Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
132
lifetime
Volume
$649
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$187
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 06-30 12:57
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
46%
Tech
34%
Politics
18%
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +23 $20 90¢ $20 +$0 06-30 12:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +18 $15 100¢ $18 +$3 06-26 14:08
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +24 $15 66¢ $16 +$1 06-30 12:47
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No -36 $-14 34¢ $-12 +$2 06-15 01:12
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No -14 $-9 76¢ $-10 $-1 06-04 16:32
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +20 $10 50¢ $10 $-0 06-26 13:58
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026? Yes +10 $10 97¢ $10 $-0 06-22 22:23
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $10 30¢ $10 $-0 06-04 16:00
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes -28 $-10 30¢ $-8 +$2 06-12 01:03
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -7 $-6 90¢ $-6 $-0 06-04 16:32
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No +6 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 06-04 16:22
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-04 16:28
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 06-04 16:23
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 06-26 14:15
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 06-04 16:27
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 06-26 13:59
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 06-04 16:23
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 $-0 06-04 16:24
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes -7 $-3 52¢ $-3 $-0 06-26 14:05
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes -28 $-2 12¢ $-3 $-1 06-30 12:41
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes -31 $-1 10¢ $-3 $-2 06-30 12:42
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $5 30¢ $3 $-2 06-04 16:01
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No -3 $-3 84¢ $-2 +$0 06-26 14:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -57 $-4 $-2 +$1 06-04 15:56
Revolut IPO before 2027? Yes +37 $5 $2 $-3 06-04 16:21
Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes -10 $-3 20¢ $-2 +$1 06-24 21:17
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes -7 $-2 25¢ $-2 $-0 06-27 02:35
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +2 $3 76¢ $2 $-1 06-26 14:02
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +7 $5 24¢ $2 $-3 06-04 16:19