Realized P&L
-$7.05K
Unrealized P&L
-$145
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved
4,059
Trades
20,279
lifetime
Volume
$205.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$212
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-10
last 10-27 21:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Other
70% 66% -$5,174
Politics
22% 58% -$1,333
Tech
5% 46% -$446
Sports
2% 61% -$58
Pop-Culture
1% 65% -$5
Crypto
0% 50% -$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 612 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +22 $18 82¢ $18 $0 10-27 00:54
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +30 $18 52¢ $16 -$3 10-23 18:55
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? Yes +30 $20 49¢ $15 -$5 10-22 14:08
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +30 $13 45¢ $14 +$1 10-27 19:04
skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027 No +30 $16 36¢ $11 -$6 08-19 20:35
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +30 $24 36¢ $11 -$13 09-28 19:28
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +30 $22 36¢ $11 -$12 10-12 21:12
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +30 $18 34¢ $10 -$8 10-18 02:33
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $14 32¢ $9 -$5 10-06 13:03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +29 $10 26¢ $8 -$3 10-27 20:32
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +30 $8 25¢ $8 $0 10-27 00:35
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? Yes +30 $9 24¢ $7 -$2 10-23 08:58
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $18 24¢ $7 -$11 09-25 09:34
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? No +30 $12 24¢ $7 -$5 10-11 01:00
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +20 $7 34¢ $7 $0 10-22 18:11
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $12 18¢ $6 -$7 09-22 23:11
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $6 18¢ $5 $0 10-26 18:37
will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 45 or higher 20260723191456650 Yes +8 $5 63¢ $5 +$0 09-29 02:26
will baidu be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230558 Yes +30 $14 15¢ $5 -$10 08-17 15:13
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559 Yes +30 $14 15¢ $4 -$10 08-17 15:50
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +9 $5 51¢ $4 -$1 10-26 05:50
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $4 18¢ $4 +$0 10-27 00:24
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? Yes +30 $11 12¢ $4 -$8 10-26 16:56
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No +30 $12 12¢ $4 -$8 10-26 16:56
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? No +32 $7 8¢ $3 -$4 10-25 17:44
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 87¢ $3 +$1 09-25 11:07
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +3 $1 77¢ $2 +$1 10-06 09:54
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? No +30 $15 8¢ $2 -$13 10-17 05:23
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? Yes +30 $13 7¢ $2 -$11 09-10 03:38
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes +30 $7 6¢ $2 -$5 08-02 01:07