64% +$36,554
Crypto
6% 50% -$511
Sports
4% 73% +$26,359
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +50,260 $47,313 97¢ $48.7K +$1,389 10-04 21:41
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +33,865 $32,014 97¢ $32.8K +$818 09-18 00:47
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +26,176 $25,368 96¢ $25.0K -$343 10-04 20:29
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -15,805 -$15,056 98¢ $-15433 -$378 07-16 18:31
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +17,628 $16,354 86¢ $15.2K -$1,106 09-24 12:41
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -15,000 -$12,761 94¢ $-14175 -$1,414 07-16 18:30
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +12,426 $11,504 86¢ $10.7K -$755 09-24 09:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No -10,000 -$10,098 99¢ $-9930 +$168 10-06 20:07
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +9,736 $8,630 90¢ $8.8K +$132 10-04 20:24
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -8,067 -$7,779 98¢ $-7886 -$106 08-05 20:07
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +10,216 $6,027 72¢ $7.4K +$1,328 10-19 10:17
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No -6,780 -$6,448 96¢ $-6488 -$40 09-05 09:40
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -5,000 -$2,788 96¢ $-4815 -$2,027 08-21 21:37
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -5,000 -$4,800 96¢ $-4782 +$17 08-18 08:50
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,077 $4,671 92¢ $4.7K +$0 09-20 06:08
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +4,000 $3,400 96¢ $3.8K +$420 08-19 18:19
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,400 72¢ $3.6K +$200 09-20 06:10
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +3,000 $2,873 96¢ $2.9K +$1 10-04 20:22
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +10,216 $4,291 28¢ $2.9K -$1,430 10-18 20:48
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -6,188 -$2,909 42¢ $-2568 +$340 06-27 07:11
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +2,445 $2,274 96¢ $2.3K +$65 09-20 11:04
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,910 96¢ $1.9K +$3 10-04 22:09
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,484 $1,639 68¢ $1.7K +$62 09-20 12:50
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -1,463 -$1,375 97¢ $-1417 -$42 08-05 20:08
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1,000 $800 94¢ $936 +$136 05-25 06:35
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +18,356 $1,231 4¢ $798 -$432 10-22 07:37
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +830 -$1,049 92¢ $759 +$1,808 10-19 10:16
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +644 $509 92¢ $589 +$81 09-08 11:07
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +11,800 $773 4¢ $496 -$278 10-22 07:37
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +1,808 $253 20¢ $353 +$99 09-23 20:41