Realized P&L
-$2.17K
Unrealized P&L
-$361
Hit rate
69.6%
Resolved
1,019
Trades
3,019
lifetime
Volume
$95.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$2.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 14:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 251 days
Categories
Other
42% 47% -$773
Politics
26% 63% +$656
Crypto
23% 40% -$1,783
Sports
8% 34% -$317
Tech
2% 50% +$34
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -348 -$185 94¢ $-329 -$144 06-05 06:28
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -253 -$140 95¢ $-239 -$99 06-11 20:50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -282 -$179 55¢ $-154 +$25 11-06 20:07
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -140 -$85 98¢ $-137 -$52 04-29 19:11
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -152 -$92 88¢ $-133 -$42 05-10 17:43
Discord IPO before 2027? No -112 -$43 97¢ $-109 -$66 06-16 20:02
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No -140 -$75 78¢ $-108 -$34 06-14 22:05
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -130 -$61 82¢ $-106 -$45 06-04 14:27
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -106 -$55 95¢ $-100 -$45 05-16 11:58
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? No -106 -$77 94¢ $-99 -$23 09-08 22:44
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +195 $85 48¢ $93 +$8 11-08 22:03
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -79 -$46 94¢ $-75 -$29 05-22 03:34
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +132 $61 54¢ $72 +$11 11-03 07:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +90 $32 59¢ $53 +$21 11-09 15:44
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +89 $40 51¢ $45 +$5 11-06 17:18
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -147 -$33 26¢ $-39 -$6 05-20 20:39
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +211 $40 18¢ $39 -$1 11-04 09:28
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +124 $20 30¢ $38 +$18 11-08 22:17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -208 -$39 18¢ $-37 +$3 04-29 10:12
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? No +52 -$2 70¢ $36 +$38 11-09 10:34
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +144 $25 24¢ $34 +$9 11-07 20:05
Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +169 $60 20¢ $33 -$27 10-21 21:10
Will Desire Doue win the 2027 Ballon d'Or? Yes +356 $25 9¢ $32 +$7 11-04 19:42
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +168 $31 19¢ $32 +$1 11-08 22:16
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2027 Ballon d'Or? Yes +115 $30 24¢ $28 -$2 11-04 09:34
Will Michael Olise win the 2027 Ballon d'Or? Yes +265 $25 10¢ $27 +$2 11-04 09:31
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? No +117 $35 22¢ $26 -$9 11-04 08:12
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +88 $22 30¢ $26 +$4 11-03 08:03
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? No +57 $10 40¢ $23 +$13 11-03 08:01
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No -211 -$118 11¢ $-22 +$95 07-01 19:01