Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$100

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

11.8%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$1.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-28 02:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

49% 30% -$35

Politics

37% 6% -$48

Sports

9% 0% -$13

Tech

3% 33% -$4

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No		+20	$13	94¢	$19	+$6	08-16 12:35
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes		+20	$7	6¢	$1	-$6	08-15 19:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	7	$82	381	381	+0	No	-$2	07-22 02:57
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in September?	5	$64	120	0	+120	No	-$4	09-22 02:25
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	11	$58	108	0	+108	open	—	08-17 13:49
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	5	$57	100	100	+0	No	-$3	07-22 07:48
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	2	$56	100	100	+0	No	$0	07-22 08:12
Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?	2	$51	100	0	+100	No	-$1	10-12 19:28
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	2	$48	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	07-21 11:49
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	2	$47	200	200	+0	Yes	-$3	07-18 16:25
Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?	2	$42	73	0	+73	No	-$5	09-15 10:24
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	2	$39	170	170	+0	No	-$2	07-22 08:43
Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?	7	$39	77	0	+77	No	-$1	08-16 04:53
Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	4	$33	65	0	+65	Yes	-$1	10-02 14:08
Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$33	66	0	+66	open	—	10-03 20:13
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	2	$32	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	07-21 12:16
israel closes its airspace by july 24	2	$32	200	200	+0	No	-$4	07-22 01:47
Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Chile this month?	2	$31	40	0	+40	open	—	10-08 14:25
Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?	4	$28	40	0	+40	Yes	-$8	09-19 18:59
Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?	3	$26	40	0	+40	No	-$6	09-03 15:00
Will the median home value in NYC be at least $689,000 on September 30?	2	$25	40	0	+40	No	-$5	08-25 19:53
Will Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?	2	$24	40	0	+40	Yes	-$4	09-11 21:08
Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	5	$23	56	0	+56	No	+$5	08-16 05:41
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	5	$23	40	0	+40	open	—	08-31 17:22
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?	4	$23	40	0	+40	Yes	-$3	09-10 10:55
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	2	$22	40	0	+40	No	-$2	09-22 11:20
Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	2	$22	20	20	+0	No	-$1	07-22 05:46
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	2	$22	40	0	+40	No	-$2	09-19 19:06
Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	2	$22	40	0	+40	Yes	-$2	08-02 18:01
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	08-02 17:25
Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	2	$21	40	0	+40	No	-$1	08-25 00:00
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000?	2	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	10-07 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:48:20	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x9c75e6…
10-15 07:27:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xdedf82…
10-13 06:33:16	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6f8195…
10-12 19:28:02	Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x0bd724…
10-12 17:13:00	Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x9e5a82…
10-12 09:00:06	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 103.00 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x60677b…
10-11 21:25:20	Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 900,000 and 1,000,000?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xe2c28b…
10-11 08:38:07	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 103.00 in October?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3718c2…
10-10 21:19:24	Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 900,000 and 1,000,000?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xb406ce…
10-09 18:12:19	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x9d8e27…
10-08 14:25:36	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Chile this month?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xb6ff3b…
10-07 15:26:34	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x77836a…
10-07 14:17:28	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Chile this month?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xa39e0d…
10-07 11:55:38	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x45b9ad…
10-07 08:46:36	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xdd96f6…
10-03 20:13:08	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	33	79¢	$26	0xcaf8be…
10-02 22:12:17	Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x45dfb9…
10-02 19:07:35	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x7747b2…
10-02 14:08:15	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4c4d0d…
10-02 14:07:56	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xf1b2f4…
10-02 14:07:56	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x3dc6c2…
09-30 12:00:12	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	No	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0x48a019…
09-28 01:34:24	Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x14b0f9…
09-23 19:51:19	Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xb6493e…
09-22 19:49:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x1178d3…
09-22 13:30:37	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in September?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbd59cf…
09-22 11:20:10	Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x4aa5cf…
09-22 11:04:58	Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x78768f…
09-22 02:25:20	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in September?	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x8d372a…
09-21 00:04:14	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9a67c0…
09-20 03:15:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xa6b975…
09-19 19:06:36	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x3ab95b…
09-19 18:59:47	Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$4	0xec9a40…
09-19 18:59:47	Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xdb4db0…
09-19 02:21:37	Will the Eagles win the season series against the Giants during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x913aee…
09-19 02:21:36	Will the Eagles win the season series against the Giants during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfcbcbc…
09-18 20:10:25	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in September?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x23b4fc…
09-18 18:46:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6f9da8…
09-18 08:57:27	Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x379069…
09-17 19:27:52	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x671890…
09-17 15:16:58	Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbc5169…
09-17 09:11:55	will coin reach 175 in september 2026 from september 16	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x209372…
09-17 07:17:18	will hood reach 110 in september 2026 from september 16	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x12516b…
09-17 05:20:54	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 09 29 2026 0pt72	No	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x0bf49f…
09-17 04:45:22	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 09 29 2026 0pt72	No	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x165485…
09-17 04:21:01	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 09 29 2026 0pt72	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xa4789e…
09-17 02:24:03	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xe71876…
09-17 02:24:03	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$3	0xb53199…
09-17 01:02:55	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x4c549e…
09-16 23:02:15	will dxy dip to 99 50 in september 2026 from september 15	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0a4566…
09-16 22:56:25	will dxy dip to 99 50 in september 2026 from september 15	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x69f66b…
09-16 05:55:27	will dxy dip to 99 50 in september 2026 from september 15	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xc7b0ed…
09-15 23:42:57	next white house press secretary announced by october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xaaf574…
09-15 18:52:18	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xbce52f…
09-15 18:52:15	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xcab718…
09-15 10:24:48	Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?	No	BUY	36	62¢	$23	0x414daf…
09-14 21:16:21	Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb2070e…
09-14 00:09:43	Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	36	52¢	$19	0xd8b555…
09-13 20:46:28	Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9ab1ba…
09-13 20:46:18	Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x658e8b…
09-11 21:08:33	Will Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xbd200b…
09-11 17:55:01	Will Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xcc90b6…
09-11 13:56:22	Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb915e2…
09-10 10:55:43	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0xc8bda9…
09-10 10:55:43	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb005b2…
09-10 10:55:16	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x989a28…
09-08 13:01:52	Will the Cincinnati Reds have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa1655c…
09-08 03:12:58	Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2b405d…
09-07 04:03:24	Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x22fdd4…
09-06 12:15:49	Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xfad968…
09-04 10:24:19	will hood reach 150 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x94b08a…
09-04 09:28:30	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x81c2e6…
09-04 00:05:58	will hood reach 150 in september 2026	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x274289…
09-03 22:12:45	Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xff1174…
09-03 22:01:22	Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x86ca73…
09-03 15:00:21	Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xc58db2…
09-03 04:22:55	Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x7b729e…
09-03 03:03:36	Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xa8e2a6…
08-31 17:22:21	Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd91a30…
08-31 15:02:09	Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x4e6775…
08-31 11:41:27	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xefce31…
08-31 11:02:17	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x9b6407…
08-31 03:10:40	Will there be a power grid emergency in Texas before October 1?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x21d0bf…
08-30 14:26:22	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd9ee4b…
08-30 14:25:45	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x3ddbfb…
08-30 13:41:28	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x748dcb…
08-26 14:08:12	Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x988f01…
08-25 19:53:52	Will the median home value in NYC be at least $689,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x76c39c…
08-25 00:00:39	Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x470b4c…
08-24 22:53:54	Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xa742a9…
08-24 14:19:30	Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x6ab409…
08-24 14:18:15	Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x1e48cc…
08-24 13:42:33	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xfc4e76…
08-24 01:56:33	Will the median home value in NYC be at least $689,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xa62931…
08-22 11:28:27	Will the Cincinnati Reds have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x48da81…
08-21 16:17:13	Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xa4da5c…
08-21 13:48:46	Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xeee956…
08-20 23:47:28	Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x88a879…
08-20 23:47:13	Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xd2ece2…
08-20 07:11:12	Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xf78b6a…