Physical-Preoccupation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

582

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 08-21 06:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% $-5

Politics

46% — —

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	22	$2.0K	1,776	1,776	+0	open	—	06-19 22:27
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	27	$1.4K	2,092	1,984	+108	open	—	08-16 20:11
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	18	$1.2K	715	775	-59	open	—	06-20 18:59
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	23	$1.0K	706	706	+0	open	—	06-29 07:33
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	14	$725	837	837	+0	open	—	06-23 04:27
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	19	$623	1,133	1,082	+51	open	—	07-01 10:16
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	16	$607	615	615	+0	open	—	07-18 19:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	12	$561	313	368	-55	open	—	06-22 09:03
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	11	$527	448	338	+109	open	—	07-01 14:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$424	422	382	+40	open	—	06-23 04:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	12	$421	999	999	-0	open	—	08-02 05:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	9	$378	305	305	-0	open	—	06-13 13:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$319	204	229	-25	open	—	05-30 06:18
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	10	$291	302	302	+0	open	—	07-10 13:42
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	5	$291	189	189	+0	open	—	07-17 16:36
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	6	$288	319	238	+81	open	—	07-13 18:25
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	7	$283	368	368	+0	open	—	07-13 14:28
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$273	581	652	-71	open	—	06-22 14:00
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	9	$268	283	145	+138	open	—	06-14 15:07
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	4	$267	237	229	+8	open	—	06-14 15:57
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	7	$265	223	223	+0	open	—	07-16 06:24
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	6	$242	237	237	+0	open	—	07-20 12:12
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	4	$233	137	137	+0	open	—	07-20 12:12
2026 the open championship top10 scottie scheffler	4	$228	167	167	+0	open	—	07-19 16:18
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$220	184	184	+0	open	—	06-23 04:40
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	5	$217	339	339	+0	open	—	08-11 18:32
will xagusd reach 60 by july 20 2026	6	$182	313	313	+0	open	—	07-20 18:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$177	142	142	+0	open	—	06-04 11:11
will xagusd reach 62 by july 20 2026	6	$175	376	376	+0	open	—	07-22 16:37
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	4	$173	573	573	+0	open	—	07-22 11:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 06:09:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	No	SELL	51	56¢	$28	0x37d1d4…
08-17 18:47:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	68	43¢	$29	0xb8970c…
08-16 20:11:43	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	108	19¢	$21	0x23610d…
08-16 18:10:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	146	35¢	$51	0x07c6d8…
08-14 05:13:30	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	914	6¢	$55	0xc4f07c…
08-11 18:47:27	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	117	25¢	$29	0xc037f1…
08-11 18:35:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	317	19¢	$61	0x16cfe8…
08-11 18:32:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	362	6¢	$22	0x0c122a…
08-11 18:32:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	191	21¢	$40	0xf4728a…
08-10 18:33:24	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	291	2¢	$5	0x5c1840…
08-10 05:06:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	BUY	240	25¢	$60	0xecabe2…
08-10 04:59:55	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	333	25¢	$83	0xe06da1…
08-05 07:37:24	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	280	29¢	$81	0xa9263a…
08-04 06:44:54	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	314	33¢	$102	0xdb318a…
08-04 06:44:30	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	387	28¢	$108	0xe57d6c…
08-04 04:37:57	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	293	30¢	$88	0x4e638c…
08-03 07:22:50	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	187	34¢	$64	0x00bce0…
08-02 18:06:00	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	120	35¢	$42	0x6293c6…
08-02 05:43:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	386	18¢	$69	0x6cc9c6…
08-02 05:02:30	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	412	13¢	$54	0x97991d…
08-01 20:11:51	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	412	15¢	$62	0x3af723…
08-01 20:11:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	29¢	$18	0x0c9aef…
08-01 20:11:24	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	813	6¢	$48	0xb073ef…
07-30 19:06:12	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	147	31¢	$46	0x7d41cd…
07-30 18:28:42	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	178	31¢	$55	0x9602bf…
07-30 18:28:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	236	24¢	$57	0xa7e73c…
07-27 07:05:40	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	62	37¢	$23	0x1b1d3e…
07-27 06:43:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x1eb613…
07-27 06:42:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	37¢	$31	0x551506…
07-27 06:42:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	205	21¢	$43	0xa5078d…
07-26 11:47:10	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	813	7¢	$55	0xa4fe37…
07-26 11:46:37	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	160	37¢	$59	0xc1998a…
07-26 06:22:15	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	106	38¢	$40	0xca2f54…
07-26 06:22:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	38¢	$60	0x28bd10…
07-24 20:51:49	Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	328	10¢	$32	0xf14bd3…
07-23 05:33:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	37¢	$67	0x05d5f4…
07-22 16:37:36	will xagusd reach 62 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	102	36¢	$37	0x8d4110…
07-22 14:10:10	will xagusd reach 62 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	106	53¢	$56	0xe1cabe…
07-22 11:16:01	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	SELL	275	18¢	$50	0x10de34…
07-22 07:03:51	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	SELL	298	21¢	$63	0xf1ce1d…
07-21 18:54:48	will xagusd reach 62 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	207	24¢	$50	0x7b142c…
07-21 18:25:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x96d482…
07-21 18:24:46	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$75	0x25b0a1…
07-20 18:25:45	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	137	40¢	$55	0xa50334…
07-20 18:22:57	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x633164…
07-20 18:07:00	will xagusd reach 62 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	169	6¢	$10	0xeec132…
07-20 18:06:46	will xagusd reach 60 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	135	26¢	$35	0x37e23b…
07-20 17:58:15	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	272	24¢	$65	0xcc5851…
07-20 16:36:27	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x7acbea…
07-20 16:34:55	will xagusd reach 60 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	135	27¢	$36	0x1ae4c7…
07-20 14:57:48	Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	328	7¢	$24	0x2ed7a2…
07-20 14:26:24	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	180	32¢	$58	0x7274d9…
07-20 14:21:10	will xagusd reach 59 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	185	33¢	$61	0x2041cc…
07-20 12:38:12	will xagusd reach 59 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	85	51¢	$43	0x4881c7…
07-20 12:19:49	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0xd7b13e…
07-20 12:13:13	will xagusd reach 59 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd02627…
07-20 12:12:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	135	47¢	$64	0xf998cb…
07-20 12:12:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	103	81¢	$83	0xca4db9…
07-20 12:10:51	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	92	44¢	$40	0x7dd236…
07-20 08:09:34	will xagusd reach 62 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	77	15¢	$12	0x513dfc…
07-20 08:09:16	will xagusd reach 60 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	44	28¢	$12	0xf8dfe2…
07-20 08:08:45	will xagusd reach 62 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	92	12¢	$11	0x9b84c0…
07-20 07:40:34	will xagusd reach 60 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	82	35¢	$29	0x1e2c54…
07-20 07:39:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	34	84¢	$29	0xf9feed…
07-20 07:36:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	65	88¢	$57	0x5a7a2a…
07-20 07:36:16	will xagusd reach 60 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0x965f29…
07-20 07:11:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	72	89¢	$64	0x07f078…
07-20 06:08:13	will xagusd reach 60 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xe165d1…
07-20 06:06:42	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x642f98…
07-19 21:17:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0x1e0f6c…
07-19 20:22:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	48	18¢	$9	0x8ba47c…
07-19 18:34:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xbb1b96…
07-19 17:43:15	2026 the open championship top10 tommy fleetwood	Yes	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xd52b5e…
07-19 16:28:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x4a7e29…
07-19 16:28:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa03947…
07-19 16:18:30	2026 the open championship top10 scottie scheffler	Yes	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xab4434…
07-19 09:37:33	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	95	38¢	$36	0x27e409…
07-19 09:36:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	291	10¢	$29	0xcdab51…
07-18 21:34:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	SELL	160	4¢	$6	0x999856…
07-18 21:25:09	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	160	12¢	$19	0x76f8b2…
07-18 21:21:46	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	29	71¢	$20	0x0ea66d…
07-18 21:20:39	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0x628675…
07-18 21:20:10	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 1pt5	France	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xb9ad6c…
07-18 19:37:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x5486f7…
07-18 19:36:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	216	11¢	$24	0xa86fe7…
07-18 19:36:18	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	54	83¢	$45	0x0dace7…
07-18 17:06:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x3092cc…
07-18 14:42:22	2026 the open championship top10 scottie scheffler	Yes	SELL	84	63¢	$53	0x71ebf8…
07-18 13:15:54	2026 the open championship top10 scottie scheffler	Yes	BUY	63	66¢	$42	0xedd886…
07-18 13:14:57	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	58	75¢	$44	0xc1730c…
07-18 07:50:57	2026 the open championship top10 shane lowry	Yes	BUY	38	29¢	$11	0xb49d2d…
07-18 07:50:27	2026 the open championship top10 lucas herbert	No	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0x69025e…
07-18 07:34:21	2026 the open championship top10 lucas herbert	No	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xa80cd8…
07-18 07:33:18	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	37	69¢	$26	0xd2b315…
07-18 07:30:00	2026 the open championship top10 shane lowry	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x0208d2…
07-18 07:29:07	2026 the open championship top10 collin morikawa	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x1881e4…
07-18 07:21:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	342	4¢	$13	0x156d7a…
07-17 18:26:03	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	15	71¢	$10	0x2db4c5…
07-17 16:45:16	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	73	63¢	$46	0x133fa4…
07-17 16:41:01	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xdb49f4…