Fair-Record 0x477a7d…9e2d8e
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5.49K
Unrealized P&L
-$502
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
362
Trades
3,779
lifetime
Volume
$458.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$121
Open exposure
$4.92K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-24 19:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Other
41% 49% -$2,912
Crypto
22% 55% +$10,504
Tech
19% 52% -$9,715
Politics
13% 37% -$370
Sports
5% 45% -$2,857
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$141
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,181 $384 52¢ $608 +$224 09-14 11:51
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No -658 -$477 87¢ $-572 -$95 05-22 15:25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +527 $394 80¢ $419 +$25 10-14 07:42
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +1,200 $550 34¢ $414 -$136 09-26 09:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +651 $328 57¢ $370 +$43 10-07 13:01
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +484 $348 70¢ $336 -$12 10-23 07:28
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +2,074 $471 12¢ $259 -$212 09-14 18:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,000 $330 24¢ $235 -$95 09-27 19:40
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -244 -$190 94¢ $-228 -$38 07-02 21:24
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +266 $200 78¢ $209 +$8 10-19 07:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -999 -$231 18¢ $-183 +$48 08-14 10:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +170 $139 94¢ $161 +$22 10-17 15:54
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No -147 -$112 96¢ $-141 -$29 07-02 21:16
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No -115 -$100 84¢ $-97 +$3 07-02 21:15
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +700 $222 12¢ $88 -$134 10-01 17:27
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +118 $75 68¢ $79 +$4 10-24 12:23
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $74 74¢ $74 +$0 10-09 23:02
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +100 $63 68¢ $68 +$4 10-10 10:55
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? Yes +715 $99 8¢ $54 -$45 10-08 08:00
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No -200 -$68 23¢ $-46 +$22 09-01 19:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $44 84¢ $42 -$1 10-08 15:33
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +436 $105 9¢ $39 -$65 10-08 00:31
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +50 $35 78¢ $39 +$4 10-08 09:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $39 78¢ $39 $0 10-08 15:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +50 $42 68¢ $34 -$8 10-09 23:03
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $57 26¢ $26 -$31 09-22 08:34
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes -1,311 -$39 2¢ $-20 +$20 09-01 17:47
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +50 $32 39¢ $20 -$12 10-08 09:44
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +100 $28 14¢ $14 -$14 07-24 20:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10 -$9 94¢ $-9 $0 08-30 22:36