Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$285

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$126

Open exposure

$865

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-12 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

45% 58% -$276

Tech

34% 92% +$310

Politics

22% 83% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	+885	$800	80¢	$712	-$88	07-12 14:24
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+203	$150	72¢	$145	-$5	05-31 09:38
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	+237	$200	3¢	$8	-$192	07-12 14:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	3	$800	885	+885	open	—	07-12 14:24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$600	671	+671	Yes	+$71	07-04 12:07
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$500	572	+572	Yes	+$72	07-04 12:07
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$300	313	+313	Yes	+$13	02-25 19:32
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	2	$300	360	+360	Yes	+$60	07-04 14:18
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	1	$200	217	+217	Yes	+$17	07-04 14:18
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	1	$200	220	+220	Yes	+$20	03-15 16:33
will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$200	213	+213	Yes	+$13	02-25 19:23
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	2	$200	237	+237	open	—	07-12 14:24
will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	1	$200	219	+219	No	+$19	03-07 14:38
will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	1	$200	230	+230	Yes	+$30	03-06 06:38
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	1	$200	217	+217	Yes	+$17	05-31 09:36
highest temperature in wellington on february 28 2026 17c	1	$200	220	+220	No	+$20	02-27 20:51
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	1	$200	218	+218	No	-$200	03-30 20:05
will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	1	$200	216	+216	Yes	+$16	03-07 14:33
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$150	203	+203	open	—	05-31 09:38
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$150	160	+160	Yes	+$10	01-06 23:56
will israel strike 2 countries in february 2026	1	$150	166	+166	Yes	-$150	02-25 19:33
will gianni infantino attend the 2026 state of the union address	1	$100	127	+127	No	+$27	02-22 20:03
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	1	$100	133	+133	Yes	+$33	05-31 10:01
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	1	$100	130	+130	No	+$30	03-15 16:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$100	120	+120	Yes	+$20	05-31 09:20
highest temperature in wellington on february 28 2026 21corhigher	1	$100	111	+111	No	+$11	02-26 20:31
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$100	111	+111	Yes	+$11	04-12 17:06
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$100	133	+133	Yes	+$33	03-06 07:34
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	1	$100	141	+141	Yes	+$41	02-22 19:56
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	1	$100	120	+120	No	-$100	06-07 13:16
will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	1	$100	113	+113	Yes	-$100	02-25 19:33
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	1	$100	141	+141	Yes	+$41	03-17 23:45
Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?	1	$100	120	+120	Yes	+$20	06-07 13:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 14:24:14	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x7c9d1e…
07-12 14:24:07	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x6547f7…
07-04 14:18:52	Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0xfc2e17…
07-04 14:18:19	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x1cf442…
07-04 14:16:58	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x44d550…
07-04 12:07:53	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0xbd1673…
07-04 12:07:26	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	88¢	$400	0xd2cb2e…
07-04 12:07:17	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0xc717f9…
06-28 14:55:44	Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x2f226c…
06-28 14:52:56	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x614c1f…
06-28 14:52:32	Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x1605ce…
06-28 14:18:28	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	224	89¢	$200	0x4caee4…
06-28 14:17:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xed6e8d…
06-28 14:17:31	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x458e03…
06-07 13:19:57	Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xae3c33…
06-07 13:16:43	Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	120	84¢	$100	0x222d84…
06-04 19:15:33	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x16ee22…
05-31 10:01:46	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xb7b2e3…
05-31 09:38:43	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	203	74¢	$150	0xd0e37b…
05-31 09:36:09	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0xd3206a…
05-31 09:26:12	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xa3f28c…
05-31 09:26:05	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xed7a69…
05-31 09:23:23	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x2292b3…
05-31 09:20:36	Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	81¢	$70	0x089b84…
05-31 09:20:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x12a221…
04-12 17:08:27	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	88	80¢	$70	0xe308d6…
04-12 17:06:33	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x82d5e6…
04-02 07:57:53	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x94f458…
03-30 20:11:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x466db6…
03-30 20:10:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x9c2212…
03-30 20:06:25	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xb6d5c9…
03-30 20:05:47	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x726314…
03-21 12:09:07	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	Yes	BUY	90	78¢	$70	0xf80102…
03-17 23:45:41	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x918a6f…
03-15 16:41:49	pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x37ab07…
03-15 16:33:03	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xb60f39…
03-08 23:27:23	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x074b8c…
03-08 23:24:15	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	68	9¢	$6	0x6e3a38…
03-08 23:18:07	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0xb592aa…
03-08 13:05:47	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	No	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x358010…
03-07 14:38:47	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	No	BUY	219	91¢	$200	0xec99c2…
03-07 14:33:23	will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	216	92¢	$200	0x5bcd33…
03-06 19:28:25	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x9835a1…
03-06 07:34:41	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x823493…
03-06 06:38:53	will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x2b001d…
02-27 21:27:19	us strike on somalia by february 28 399	No	BUY	94	80¢	$75	0x6bdf2e…
02-27 21:01:27	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x60d694…
02-27 20:51:39	highest temperature in wellington on february 28 2026 17c	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x37714b…
02-26 20:31:18	highest temperature in wellington on february 28 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x8616ca…
02-25 19:34:34	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xe06963…
02-25 19:33:42	will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	No	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0xe883f0…
02-25 19:33:24	will israel strike 2 countries in february 2026	No	BUY	166	91¢	$150	0x1025ed…
02-25 19:32:34	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	313	96¢	$300	0x08a4da…
02-25 19:30:08	will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	85	71¢	$60	0x2267f4…
02-25 19:23:18	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xcaa1fe…
02-22 20:03:48	will gianni infantino attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x2984ec…
02-22 19:56:14	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x0e58e4…
01-06 23:56:33	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0x8cfa5c…