Realized P&L
+$164
Unrealized P&L
-$285
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
7,191
lifetime
Volume
$87.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$5.06K
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 06-29 20:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
44% 100% +$164
Other
34%
Crypto
17%
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No -864 $-839 99¢ $-859 $-20 06-29 13:59
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -781 $-764 100¢ $-779 $-16 06-23 10:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -649 $-615 100¢ $-648 $-33 06-26 14:50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +800 $560 74¢ $596 +$36 06-03 09:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +500 $415 82¢ $412 $-2 06-28 21:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +383 $312 86¢ $331 +$19 06-25 19:18
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -275 $-230 88¢ $-241 $-11 06-24 21:37
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No -238 $-201 89¢ $-212 $-11 05-30 04:17
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +188 $171 100¢ $187 +$16 06-29 20:25
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +200 $178 90¢ $181 +$3 06-19 11:38
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +135 $102 89¢ $120 +$17 06-24 08:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +158 $110 72¢ $114 +$3 06-20 06:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +170 $70 52¢ $89 +$20 06-03 11:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +108 $28 80¢ $87 +$59 06-25 17:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -100 $-68 76¢ $-76 $-7 05-30 21:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -50 $-47 90¢ $-45 +$2 06-08 13:47
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +51 $43 86¢ $44 +$1 06-03 17:24
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +346 $92 $29 $-62 06-27 21:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +13 $13 66¢ $9 $-4 06-24 13:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +13 $-150 34¢ $4 +$155 06-28 07:57
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +83 $450 $0 $-450 06-15 16:42