Fair-Record — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$958

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,773

lifetime

Volume

$323.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 18:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

31% — —

Crypto

30% — —

Tech

21% — —

Politics

15% 100% +$1,274

Sports

2% 0% $-316

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$16.0K	8,666	7,666	+1,000	open	—	03-01 02:09
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	42	$14.3K	11,939	5,856	+6,083	open	—	05-22 23:27
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	10	$14.2K	22,227	22,227	+0	open	—	02-18 15:19
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	31	$13.0K	6,712	7,629	-917	open	—	07-25 04:13
btc updown 15m 1770668100	12	$12.6K	6,339	6,338	+0	open	—	02-09 20:29
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	16	$9.5K	9,754	9,704	+50	open	—	02-06 01:03
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	14	$8.4K	5,515	4,515	+1,000	open	—	02-01 05:23
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 0pt5	7	$8.3K	4,412	4,412	+0	open	—	06-16 20:48
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	16	$8.0K	7,791	3,600	+4,191	open	—	07-06 20:53
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	29	$7.6K	4,888	4,887	+0	open	—	07-25 00:43
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	3	$5.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	02-28 06:14
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	26	$5.7K	12,559	200	+12,359	open	—	07-28 16:20
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	40	$5.7K	9,669	1,968	+7,701	open	—	05-22 23:49
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	13	$5.5K	3,192	3,192	+0	open	—	07-05 21:57
btc updown 15m 1770423300	89	$5.4K	4,871	4,498	+373	open	—	02-07 00:29
will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	66	$5.2K	14,746	70	+14,676	open	—	04-20 08:22
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$5.2K	2,877	2,877	+0	open	—	03-13 23:25
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	4	$4.6K	2,423	2,423	+0	open	—	01-06 22:47
will bitcoin dip to 62k february 2 8	12	$4.6K	6,543	6,399	+144	open	—	02-06 00:03
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	7	$4.6K	2,721	2,721	+0	open	—	07-04 18:59
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	5	$4.4K	4,619	0	+4,619	open	—	02-25 20:11
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$4.4K	2,546	2,546	+0	open	—	03-06 20:56
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	12	$4.3K	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	03-23 21:01
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to minnesota timberwolves	15	$4.3K	2,388	2,361	+27	open	—	02-05 17:06
will bitcoin dip to 64k february 2 8	4	$4.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	02-05 20:17
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	23	$3.7K	7,626	5,626	+2,000	open	—	02-20 01:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$3.6K	1,000	2,900	-1,900	open	—	06-16 17:29
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	36	$3.6K	3,135	3,135	+0	open	—	02-05 19:02
btc updown 15m 1770498900	33	$3.4K	2,827	2,789	+38	open	—	02-07 21:31
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	17	$3.0K	3,017	1,697	+1,320	open	—	08-01 22:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 01:00:27	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0x8bb6de…
08-12 00:59:58	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	346	4¢	$13	0xd94024…
08-11 18:15:58	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1,456	4¢	$57	0x05329a…
08-11 11:56:07	will spcx reach 145 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	142	75¢	$106	0x6c7cc0…
08-11 09:37:24	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x20ef15…
08-10 19:54:36	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x6a0637…
08-10 03:19:21	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xb6c20b…
08-09 13:51:01	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0xd2d973…
08-09 13:15:16	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0x6c82d4…
08-09 12:52:04	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe77497…
08-09 12:50:49	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x524ec2…
08-09 10:15:07	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x51cd9c…
08-09 09:29:54	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xf57a44…
08-09 09:00:49	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0x1a97dd…
08-09 06:09:46	will spcx dip to 80 in august 2026	No	SELL	221	98¢	$216	0x282abd…
08-09 04:14:28	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	312	14¢	$44	0x7e6479…
08-08 19:33:09	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2,779	7¢	$185	0x710df4…
08-08 19:32:30	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,559	67¢	$1,037	0xc40007…
08-08 19:32:24	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	1,128	18¢	$201	0xf7373a…
08-08 19:31:34	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,237	10¢	$233	0x4acadf…
08-08 17:16:12	will spcx reach 140 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xa0f415…
08-07 20:16:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0xee0299…
08-07 13:36:49	will spcx reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0xfe2c6f…
08-06 23:15:08	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0xa3a94a…
08-06 23:13:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	476	16¢	$76	0xac9136…
08-06 22:59:11	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xfa033d…
08-06 22:57:57	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	112	8¢	$9	0xdca495…
08-06 11:52:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	299	80¢	$239	0xa76d47…
08-06 11:51:02	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	847	80¢	$678	0x3c6553…
08-06 08:28:26	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	495	13¢	$64	0x0edf92…
08-06 06:18:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	187	78¢	$146	0x632c81…
08-06 06:14:00	will spcx dip to 80 in august 2026	No	BUY	221	89¢	$196	0xb21590…
08-06 06:13:12	will spcx reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x9c45af…
08-06 05:00:47	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	686	15¢	$100	0x558e1d…
08-06 01:46:50	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x1d3534…
08-05 22:31:32	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xb2dee5…
08-05 20:53:42	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xec94b6…
08-05 19:24:54	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	266	16¢	$43	0xf6f87a…
08-05 16:07:39	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x07f71b…
08-05 15:11:38	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0xc5a8aa…
08-05 08:52:11	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,504	12¢	$307	0xe35df1…
08-05 08:00:45	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,037	11¢	$220	0x7dd205…
08-04 22:44:11	will spacex say mars during earnings call 20260730164309239	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x89e414…
08-04 21:50:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	110	92¢	$101	0x5abfce…
08-04 21:30:41	will spacex say mars during earnings call 20260730164309239	No	SELL	93	96¢	$90	0x5dfb90…
08-04 21:13:14	will spacex say moon 3 times during earnings call 20260730164309233	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x06222d…
08-04 20:35:18	will spacex say mars during earnings call 20260730164309239	No	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x8367c5…
08-04 20:27:41	will spacex say mars during earnings call 20260730164309239	No	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x9a24bb…
08-04 20:25:09	will spacex say trump during earnings call 20260730164309244	Yes	BUY	75	31¢	$23	0xd784fc…
08-04 11:32:06	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	87	89¢	$77	0x39ce09…
08-04 08:47:44	atp damm tsitsip 2026 08 03	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	1,000	64¢	$640	0x2ff72c…
08-03 22:00:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	1,333	67¢	$893	0x44fa9e…
08-03 19:13:11	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	SELL	390	33¢	$129	0x5d5c6c…
08-02 22:51:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	500	32¢	$160	0xe4beb8…
08-02 22:23:21	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	66	98¢	$65	0x709513…
08-02 21:10:54	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xd48c55…
08-02 21:10:54	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x395365…
08-02 21:10:53	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x90d3e8…
08-02 21:10:51	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf03cdd…
08-02 21:10:51	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x75c541…
08-02 13:32:14	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x313708…
08-02 13:32:12	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xde0b07…
08-02 13:32:12	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa0c266…
08-02 13:32:11	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xca6f08…
08-02 11:58:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	504	99¢	$498	0x5021cf…
08-02 11:58:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xedcb82…
08-02 10:52:51	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	462	98¢	$454	0x598e64…
08-02 08:35:39	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	BUY	563	98¢	$553	0x2052fe…
08-02 02:07:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xf303cf…
08-01 22:11:38	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	SELL	700	32¢	$225	0x154e4e…
08-01 22:10:51	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	SELL	2,013	34¢	$685	0x9201f2…
08-01 22:06:57	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xdb07f7…
08-01 22:06:57	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	1,306	83¢	$1,084	0x674477…
08-01 19:26:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	72	68¢	$49	0x8d469c…
08-01 19:22:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x1525cf…
08-01 19:22:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	510	70¢	$357	0x7d3411…
08-01 19:22:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x872165…
08-01 19:21:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x9a2f5c…
08-01 19:21:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x044829…
08-01 12:38:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	119	21¢	$25	0xb96f45…
08-01 12:33:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x4b3dd4…
08-01 12:31:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xba7862…
08-01 12:31:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	39	21¢	$8	0x153747…
08-01 12:28:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	48	21¢	$10	0x323ce0…
08-01 12:26:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0xb199ed…
08-01 12:25:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x66b91c…
08-01 12:25:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	48	21¢	$10	0x3fe61d…
08-01 12:24:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x4a06ea…
08-01 12:19:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x3c3a3d…
08-01 12:11:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xa13075…
08-01 12:07:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x30123d…
08-01 12:02:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	60	21¢	$13	0x2a40bd…
07-31 22:07:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	388	31¢	$120	0x68085f…
07-29 20:43:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x93818e…
07-29 19:41:14	will warsh say spending during july press conference 20260728013617094	No	SELL	121	98¢	$119	0x896bd4…
07-29 19:28:11	will warsh say bet or betting during july press conference 20260720204109038	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa5f9be…
07-29 19:28:06	will warsh say bet or betting during july press conference 20260720204109038	No	BUY	490	2¢	$10	0x91e891…
07-29 19:24:08	will warsh say bet or betting during july press conference 20260720204109038	Yes	SELL	64	66¢	$42	0x3d37da…
07-29 19:22:56	will warsh say bet or betting during july press conference 20260720204109038	Yes	SELL	670	66¢	$442	0x6aa5b7…
07-29 19:08:35	will warsh say bet or betting during july press conference 20260720204109038	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x7ad756…