Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
+$59
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
84
lifetime
Volume
$10.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$122
Open exposure
$2.35K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-21 22:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
62%
Politics
23% 100% +$9
Tech
10%
Sports
3%
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +343 $300 89¢ $305 +$5 07-21 22:56
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? No +317 $300 92¢ $292 $-8 07-21 22:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +230 $200 94¢ $217 +$17 06-06 12:59
Canva IPO before 2027? No +219 $200 96¢ $209 +$9 06-27 00:35
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? No +209 $200 93¢ $195 $-5 07-21 22:57
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +179 $150 91¢ $163 +$13 06-27 00:32
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? No -118 $-115 98¢ $-116 $-0 06-27 00:19
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +141 $100 80¢ $113 +$13 06-27 00:32
Ramp IPO before 2027? No +111 $100 91¢ $101 +$1 06-27 00:34
Human moon landing in 2026? No +103 $100 98¢ $101 +$1 06-06 12:59
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +106 $100 94¢ $101 +$1 06-04 11:57
Ledger IPO before 2027? No +110 $100 91¢ $100 +$0 06-19 06:35
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No +111 $100 86¢ $96 $-4 06-27 00:36
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes +481 $100 15¢ $73 $-27 06-27 00:28
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -180 $-108 36¢ $-65 +$43 07-20 01:48
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +54 $50 94¢ $50 +$0 06-04 11:57
Remote IPO before 2027? No +61 $50 82¢ $50 +$0 06-27 00:17