Ethical-Reception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.07K

Unrealized P&L

+$4.67K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,391

lifetime

Volume

$840.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$352

Open exposure

$4.88K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 07-20 16:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$879

Politics

21% 100% +$1

Sports

19% 100% +$187

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+10,870	$-123	42¢	$4.5K	+$4,634	07-14 18:19
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	+500	$320	70¢	$348	+$28	06-12 14:41
Will GBP/USD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026?	No	+44	$16	56¢	$25	+$8	07-16 10:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	29	$36.6K	18,781	20,440	-1,659	open	—	02-03 05:34
Will Everton qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	12	$34.8K	34,917	0	+34,917	No	+$164	05-05 05:26
Fed rate hike in 2026?	10	$22.7K	35,082	24,211	+10,870	open	—	07-14 18:19
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	4	$21.8K	19,474	2,548	+16,927	open	—	02-03 22:08
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	3	$20.1K	12,814	7,400	+5,414	open	—	04-08 06:19
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	42	$16.0K	15,551	8,109	+7,441	open	—	01-22 21:26
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	17	$15.7K	12,035	3,735	+8,300	open	—	03-19 06:42
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	1	$14.9K	14,954	0	+14,954	open	—	02-05 22:39
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	4	$14.0K	14,100	0	+14,100	open	—	01-11 11:16
Will Man City be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$13.0K	13,029	0	+13,029	open	—	03-11 08:21
Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	1	$12.1K	12,137	0	+12,137	open	—	05-03 19:26
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	3	$12.0K	6,078	6,078	+0	open	—	02-10 13:03
Will the US strike Somalia next?	8	$11.0K	11,178	0	+11,178	open	—	01-29 22:11
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	9	$10.9K	6,987	6,987	+0	open	—	07-08 16:51
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	2	$10.1K	10,490	0	+10,490	open	—	02-09 18:50
will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in january	11	$10.1K	10,641	401	+10,240	open	—	01-31 07:51
will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	16	$9.3K	13,256	13,745	-489	open	—	02-12 17:11
will microsoft be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 327	6	$9.2K	5,679	5,679	+0	open	—	01-29 08:19
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?	1	$8.1K	8,073	0	+8,073	open	—	06-10 18:38
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	5	$7.7K	4,221	4,221	+0	open	—	01-13 19:16
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	10	$7.7K	14,534	14,534	+0	open	—	02-08 22:10
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	3	$7.5K	7,525	0	+7,525	open	—	05-17 11:54
Will Leeds finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	1	$7.4K	7,358	0	+7,358	open	—	04-13 20:58
Will Crystal Palace qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	7	$6.8K	3,530	3,301	+229	open	—	05-03 18:02
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?	1	$6.8K	6,791	0	+6,791	open	—	06-10 18:38
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?	2	$6.7K	6,733	0	+6,733	open	—	06-10 18:39
will people be said 100 times during the first episode of the joe rogan experience this week january 25	2	$6.7K	6,872	0	+6,872	open	—	01-20 21:16
will trump say peace 20 times during the board of peace charter announcement	3	$6.3K	3,188	3,188	+0	open	—	01-22 13:46
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	7	$6.2K	9,261	12,575	-3,314	open	—	02-12 17:11
will russia enter sofiivka by february 28	2	$5.8K	5,813	0	+5,813	open	—	02-04 22:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 16:46:52	Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?	No	BUY	545	100¢	$544	0x5feaae…
07-19 21:43:43	will a goal be scored during 106 120 minute 20260716181534263	Yes	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x4d6c89…
07-19 21:42:54	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	627	98¢	$614	0x33faf4…
07-19 21:36:15	will a goal be scored during 91 105 minute 20260716181534262	No	BUY	93	68¢	$63	0x7885f8…
07-19 21:04:37	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	143	82¢	$117	0xe0fa1c…
07-19 20:59:49	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x3d73c2…
07-19 20:52:45	will a goal be scored during 61 75 minute 20260716181534260	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x35e62b…
07-19 20:52:13	will dani olmo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x0d9e12…
07-19 20:52:10	will dani olmo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	158	92¢	$145	0x120e84…
07-19 19:22:18	will a goal be scored during 1 15 minute 20260716181534256	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0xe18122…
07-19 18:57:48	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	125	82¢	$102	0xa6528d…
07-19 18:57:42	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x466129…
07-18 22:55:43	will marc guhi score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	463	100¢	$461	0x69b0fe…
07-18 22:44:46	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xb75acb…
07-18 22:42:03	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	250	98¢	$246	0x853cd4…
07-18 22:10:00	will jules kound score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0xbfaad3…
07-18 22:08:12	will marcus thuram score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	378	97¢	$366	0x5d75c6…
07-18 22:07:39	will aurlien tchouamni score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaf9abd…
07-18 22:07:25	will ngolo kant score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	756	99¢	$749	0x5c6a1c…
07-18 22:06:57	will rayan cherki score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x5a023a…
07-18 22:06:54	will rayan cherki score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x316620…
07-18 21:03:30	will declan rice score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf7a0bf…
07-18 21:03:04	will declan rice score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x49fa11…
07-18 21:02:54	will declan rice score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	168	99¢	$166	0x3fc651…
07-18 21:02:46	will declan rice score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	77	96¢	$74	0xc663a0…
07-18 21:02:46	will declan rice score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x65464f…
07-18 21:02:46	will declan rice score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x4a6aec…
07-18 19:56:42	world cup goals h2h mbappe vspt kane 20260604010452299	Mbappe	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x3c5022…
07-18 10:56:49	trump approval up or down this week 20260710153901902	Down	BUY	185	98¢	$182	0xcec275…
07-16 10:04:29	Will GBP/USD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	44	38¢	$16	0x42ba8b…
07-14 18:19:56	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2,700	47¢	$1,269	0xea8140…
07-14 15:57:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	19,593	47¢	$9,208	0x4c40fc…
07-14 06:28:58	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 13 2026 20260709223851527	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1b2856…
07-14 06:28:44	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 13 2026 20260709223851527	No	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,098	0x93c79f…
07-13 18:30:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	28,514	31¢	$8,839	0x20271e…
07-13 17:07:17	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x3ba45e…
07-13 16:56:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	3,230	31¢	$1,001	0xc25cc4…
07-13 09:14:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,072	40¢	$429	0x88f80f…
07-12 19:25:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	450	40¢	$180	0x284260…
07-12 17:30:17	usdchf up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	64	98¢	$62	0xd31104…
07-12 17:29:29	usdmxn up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xb342b1…
07-12 17:28:26	usdkrw up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x678533…
07-12 17:27:16	usdnok up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x7a3a20…
07-12 17:25:25	usdzar up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x1547c7…
07-12 17:24:07	usdtry up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x07659a…
07-12 17:23:16	usdbrl up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x2b3d7f…
07-12 17:17:19	eurusd up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x101ba2…
07-12 17:14:44	usdjpy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	129	98¢	$127	0x3e0cd2…
07-12 16:46:08	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 13 2026 20260709223851527	No	BUY	250	95¢	$236	0x8f857d…
07-12 16:13:44	Project Helix release by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,056	100¢	$1,055	0x193108…
07-11 21:29:29	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xae3f47…
07-11 12:33:58	trump approval up or down this week 20260703165720397	Down	BUY	56	47¢	$27	0x53681c…
07-11 11:06:56	trump approval up or down this week 20260703165720397	Down	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0xa33e73…
07-10 10:30:43	Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x646568…
07-10 10:29:29	Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$299	0x54423f…
07-09 09:16:43	Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,712	100¢	$2,709	0xfe3863…
07-09 09:09:52	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	579	100¢	$578	0xb00acb…
07-08 16:51:55	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	6,987	85¢	$5,939	0x4a8bc6…
07-07 16:23:17	will lionel messi score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x91862b…
07-07 16:22:40	will lionel messi score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0x341655…
07-07 16:21:41	will lionel messi score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	51	89¢	$45	0xa1c585…
07-05 21:55:29	will vinicius jrpt score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257761	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0x9dda71…
07-05 21:54:14	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	BUY	385	97¢	$372	0xca9dde…
06-30 03:45:26	will kai havertz score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145926127	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1a3758…
06-27 19:03:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1,800	47¢	$846	0xdce0ce…
06-27 10:25:41	trump approval up or down this week 20260619212033704	Up	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x5ee8be…
06-24 19:42:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,800	46¢	$828	0x1388b0…
06-23 20:26:44	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	138	97¢	$133	0x21ed88…
06-23 19:08:16	will france go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622446	Yes	SELL	472	80¢	$379	0x49d952…
06-23 12:09:26	Will EUR/USD hit 1.14 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,277	100¢	$2,274	0x750f32…
06-21 18:53:19	will any player record 40 kills on a single map at masters london 2026 20260609212804339	No	BUY	314	98¢	$308	0x4f2ae3…
06-21 18:52:56	will any player record 40 kills on a single map at masters london 2026 20260609212804339	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xa2627e…
06-21 17:13:37	will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x8a6b42…
06-21 17:12:14	will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xf1a3c9…
06-21 16:13:55	will lamine yamal score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610223932021	Yes	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0xd49766…
06-21 05:43:23	will emiliano buenda score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	1,875	100¢	$1,872	0xe0efeb…
06-21 05:20:56	will tunisia be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003073	No	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0x613240…
06-21 05:20:20	will tunisia be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003073	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa4018d…
06-20 21:59:13	will ivory coast go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622441	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0x489e29…
06-20 21:58:56	will ivory coast go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622441	No	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x06dafb…
06-20 18:53:41	will sweden go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622458	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa00594…
06-20 18:14:29	will sweden go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622458	No	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x2365b9…
06-19 06:55:02	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	BUY	73	88¢	$64	0xc9c17b…
06-17 06:06:43	will jordan go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622427	No	BUY	1,302	100¢	$1,300	0x4ccc8b…
06-17 05:22:41	will france go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622446	Yes	BUY	472	72¢	$338	0x0ecd00…
06-16 21:37:28	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xa8889d…
06-16 21:37:28	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xa1f02a…
06-16 21:37:28	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x73997b…
06-16 21:37:28	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x68294e…
06-16 21:37:28	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x59d11e…
06-16 21:37:26	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf2f1a1…
06-16 21:37:26	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xe04f0e…
06-16 21:37:26	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xd7e11f…
06-16 21:37:26	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x726e7b…
06-16 21:37:26	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x192150…
06-16 21:37:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x7f1b51…
06-16 21:37:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x750fa9…
06-16 21:37:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x556701…
06-16 21:37:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x4fd1c0…
06-16 21:27:13	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x0c6d01…