Realized P&L
-$396
Unrealized P&L
-$400
Hit rate
73.6%
Resolved
369
Trades
1,477
lifetime
Volume
$604.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$409
Open exposure
$38.6K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-27 11:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
76% 84% -$1,173
Politics
20% 88% +$699
Crypto
4% 93% +$74
Tech
0% 83% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +12,951 $11,876 86¢ $11.2K -$673 10-27 11:01
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +4,998 $4,244 89¢ $4.4K +$204 10-26 22:08
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +3,049 $2,787 92¢ $2.8K +$18 10-04 10:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? No +2,718 $2,639 100¢ $2.7K +$77 10-09 12:07
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -2,245 -$2,133 97¢ $-2179 -$46 05-05 23:00
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +2,000 $1,881 98¢ $2.0K +$80 10-04 12:19
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? No +1,627 $1,563 100¢ $1.6K +$57 10-05 10:27
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +1,500 $1,420 99¢ $1.5K +$68 10-04 12:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +1,566 $1,423 95¢ $1.5K +$61 10-03 17:46
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +1,505 $1,202 88¢ $1.3K +$129 10-04 12:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? No +1,000 $982 100¢ $998 +$17 10-09 12:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? No +1,000 $987 99¢ $993 +$6 10-06 11:13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,504 $1,189 64¢ $970 -$219 10-09 09:38
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +1,099 $920 88¢ $961 +$41 10-19 08:33
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +510 $461 99¢ $504 +$43 10-05 10:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +500 $465 99¢ $496 +$31 10-03 17:50
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +555 $497 89¢ $493 -$4 09-11 02:33
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? No +300 $292 100¢ $300 +$7 10-06 11:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +300 $262 86¢ $258 -$4 10-04 12:23
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +289 $279 84¢ $244 -$35 10-03 17:49
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No +200 $192 100¢ $200 +$8 10-06 11:12
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +200 $88 96¢ $191 +$103 08-02 10:34
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +194 $140 96¢ $188 +$48 10-02 04:43
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +134 $126 94¢ $126 +$1 09-11 01:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +120 $116 98¢ $118 +$2 10-06 11:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +388 $136 26¢ $103 -$33 09-10 06:27
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +100 $95 98¢ $98 +$3 10-03 17:55
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 No +100 $56 67¢ $67 +$11 08-02 10:28
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 Yes +548 $448 8¢ $47 -$401 08-25 18:19