Ethical-Reception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.07K

Unrealized P&L

+$92

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,328

lifetime

Volume

$802.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$345

Open exposure

$422

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-30 03:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$879

Politics

22% 100% +$1

Sports

18% 100% +$187

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No		+500	$320	74¢	$368	+$48	06-12 14:41
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		-119	$-99	46¢	$-54	+$45	06-27 19:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	29	$36.6K	18,781	20,440	-1,659	open	—	02-03 05:34
Will Everton qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	12	$34.8K	34,917	0	+34,917	No	+$164	05-05 05:26
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	4	$21.8K	19,474	2,548	+16,927	open	—	02-03 22:08
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	3	$20.1K	12,814	7,400	+5,414	open	—	04-08 06:19
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	42	$16.0K	15,551	8,109	+7,441	open	—	01-22 21:26
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	17	$15.7K	12,035	3,735	+8,300	open	—	03-19 06:42
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	1	$14.9K	14,954	0	+14,954	open	—	02-05 22:39
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	4	$14.0K	14,100	0	+14,100	open	—	01-11 11:16
Will Man City be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$13.0K	13,029	0	+13,029	open	—	03-11 08:21
Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	1	$12.1K	12,137	0	+12,137	open	—	05-03 19:26
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	3	$12.0K	6,078	6,078	+0	open	—	02-10 13:03
Will the US strike Somalia next?	8	$11.0K	11,178	0	+11,178	open	—	01-29 22:11
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	2	$10.1K	10,490	0	+10,490	open	—	02-09 18:50
will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in january	11	$10.1K	10,641	401	+10,240	open	—	01-31 07:51
will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	16	$9.3K	13,256	13,745	-489	open	—	02-12 17:11
will microsoft be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 327	6	$9.2K	5,679	5,679	+0	open	—	01-29 08:19
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?	1	$8.1K	8,073	0	+8,073	open	—	06-10 18:38
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	5	$7.7K	4,221	4,221	+0	open	—	01-13 19:16
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	10	$7.7K	14,534	14,534	+0	open	—	02-08 22:10
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	3	$7.5K	7,525	0	+7,525	open	—	05-17 11:54
Will Leeds finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	1	$7.4K	7,358	0	+7,358	open	—	04-13 20:58
Will Crystal Palace qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	7	$6.8K	3,530	3,301	+229	open	—	05-03 18:02
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?	1	$6.8K	6,791	0	+6,791	open	—	06-10 18:38
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?	2	$6.7K	6,733	0	+6,733	open	—	06-10 18:39
will people be said 100 times during the first episode of the joe rogan experience this week january 25	2	$6.7K	6,872	0	+6,872	open	—	01-20 21:16
will trump say peace 20 times during the board of peace charter announcement	3	$6.3K	3,188	3,188	+0	open	—	01-22 13:46
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	7	$6.2K	9,261	12,575	-3,314	open	—	02-12 17:11
will russia enter sofiivka by february 28	2	$5.8K	5,813	0	+5,813	open	—	02-04 22:41
will there be 12 14 inches of snow in nyc in january	33	$5.5K	3,431	2,865	+566	open	—	02-01 15:09
will uranium usdlbs hit 90 low by end of february	1	$5.4K	5,467	0	+5,467	open	—	02-06 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 03:45:26	will kai havertz score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145926127	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1a3758…
06-27 19:03:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1,800	47¢	$846	0xdce0ce…
06-27 10:25:41	trump approval up or down this week 20260619212033704	Up	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x5ee8be…
06-24 19:42:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,800	46¢	$828	0x1388b0…
06-23 20:26:44	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	138	97¢	$133	0x21ed88…
06-23 19:08:16	will france go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622446	Yes	SELL	472	80¢	$379	0x49d952…
06-23 12:09:26	Will EUR/USD hit 1.14 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,277	100¢	$2,274	0x750f32…
06-21 18:53:19	will any player record 40 kills on a single map at masters london 2026 20260609212804339	No	BUY	314	98¢	$308	0x4f2ae3…
06-21 18:52:56	will any player record 40 kills on a single map at masters london 2026 20260609212804339	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xa2627e…
06-21 17:13:37	will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x8a6b42…
06-21 17:12:14	will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xf1a3c9…
06-21 16:13:55	will lamine yamal score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610223932021	Yes	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0xd49766…
06-21 05:43:23	will emiliano buenda score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	1,875	100¢	$1,872	0xe0efeb…
06-21 05:20:56	will tunisia be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003073	No	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0x613240…
06-21 05:20:20	will tunisia be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003073	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa4018d…
06-20 21:59:13	will ivory coast go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622441	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0x489e29…
06-20 21:58:56	will ivory coast go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622441	No	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x06dafb…
06-20 18:53:41	will sweden go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622458	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa00594…
06-20 18:14:29	will sweden go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622458	No	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x2365b9…
06-19 06:55:02	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	BUY	73	88¢	$64	0xc9c17b…
06-17 06:06:43	will jordan go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622427	No	BUY	1,302	100¢	$1,300	0x4ccc8b…
06-17 05:22:41	will france go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622446	Yes	BUY	472	72¢	$338	0x0ecd00…
06-16 21:37:28	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xa8889d…
06-16 21:37:28	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xa1f02a…
06-16 21:37:28	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x73997b…
06-16 21:37:28	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x68294e…
06-16 21:37:28	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x59d11e…
06-16 21:37:26	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf2f1a1…
06-16 21:37:26	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xe04f0e…
06-16 21:37:26	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xd7e11f…
06-16 21:37:26	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x726e7b…
06-16 21:37:26	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x192150…
06-16 21:37:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x7f1b51…
06-16 21:37:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x750fa9…
06-16 21:37:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x556701…
06-16 21:37:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x4fd1c0…
06-16 21:27:13	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x0c6d01…
06-16 20:49:10	will senegal go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622437	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x735078…
06-16 20:37:22	will senegal go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622437	No	BUY	244	95¢	$231	0x9eca0a…
06-16 19:47:08	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x9a7e78…
06-16 19:47:07	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xc6e61c…
06-16 19:47:07	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x9a9527…
06-16 19:47:07	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x82bb70…
06-16 19:47:07	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x1d0d52…
06-16 19:42:34	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	110	80¢	$88	0x7353b9…
06-16 19:27:17	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x26eb77…
06-16 12:36:57	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf73a3d…
06-16 12:36:57	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xd1ec12…
06-16 12:36:57	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xb57af4…
06-16 12:36:57	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x2e6174…
06-16 12:36:55	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x28a71d…
06-16 12:06:55	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xcad340…
06-16 12:06:55	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x26f6fe…
06-16 09:27:04	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xe13bee…
06-16 08:57:13	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xda5df6…
06-16 08:57:13	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x5558bd…
06-15 20:38:16	romelu lukaku 20260609173850402	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x706d46…
06-15 17:44:37	will kaoru mitoma score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	4,140	100¢	$4,131	0xaa3765…
06-15 17:41:27	will fermn lpez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	869	100¢	$868	0x4a91ee…
06-15 05:16:42	will jeremie frimpong score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	939	100¢	$938	0xf77f11…
06-15 05:12:21	will joo pedro score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x93d682…
06-15 04:30:58	will keito nakamura score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x617785…
06-14 18:41:33	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xaeb86c…
06-14 18:17:48	will curacao go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622461	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0xcf6c29…
06-14 17:24:12	will yann bisseck score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	995	100¢	$994	0x8e88d5…
06-13 20:57:12	will qatar go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622425	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xb30613…
06-13 20:28:54	will qatar go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622425	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x4314b4…
06-13 09:39:19	trump approval up or down this week 741	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xf0a72a…
06-13 05:41:24	spacex ipo trading halted for volatility 20260610002021403	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x8e59ab…
06-13 05:35:52	will paraguay go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622434	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x61ca9a…
06-12 14:50:51	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	170	98¢	$166	0x23e137…
06-12 14:49:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	260	98¢	$254	0x6bfdf5…
06-12 14:48:24	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	714	98¢	$698	0xf12ec9…
06-12 14:48:06	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	466	98¢	$456	0x668cc3…
06-12 14:41:39	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	500	64¢	$320	0x8fdadc…
06-12 11:50:48	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	61	71¢	$43	0xd19a5b…
06-12 11:50:34	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	BUY	65	84¢	$54	0xe18145…
06-10 18:39:06	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?	No	BUY	2,110	100¢	$2,108	0x1ffecb…
06-10 18:38:39	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?	No	BUY	6,791	100¢	$6,784	0x18aabc…
06-10 18:38:31	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?	No	BUY	8,073	100¢	$8,065	0xd3843d…
06-10 18:38:07	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	4,447	100¢	$4,438	0x81c1cc…
06-10 18:38:01	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?	No	BUY	4,623	100¢	$4,614	0x5afe20…
06-10 09:06:43	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	140	89¢	$124	0xc7526c…
06-10 09:06:24	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	592	77¢	$456	0x09aff0…
06-10 07:10:10	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	No	SELL	355	91¢	$323	0x5836d6…
06-10 05:48:25	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x18a6d9…
06-10 05:33:52	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x606f06…
06-10 00:34:43	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xa1b324…
06-10 00:09:24	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	457	91¢	$416	0xb5f55f…
06-09 21:35:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	84	79¢	$66	0x2f53ce…
06-09 15:30:10	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	676	69¢	$468	0xf3e275…
06-08 15:21:49	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	250	69¢	$172	0xceb9b4…
06-08 15:20:58	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	255	70¢	$178	0x7e5ac9…
06-08 15:19:52	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	255	70¢	$178	0x4bf2b9…
06-08 15:18:40	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	4,456	70¢	$3,119	0x5f6abb…
06-08 05:45:42	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	255	70¢	$178	0xcdfbed…
06-08 05:45:13	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	250	70¢	$175	0xff2bac…
06-08 05:44:43	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	267	70¢	$187	0x5ae98c…
06-07 14:13:19	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	210	68¢	$142	0xc9c4dc…
06-07 14:07:28	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xc60625…