Ethical-Reception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.73K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved

2,144

Trades

3,907

lifetime

Volume

$1.24M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$317

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 09-24 03:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Other

61% 98% -$851

Politics

21% 95% -$6,635

Sports

15% 99% +$2,358

Tech

1% 88% +$139

Crypto

1% 100% +$191

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No		+0	$0	28¢	$0	$0	08-05 03:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	69	$60.9K	83,698	83,698	+0	Yes	+$8,109	08-07 16:20
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	29	$36.6K	18,781	20,440	-1,659	No	+$1,254	02-03 05:34
Will Everton qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	12	$34.8K	34,917	0	+34,917	No	+$164	05-05 05:26
Will Yair Rodriguez fight Arnold Allen next?	2	$22.3K	22,368	0	+22,368	No	+$24	08-17 14:23
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	4	$21.8K	19,474	2,548	+16,927	Yes	+$178	02-03 22:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$20.4K	12,346	12,346	+0	open	—	08-06 05:06
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	3	$20.1K	12,814	7,400	+5,414	Ceasefire	+$121	04-08 06:19
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	42	$16.0K	15,551	8,109	+7,441	Yes	-$118	01-22 21:26
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	17	$15.7K	12,035	3,735	+8,300	No	+$31	03-19 06:42
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	1	$14.9K	14,954	0	+14,954	Yes	+$30	02-05 22:39
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	6	$14.4K	14,578	0	+14,578	Yes	+$132	05-09 13:04
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	4	$14.0K	14,100	0	+14,100	Yes	+$100	01-11 11:16
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	49	$13.1K	15,404	10,649	+4,755	No	+$917	09-16 18:01
Will Man City be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$13.0K	13,029	0	+13,029	No	+$61	03-11 08:21
Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	1	$12.1K	12,137	0	+12,137	No	+$16	05-03 19:26
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	3	$12.0K	6,078	6,078	+0	No	+$50	02-10 13:03
Will the US strike Somalia next?	8	$11.0K	11,178	0	+11,178	Yes	+$168	01-29 22:11
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	9	$10.9K	6,987	6,987	+0	No	+$1,001	07-08 16:51
Will Europe (UEFA) score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$10.2K	5,412	5,412	+0	Yes	+$594	07-15 01:46
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	2	$10.1K	10,490	0	+10,490	No	+$372	02-09 18:50
will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in january	11	$10.1K	10,641	401	+10,240	No	+$202	01-31 07:51
will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	16	$9.3K	13,256	13,745	-489	No	-$9,199	02-12 17:11
will microsoft be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 327	6	$9.2K	5,679	5,679	+0	Yes	-$1,384	01-29 08:19
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?	1	$8.1K	8,073	0	+8,073	No	+$8	06-10 18:38
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	1	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$8	08-01 06:38
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	3	$8.0K	7,998	0	+7,998	Yes	+$16	08-14 09:07
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	5	$7.7K	4,221	4,221	+0	Yes	+$123	01-13 19:16
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	10	$7.7K	14,534	14,534	+0	Yes	-$7,550	02-08 22:10
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	3	$7.5K	7,525	0	+7,525	Yes	+$25	05-17 11:54
Will Leeds finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	1	$7.4K	7,358	0	+7,358	No	+$7	04-13 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 03:50:21	Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 30–35%?	Yes	BUY	515	100¢	$514	0xeb2999…
09-24 03:50:12	Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by at least 40%?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x040b1d…
09-21 06:29:47	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	79	61¢	$48	0x29476a…
09-21 06:29:39	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	130	61¢	$79	0xd3b1f6…
09-21 06:29:38	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	150	61¢	$92	0xc177d6…
09-21 06:29:38	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	71	60¢	$43	0x6d2455…
09-21 06:29:36	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	150	60¢	$90	0xccdb13…
09-21 06:29:36	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	150	60¢	$90	0x501ce3…
09-21 06:29:36	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	150	60¢	$90	0x0884ed…
09-21 06:29:29	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	21	60¢	$12	0xf2e71b…
09-21 06:29:29	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	90	60¢	$54	0xf1ae3d…
09-21 06:29:29	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x083691…
09-21 06:29:27	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,885	54¢	$1,011	0xe5af7d…
09-21 06:29:27	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0xa6225d…
09-20 21:34:05	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	750	53¢	$398	0x3414e4…
09-20 21:00:35	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	57	53¢	$30	0xe61461…
09-20 20:23:55	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	94	53¢	$50	0x41349e…
09-20 20:08:14	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	998	52¢	$519	0xa87ed2…
09-18 05:47:04	Will Olivia McMillan / Chloe Igleski advance to the Final in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	151	97¢	$146	0x0010f4…
09-17 17:13:37	Will Jonathan Truong / Max Freeman advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x89e092…
09-17 17:02:09	Will Brooke Buckner / Kaitlyn Christian advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xa7062b…
09-17 16:38:09	Will Tyler Loong / John Lucian Goins advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x8f4d85…
09-17 16:04:03	Will Victoria DiMuzio / Layne Sleeth advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	488	93¢	$453	0xb4ebb1…
09-17 16:03:43	Will Angie Walker / Alex Walker advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xe34f37…
09-17 16:03:00	Will Angie Walker / Alex Walker advance to the Semifinals in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfd2380…
09-16 23:33:58	Will Lucas Pascoe advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x7526d9…
09-16 23:33:46	Will Max Freeman advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x09fe36…
09-16 23:33:40	Will Tyson McGuffin advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x8206a8…
09-16 23:33:33	Will Michael Loyd advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x78ab2f…
09-16 23:33:03	Will Tyson McGuffin advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xa58d94…
09-16 23:32:37	Will Max Freeman advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xf111c1…
09-16 23:32:16	Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x757de4…
09-16 23:31:30	Will Alex Walker advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0e507c…
09-16 23:31:19	Will Eileen Wang advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xde79af…
09-16 23:31:12	Will Marcela Aguilar advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa7676b…
09-16 23:31:04	Will Kelly Goodnow advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xbf5bad…
09-16 23:30:22	Will Alex Walker advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc87d8a…
09-16 23:30:13	Will Polina Libo advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x6836ca…
09-16 23:30:04	Will Genie Erokhina advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xba57b8…
09-16 23:29:55	Will Eileen Wang advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xb43325…
09-16 23:28:28	Will Kelly Goodnow advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2fdba5…
09-16 23:28:24	Will Kelly Goodnow advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x37d689…
09-16 23:27:57	Will Liz Truluck advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x885801…
09-16 23:20:03	Will Connor Garnett advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0x1b4224…
09-16 23:15:19	Will Tyson McGuffin advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x0d9c88…
09-16 23:09:33	Will Marcela Aguilar advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x71db6d…
09-16 23:09:06	Will Jalina Ingram advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0x5c1f48…
09-16 22:55:09	Will Lea Jansen advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xf18efb…
09-16 22:54:57	Will Eileen Wang advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xb13422…
09-16 22:53:13	Will Victoria DiMuzio advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0xe322e8…
09-16 22:52:22	Will Michael Loyd advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x647a07…
09-16 22:51:06	Will Liz Truluck advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x7d0411…
09-16 22:49:18	Will Eileen Wang advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x35f38e…
09-16 22:45:42	Will Eileen Wang advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x45f29c…
09-16 22:34:28	Will John Lucian Goins advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	574	95¢	$545	0x5baf24…
09-16 22:34:19	Will Lucas Pascoe advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0xf1e8c0…
09-16 22:31:30	Will Polina Libo advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x36393b…
09-16 22:31:13	Will Isabella Dunlap advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xd3e4ed…
09-16 22:28:01	Will Kelly Goodnow advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xa476bf…
09-16 22:22:00	Will Alex Walker advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xe3fa58…
09-16 22:20:01	Will Alex Walker advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	235	84¢	$197	0x71fc85…
09-16 22:13:51	Will Kelly Goodnow advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	240	94¢	$226	0x8f5a6f…
09-16 22:06:51	Will Chao Yi Wang advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0x02ec87…
09-16 22:04:30	Will Chloe Igleski advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	198	87¢	$172	0x9c97d6…
09-16 22:01:39	Will Max Freeman advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xbf6703…
09-16 22:01:30	Will Max Freeman advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	220	93¢	$205	0x7ba627…
09-16 21:48:42	Will Max Freeman advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	353	90¢	$317	0xe41c47…
09-16 21:44:13	Will Mari Humberg advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0xe4b447…
09-16 21:18:25	Will Elsie Hendershot advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x620eec…
09-16 21:17:19	Will Brooke Buckner advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	240	96¢	$231	0x5e3ac9…
09-16 21:17:01	Will Elsie Hendershot advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	90	94¢	$85	0x3b0fd1…
09-16 21:16:46	Will Elsie Hendershot advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	513	98¢	$503	0x09a214…
09-16 18:06:21	What will be the next Fed rate change?	Hike	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x014fee…
09-16 18:01:15	Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	BUY	4,755	100¢	$4,748	0x0c045c…
09-16 08:55:36	Will Helena Jansen advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x28da26…
09-16 08:51:25	Will Christopher Crum advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x176135…
09-16 08:49:58	Will Christopher Crum advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd3b902…
09-16 08:47:16	Will Christopher Crum advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xf41a56…
09-16 08:39:58	Will Christopher Crum advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	280	99¢	$277	0x7a0754…
09-16 08:33:09	Will Troy Akin / Rafael Lenhard advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x30ee84…
09-16 08:33:01	Will Troy Akin / Rafael Lenhard advance to the Semifinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	314	99¢	$312	0x41e151…
09-16 08:29:19	Will Christopher Crum / Luke Wasson advance to the Final in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xc74679…
09-16 08:29:10	Will Christopher Crum / Luke Wasson advance to the Semifinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	322	99¢	$320	0x08b6d8…
09-16 08:26:30	Will Zane Navratil / Travis Rettenmaier advance to the Semifinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xb5160b…
09-16 08:22:58	Will Zane Navratil / Travis Rettenmaier advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x8c696d…
09-16 08:22:52	Will Zane Navratil / Travis Rettenmaier advance to the Semifinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	240	96¢	$231	0xdb7e43…
09-16 08:22:45	Will Zane Navratil / Travis Rettenmaier advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	236	79¢	$186	0x65727c…
09-16 08:20:18	Will Craig Johnson / Riley Newman advance to the Semifinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x02c2bb…
09-16 08:16:37	Will Craig Johnson / Riley Newman advance to the Semifinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x4a2385…
09-16 08:16:30	Will Craig Johnson / Riley Newman advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xf79706…
09-16 08:16:22	Will Craig Johnson / Riley Newman advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x292516…
09-16 08:06:06	Will Christopher Crum advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	339	90¢	$305	0xe86f28…
09-16 08:05:15	Will Helena Jansen advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x54f4d1…
09-16 08:05:03	Will Ewa Radzikowska advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$54	0x63a582…
09-16 08:04:48	Will Helena Jansen advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	241	91¢	$218	0x30f997…
09-16 08:04:28	Will Helena Jansen advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	430	100¢	$429	0x534de1…
09-16 08:03:57	Will Christopher Crum advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x772740…
09-16 08:03:48	Will Christopher Crum advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x941be1…
09-16 08:03:39	Will Christopher Crum advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xabaf54…
09-16 08:03:15	Will Christopher Crum advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x352bb6…