Stiff-Calculation 0x9ba04c…0af24d
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$248
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
83.4%
Resolved
52
Trades
187
lifetime
Volume
$1.52K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$158
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-10
last 10-27 02:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Other
41% 48% +$63
Sports
32% 31% +$119
Politics
24% 50% +$66
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$12 15¢ $-15 -$3 08-13 01:43
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +167 $10 6¢ $11 +$1 10-26 02:57
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +45 $10 22¢ $10 $0 10-26 02:58
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +385 $10 2¢ $9 -$1 10-11 02:33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -44 -$10 17¢ $-7 +$3 06-12 04:28
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +118 $8 6¢ $7 -$1 10-26 16:21
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +100 $5 7¢ $7 +$2 10-26 02:58
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +412 $7 2¢ $7 +$0 10-11 02:23
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +233 $7 3¢ $7 $0 10-11 02:21
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +120 $6 5¢ $6 $0 10-11 02:24
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +150 $6 4¢ $6 $0 10-27 02:43
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +15 $5 38¢ $6 +$1 09-01 14:15
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +172 $5 3¢ $5 +$0 10-26 02:58
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +70 $6 8¢ $5 $0 10-26 16:21
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +120 $5 4¢ $5 $0 10-26 16:31
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +89 $5 5¢ $5 -$1 10-11 02:23
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +36 $5 13¢ $5 $0 08-13 15:02
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -25 -$4 18¢ $-5 -$1 06-13 15:18
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +100 $4 4¢ $4 +$0 10-26 16:31
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? Yes -50 -$4 7¢ $-4 +$0 06-13 15:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -18 -$4 18¢ $-3 +$1 08-13 01:42
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes -3,107 -$18 0¢ $-3 +$15 08-18 03:07
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +45 $5 7¢ $3 -$2 08-13 15:02
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +30 $4 10¢ $3 -$1 06-13 15:19
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +107 $3 3¢ $3 $0 10-11 02:22
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -35 -$3 6¢ $-2 +$1 08-13 01:44
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +15 $3 12¢ $2 -$1 06-13 15:19
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 06-12 04:25
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +19 $1 8¢ $1 +$0 06-23 23:51
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +44 $7 3¢ $1 -$6 09-14 00:51