Realized P&L
+$164
Unrealized P&L
-$332
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
6,890
lifetime
Volume
$73.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$3.55K
22 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 06-09 23:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
44% 100% +$164
Other
35%
Crypto
20%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +800 $560 74¢ $588 +$28 06-03 09:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -400 $-266 84¢ $-338 $-72 06-01 13:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -331 $-301 94¢ $-310 $-8 05-28 23:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -789 $-261 32¢ $-257 +$4 06-03 13:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +400 $256 62¢ $250 $-6 06-07 15:06
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No -238 $-201 90¢ $-215 $-15 05-30 04:17
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +883 $490 24¢ $212 $-278 06-08 09:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +650 $192 30¢ $198 +$6 06-09 23:29
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No -213 $-199 92¢ $-195 +$4 06-09 20:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +300 $141 55¢ $165 +$24 06-01 17:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +183 $150 82¢ $151 +$1 05-30 16:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -150 $-121 82¢ $-122 $-1 06-08 16:37
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -106 $-98 96¢ $-101 $-4 06-03 17:26
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +300 $87 29¢ $86 $-1 06-08 22:19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +170 $70 50¢ $84 +$14 06-03 11:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -100 $-68 72¢ $-72 $-4 05-30 21:28
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +83 $75 76¢ $63 $-12 06-07 16:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -50 $-47 90¢ $-45 +$2 06-08 13:47
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +1,600 $49 $44 $-5 06-08 18:00
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +51 $43 80¢ $41 $-2 06-03 17:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +13 $9 70¢ $9 +$0 06-07 23:45
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +54 $11 $3 $-7 06-05 13:00