Physical-Preoccupation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

556

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 07-27 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-5

Politics

45% — —

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	22	$2.0K	1,776	1,776	+0	open	—	06-19 22:27
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	18	$1.2K	715	775	-59	open	—	06-20 18:59
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	23	$1.0K	706	706	+0	open	—	06-29 07:33
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	17	$760	1,074	852	+222	open	—	07-27 07:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	14	$725	837	837	+0	open	—	06-23 04:27
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	19	$623	1,133	1,082	+51	open	—	07-01 10:16
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	16	$607	615	615	+0	open	—	07-18 19:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	12	$561	313	368	-55	open	—	06-22 09:03
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	11	$527	448	338	+109	open	—	07-01 14:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$424	422	382	+40	open	—	06-23 04:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	9	$378	305	305	-0	open	—	06-13 13:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$319	204	229	-25	open	—	05-30 06:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	10	$295	999	377	+622	open	—	07-27 06:43
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	10	$291	302	302	+0	open	—	07-10 13:42
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	5	$291	189	189	+0	open	—	07-17 16:36
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	6	$288	319	238	+81	open	—	07-13 18:25
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	7	$283	368	368	+0	open	—	07-13 14:28
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$273	581	652	-71	open	—	06-22 14:00
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	9	$268	283	145	+138	open	—	06-14 15:07
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	4	$267	237	229	+8	open	—	06-14 15:57
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	7	$265	223	223	+0	open	—	07-16 06:24
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	6	$242	237	237	+0	open	—	07-20 12:12
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	4	$233	137	137	+0	open	—	07-20 12:12
2026 the open championship top10 scottie scheffler	4	$228	167	167	+0	open	—	07-19 16:18
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$220	184	184	+0	open	—	06-23 04:40
will xagusd reach 60 by july 20 2026	6	$182	313	313	+0	open	—	07-20 18:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$177	142	142	+0	open	—	06-04 11:11
will xagusd reach 62 by july 20 2026	6	$175	376	376	+0	open	—	07-22 16:37
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	4	$173	573	573	+0	open	—	07-22 11:16
will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	4	$173	147	147	+0	open	—	07-13 14:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 07:05:40	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	62	37¢	$23	0x1b1d3e…
07-27 06:43:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x1eb613…
07-27 06:42:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	37¢	$31	0x551506…
07-27 06:42:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	205	21¢	$43	0xa5078d…
07-26 11:47:10	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	813	7¢	$55	0xa4fe37…
07-26 11:46:37	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	160	37¢	$59	0xc1998a…
07-26 06:22:15	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	106	38¢	$40	0xca2f54…
07-26 06:22:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	38¢	$60	0x28bd10…
07-24 20:51:49	Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	328	10¢	$32	0xf14bd3…
07-23 05:33:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	37¢	$67	0x05d5f4…
07-22 16:37:36	will xagusd reach 62 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	102	36¢	$37	0x8d4110…
07-22 14:10:10	will xagusd reach 62 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	106	53¢	$56	0xe1cabe…
07-22 11:16:01	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	SELL	275	18¢	$50	0x10de34…
07-22 07:03:51	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	SELL	298	21¢	$63	0xf1ce1d…
07-21 18:54:48	will xagusd reach 62 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	207	24¢	$50	0x7b142c…
07-21 18:25:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x96d482…
07-21 18:24:46	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$75	0x25b0a1…
07-20 18:25:45	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	137	40¢	$55	0xa50334…
07-20 18:22:57	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x633164…
07-20 18:07:00	will xagusd reach 62 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	169	6¢	$10	0xeec132…
07-20 18:06:46	will xagusd reach 60 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	135	26¢	$35	0x37e23b…
07-20 17:58:15	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	272	24¢	$65	0xcc5851…
07-20 16:36:27	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x7acbea…
07-20 16:34:55	will xagusd reach 60 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	135	27¢	$36	0x1ae4c7…
07-20 14:57:48	Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	328	7¢	$24	0x2ed7a2…
07-20 14:26:24	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	180	32¢	$58	0x7274d9…
07-20 14:21:10	will xagusd reach 59 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	185	33¢	$61	0x2041cc…
07-20 12:38:12	will xagusd reach 59 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	85	51¢	$43	0x4881c7…
07-20 12:19:49	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0xd7b13e…
07-20 12:13:13	will xagusd reach 59 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd02627…
07-20 12:12:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	135	47¢	$64	0xf998cb…
07-20 12:12:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	103	81¢	$83	0xca4db9…
07-20 12:10:51	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	92	44¢	$40	0x7dd236…
07-20 08:09:34	will xagusd reach 62 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	77	15¢	$12	0x513dfc…
07-20 08:09:16	will xagusd reach 60 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	44	28¢	$12	0xf8dfe2…
07-20 08:08:45	will xagusd reach 62 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	92	12¢	$11	0x9b84c0…
07-20 07:40:34	will xagusd reach 60 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	82	35¢	$29	0x1e2c54…
07-20 07:39:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	34	84¢	$29	0xf9feed…
07-20 07:36:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	65	88¢	$57	0x5a7a2a…
07-20 07:36:16	will xagusd reach 60 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0x965f29…
07-20 07:11:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	72	89¢	$64	0x07f078…
07-20 06:08:13	will xagusd reach 60 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xe165d1…
07-20 06:06:42	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x642f98…
07-19 21:17:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0x1e0f6c…
07-19 20:22:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	48	18¢	$9	0x8ba47c…
07-19 18:34:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xbb1b96…
07-19 17:43:15	2026 the open championship top10 tommy fleetwood	Yes	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xd52b5e…
07-19 16:28:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x4a7e29…
07-19 16:28:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa03947…
07-19 16:18:30	2026 the open championship top10 scottie scheffler	Yes	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xab4434…
07-19 09:37:33	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	95	38¢	$36	0x27e409…
07-19 09:36:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	291	10¢	$29	0xcdab51…
07-18 21:34:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	SELL	160	4¢	$6	0x999856…
07-18 21:25:09	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	160	12¢	$19	0x76f8b2…
07-18 21:21:46	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	29	71¢	$20	0x0ea66d…
07-18 21:20:39	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0x628675…
07-18 21:20:10	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 1pt5	France	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xb9ad6c…
07-18 19:37:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x5486f7…
07-18 19:36:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	216	11¢	$24	0xa86fe7…
07-18 19:36:18	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	54	83¢	$45	0x0dace7…
07-18 17:06:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x3092cc…
07-18 14:42:22	2026 the open championship top10 scottie scheffler	Yes	SELL	84	63¢	$53	0x71ebf8…
07-18 13:15:54	2026 the open championship top10 scottie scheffler	Yes	BUY	63	66¢	$42	0xedd886…
07-18 13:14:57	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	58	75¢	$44	0xc1730c…
07-18 07:50:57	2026 the open championship top10 shane lowry	Yes	BUY	38	29¢	$11	0xb49d2d…
07-18 07:50:27	2026 the open championship top10 lucas herbert	No	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0x69025e…
07-18 07:34:21	2026 the open championship top10 lucas herbert	No	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xa80cd8…
07-18 07:33:18	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	37	69¢	$26	0xd2b315…
07-18 07:30:00	2026 the open championship top10 shane lowry	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x0208d2…
07-18 07:29:07	2026 the open championship top10 collin morikawa	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x1881e4…
07-18 07:21:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	342	4¢	$13	0x156d7a…
07-17 18:26:03	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	15	71¢	$10	0x2db4c5…
07-17 16:45:16	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	73	63¢	$46	0x133fa4…
07-17 16:41:01	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xdb49f4…
07-17 16:36:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	215	9¢	$20	0x0f6367…
07-17 16:36:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	127	77¢	$98	0x2e7da8…
07-17 16:30:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc068cb…
07-17 16:30:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0xb4b1a9…
07-17 16:22:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	138	26¢	$36	0x131712…
07-17 16:21:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	47	77¢	$36	0x82dbc1…
07-16 13:47:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	136	78¢	$106	0x6f08d8…
07-16 13:46:08	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	168	40¢	$67	0x9a18fb…
07-16 10:50:19	2026 the open championship top10 tommy fleetwood	Yes	BUY	85	53¢	$45	0x062862…
07-16 10:49:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	71	64¢	$46	0x9fcb09…
07-16 09:41:32	2026 the open championship top10 matt fitzpatrick	Yes	BUY	137	36¢	$49	0xc6aeb7…
07-16 09:40:40	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	117	40¢	$47	0xef0876…
07-16 07:59:31	2026 the open championship top10 scottie scheffler	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xb4fe61…
07-16 07:58:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	102	56¢	$57	0xd40003…
07-16 06:48:02	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	116	39¢	$45	0x14551d…
07-16 06:38:25	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	99	48¢	$47	0x131919…
07-16 06:25:10	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	95	39¢	$37	0xff851f…
07-16 06:24:44	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	72	53¢	$38	0xecb17b…
07-15 21:18:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x5d02ff…
07-15 21:13:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xe94ea9…
07-15 21:12:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0xf13736…
07-15 18:57:29	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	97	20¢	$20	0x3f73a8…
07-15 06:03:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	71	63¢	$45	0x72a286…
07-15 06:03:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	85	44¢	$37	0x0ad09c…
07-15 04:59:49	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	85	40¢	$34	0xba5f0c…
07-14 20:26:47	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	133	41¢	$55	0x5f49db…