Realized P&L
-$184
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
71.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
894
lifetime
Volume
$354.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$397
Open exposure
$32.0K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-17 13:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
74% 50% $-90
Politics
20% 0% $-94
Crypto
6%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -12,000 $-11,856 100¢ $-11988 $-132 06-04 13:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No +5,477 $5,395 100¢ $5.5K +$77 06-05 06:59
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No +3,033 $2,648 88¢ $2.7K +$35 06-11 18:09
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No +1,966 $1,904 100¢ $2.0K +$60 06-11 17:39
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? No +1,702 $1,675 100¢ $1.7K +$25 06-10 12:23
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +1,616 $1,384 92¢ $1.5K +$94 06-16 22:40
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -1,442 $-1,435 100¢ $-1440 $-6 06-14 13:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -800 $-774 100¢ $-799 $-26 06-01 13:30
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June? No +786 $779 100¢ $785 +$6 06-10 12:23
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No +700 $651 93¢ $651 +$0 06-05 19:16
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +572 $501 97¢ $553 +$51 06-09 18:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -500 $-490 100¢ $-500 $-10 06-01 13:30
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No +584 $456 83¢ $485 +$29 06-14 13:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No -473 $-467 100¢ $-472 $-5 06-16 22:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -226 $-113 100¢ $-225 $-113 06-05 14:21
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -200 $-195 100¢ $-200 $-5 06-01 13:31
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +200 $176 84¢ $168 $-8 06-16 22:40
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June? No +141 $135 100¢ $141 +$6 06-05 19:17
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +159 $109 64¢ $102 $-7 06-09 05:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -103 $-38 98¢ $-101 $-63 06-05 08:19
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? No +63 $59 98¢ $62 +$3 06-11 06:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $55 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes -55 $-53 96¢ $-53 +$1 06-16 22:43
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No +30 $26 88¢ $26 +$0 06-04 05:53