Realized P&L
-$199
Unrealized P&L
-$92
Hit rate
80.9%
Resolved
22
Trades
1,284
lifetime
Volume
$60.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$898
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-19 23:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
38% 80% +$77
Politics
32% 33% $-271
Crypto
28% 60% +$66
Sports
2% 25% $-71
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -348 $-185 60¢ $-211 $-25 06-05 06:28
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -295 $-211 67¢ $-198 +$13 06-10 06:51
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -253 $-140 59¢ $-148 $-8 06-11 20:50
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No -140 $-75 73¢ $-102 $-27 06-14 22:05
Discord IPO before 2027? No -112 $-43 40¢ $-45 $-2 06-16 20:02
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -71 $-33 58¢ $-42 $-8 06-04 14:27
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -56 $-36 68¢ $-38 $-2 06-14 21:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +158 $70 22¢ $34 $-35 06-11 17:40
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +210 $25 12¢ $24 $-1 06-19 21:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -77 $-31 29¢ $-22 +$9 06-02 09:37
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +125 $25 17¢ $21 $-4 05-28 19:58
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +41 $15 34¢ $14 $-1 06-19 19:31