Ethical-Reception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.07K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,488

lifetime

Volume

$929.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$373

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 08-08 17:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$879

Politics

22% 100% +$1

Sports

17% 100% +$187

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	55	$60.8K	83,579	83,698	-119	open	—	08-07 16:20
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	29	$36.6K	18,781	20,440	-1,659	open	—	02-03 05:34
Will Everton qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	12	$34.8K	34,917	0	+34,917	No	+$164	05-05 05:26
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	4	$21.8K	19,474	2,548	+16,927	open	—	02-03 22:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$20.4K	12,346	12,346	+0	open	—	08-06 05:06
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	3	$20.1K	12,814	7,400	+5,414	open	—	04-08 06:19
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	42	$16.0K	15,551	8,109	+7,441	open	—	01-22 21:26
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	17	$15.7K	12,035	3,735	+8,300	open	—	03-19 06:42
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	1	$14.9K	14,954	0	+14,954	open	—	02-05 22:39
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	4	$14.0K	14,100	0	+14,100	open	—	01-11 11:16
Will Man City be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$13.0K	13,029	0	+13,029	open	—	03-11 08:21
Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	1	$12.1K	12,137	0	+12,137	open	—	05-03 19:26
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	3	$12.0K	6,078	6,078	+0	open	—	02-10 13:03
Will the US strike Somalia next?	8	$11.0K	11,178	0	+11,178	open	—	01-29 22:11
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	9	$10.9K	6,987	6,987	+0	open	—	07-08 16:51
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	2	$10.1K	10,490	0	+10,490	open	—	02-09 18:50
will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in january	11	$10.1K	10,641	401	+10,240	open	—	01-31 07:51
will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	16	$9.3K	13,256	13,745	-489	open	—	02-12 17:11
will microsoft be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 327	6	$9.2K	5,679	5,679	+0	open	—	01-29 08:19
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?	1	$8.1K	8,073	0	+8,073	open	—	06-10 18:38
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	1	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	08-01 06:38
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	5	$7.7K	4,221	4,221	+0	open	—	01-13 19:16
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	10	$7.7K	14,534	14,534	+0	open	—	02-08 22:10
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	3	$7.5K	7,525	0	+7,525	open	—	05-17 11:54
Will Leeds finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	1	$7.4K	7,358	0	+7,358	open	—	04-13 20:58
gustavo petro out as leader of colombia by july 31 20260717181332644	2	$7.1K	7,149	0	+7,149	open	—	08-01 07:37
Will Crystal Palace qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	7	$6.8K	3,530	3,301	+229	open	—	05-03 18:02
will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	47	$6.8K	6,244	1,529	+4,715	open	—	07-23 19:17
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?	1	$6.8K	6,791	0	+6,791	open	—	06-10 18:38
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?	2	$6.7K	6,733	0	+6,733	open	—	06-10 18:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 17:03:49	trump approval up or down this week 20260730202018839	Up	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x909e2f…
08-07 16:21:31	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xb2a0af…
08-07 16:21:09	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0xc04b6b…
08-07 16:21:07	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	144	50¢	$72	0x9dee46…
08-07 16:20:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	14,267	47¢	$6,706	0xeeb164…
08-07 15:38:18	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	120	50¢	$60	0x318212…
08-07 15:24:39	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x83a66b…
08-07 14:08:43	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	1,232	50¢	$616	0x8f6a96…
08-07 12:31:48	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1,533	43¢	$659	0xa1b4c3…
08-07 12:31:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x12c08a…
08-07 12:31:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcc8a9a…
08-07 12:31:06	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	13,962	39¢	$5,444	0x5dabeb…
08-07 12:31:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	37¢	$75	0xcf294a…
08-06 09:04:47	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x65fba7…
08-06 08:34:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	53	38¢	$20	0x5278fa…
08-06 08:11:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	38¢	$760	0x905082…
08-06 07:50:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	51	38¢	$19	0x97c4e0…
08-06 07:50:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x016a7f…
08-06 07:35:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	110	38¢	$42	0x570f35…
08-06 06:29:06	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	207	38¢	$79	0x6b238f…
08-06 05:23:21	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xf8f38f…
08-06 05:06:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12,346	84¢	$10,370	0x341c87…
08-06 04:05:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x0e06e4…
08-06 04:00:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xa2bc0d…
08-06 03:48:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x4697c1…
08-06 03:47:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x7bdf35…
08-06 03:45:21	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xa8fda4…
08-06 03:41:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	9	38¢	$4	0x5de2a1…
08-06 03:29:21	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x22677a…
08-06 03:26:26	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	80	38¢	$30	0xff6837…
08-06 02:35:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x65a133…
08-06 02:34:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xdd5ea1…
08-06 01:59:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x99a998…
08-06 01:58:21	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xee1f0d…
08-06 00:56:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x854d67…
08-06 00:55:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	53	38¢	$20	0xf30c19…
08-06 00:00:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x028f4d…
08-04 14:41:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xbe245c…
08-04 14:40:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	62	37¢	$23	0xb9882b…
08-04 14:14:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x68307a…
08-04 14:13:59	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	107	37¢	$39	0xd64069…
08-04 11:59:53	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	179	46¢	$82	0xeb7659…
08-04 11:59:42	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	870	46¢	$400	0x3ab287…
08-02 13:39:20	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x230c41…
08-02 13:01:18	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7cd6bf…
08-02 09:32:08	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4bf9fe…
08-02 09:11:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12,346	81¢	$10,000	0xb8795f…
08-02 09:01:59	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9dab36…
08-02 08:59:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2,950	34¢	$1,003	0x605403…
08-02 08:32:30	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1,030	40¢	$412	0x5f85d0…
08-01 11:00:41	trump approval up or down this week 20260724144900514	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4668a4…
08-01 07:37:21	gustavo petro out as leader of colombia by july 31 20260717181332644	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4c1301…
08-01 07:37:14	gustavo petro out as leader of colombia by july 31 20260717181332644	No	BUY	7,144	99¢	$7,057	0x9a962b…
08-01 06:38:33	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	BUY	8,000	100¢	$7,992	0x8d7a7f…
07-29 19:40:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	42,269	36¢	$15,275	0x1135a9…
07-28 15:04:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	11,936	23¢	$2,745	0x071b81…
07-28 14:10:23	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	123	22¢	$27	0x3acbe8…
07-28 14:09:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	62	22¢	$14	0xccb8a7…
07-28 13:52:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x380b4b…
07-28 13:46:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x97fc02…
07-24 14:24:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	6,668	30¢	$2,000	0x3a053b…
07-24 04:50:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2,111	27¢	$570	0x2a7392…
07-23 20:34:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xa59945…
07-23 20:28:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	7,465	30¢	$2,236	0x126150…
07-23 19:17:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6b304a…
07-23 14:32:18	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbc3aa3…
07-23 10:19:28	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	183	99¢	$181	0xca3619…
07-23 10:19:21	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf3a26c…
07-23 10:18:30	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0xdc8078…
07-23 10:17:03	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x0eca45…
07-23 10:16:57	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	234	99¢	$231	0x8ddb02…
07-23 10:16:52	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	189	99¢	$187	0x610511…
07-23 10:16:48	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0xcfec75…
07-23 10:11:51	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	201	99¢	$199	0xfd0bce…
07-23 10:11:36	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	201	99¢	$199	0xfe5839…
07-23 10:10:16	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x09e70f…
07-23 10:10:07	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	232	99¢	$229	0xedf5b0…
07-23 10:08:51	will russia enter novyi donbas by september 30	Yes	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xe537b0…
07-23 07:41:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2,077	31¢	$644	0xa861e2…
07-23 07:33:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	746	29¢	$216	0xe08348…
07-23 06:54:25	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	197	96¢	$190	0xe41bf5…
07-23 05:42:03	Will GBP/USD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	81	69¢	$56	0x78c31d…
07-23 05:30:31	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	582	99¢	$578	0x903aaa…
07-23 05:30:24	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	262	99¢	$259	0xb5517c…
07-23 05:17:16	will russia enter novyi donbas by september 30	Yes	BUY	1,081	99¢	$1,069	0x9cdbbd…
07-23 05:16:13	will russia enter svitle by september 30	Yes	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x4e8c80…
07-23 05:15:18	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	4,807	99¢	$4,756	0x1d0f5b…
07-23 05:15:06	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0xe6d6ff…
07-22 14:40:28	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	470	74¢	$346	0xf34cff…
07-22 14:31:21	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1,087	76¢	$821	0x4b6fdb…
07-22 13:21:04	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	756	86¢	$649	0x8386b0…
07-21 06:38:46	will titan esports club win more than 1pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409497	U 1.5	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xddc075…
07-21 06:37:42	will trace esports win more than 1pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409491	U 1.5	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,069	0x1c4203…
07-21 06:09:27	will bridget phillipson be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533208	Yes	BUY	229	100¢	$228	0xf6f246…
07-21 06:09:01	will bridget phillipson be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533208	Yes	BUY	171	93¢	$160	0xb76eae…
07-21 06:02:46	will alan campbell be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533221	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc6c7a4…
07-21 06:00:51	will angela rayner be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533198	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xdd9112…
07-20 16:46:52	Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?	No	BUY	545	100¢	$544	0x5feaae…
07-19 21:43:43	will a goal be scored during 106 120 minute 20260716181534263	Yes	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x4d6c89…
07-19 21:42:54	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	627	98¢	$614	0x33faf4…