Realized P&L
-$199
Unrealized P&L
-$178
Hit rate
80.9%
Resolved
22
Trades
1,407
lifetime
Volume
$63.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$1.34K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-09 21:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
39% 80% +$77
Politics
31% 33% $-271
Crypto
27% 60% +$66
Tech
2%
Sports
2% 25% $-71
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -348 $-185 76¢ $-263 $-77 06-05 06:28
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -295 $-211 78¢ $-232 $-21 06-10 06:51
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -253 $-140 78¢ $-196 $-56 06-11 20:50
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -235 $-166 81¢ $-190 $-24 06-22 12:35
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No -211 $-118 70¢ $-149 $-31 07-01 19:01
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No -96 $-75 74¢ $-70 +$5 07-07 13:17
Discord IPO before 2027? No -112 $-43 57¢ $-64 $-21 06-16 20:02
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No -140 $-75 36¢ $-50 +$25 06-14 22:05
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +130 $35 32¢ $41 +$6 06-22 06:57
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -71 $-33 52¢ $-37 $-4 06-04 14:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -77 $-31 36¢ $-27 +$3 06-02 09:37
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +113 $4 19¢ $21 +$17 07-01 20:28