Realized P&L
+$164
Unrealized P&L
+$152
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
7,323
lifetime
Volume
$98.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$2.88K
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 07-20 13:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
46% 100% +$164
Other
34%
Crypto
15%
Tech
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +700 $633 92¢ $640 +$8 07-15 13:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +803 $492 62¢ $502 +$10 07-19 22:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +593 $467 74¢ $436 $-31 07-19 22:46
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -359 $-309 88¢ $-316 $-6 07-09 12:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -275 $-230 88¢ $-241 $-11 06-24 21:37
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No -238 $-201 89¢ $-212 $-11 05-30 04:17
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-152 76¢ $-153 $-1 07-09 12:30
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +135 $102 93¢ $125 +$23 06-24 08:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -100 $-68 83¢ $-83 $-15 05-30 21:28
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +346 $92 15¢ $50 $-41 06-27 21:17
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -50 $-47 90¢ $-45 +$2 06-08 13:47
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +51 $43 86¢ $44 +$1 06-03 17:24
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -35 $-27 70¢ $-25 +$2 07-09 12:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +13 $13 99¢ $13 +$0 06-24 13:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +13 $-150 $0 +$150 06-28 07:57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +0 $-72 78¢ $0 +$72 07-11 10:18