Realized P&L
-$184
Unrealized P&L
+$317
Hit rate
71.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
988
lifetime
Volume
$388.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$394
Open exposure
$12.7K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-20 13:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
72% 50% $-90
Politics
23% 0% $-94
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +5,017 $4,447 84¢ $4.2K $-258 07-01 21:17
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No +4,269 $3,761 90¢ $3.8K +$60 07-02 00:30
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +1,616 $1,384 93¢ $1.5K +$112 06-16 22:40
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No +700 $651 94¢ $662 +$10 06-05 19:16
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No +794 $632 82¢ $647 +$15 07-01 21:20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +782 $605 78¢ $614 +$8 07-20 10:33
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +572 $501 94¢ $537 +$36 06-09 18:50
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +500 $440 86¢ $430 $-10 07-13 09:50
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +159 $109 74¢ $118 +$9 06-09 05:12
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +93 $74 88¢ $81 +$7 07-01 21:10
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? No +63 $59 98¢ $62 +$3 06-11 06:30
Obama federally charged before 2027? No -62 $-60 94¢ $-58 +$1 07-20 13:23
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No +30 $26 90¢ $27 +$1 06-04 05:53
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-300 92¢ $0 +$300 07-13 16:59
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +0 $-21 40¢ $0 +$21 07-19 14:24