Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
88
lifetime
Volume
$465
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$122
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 06-04 16:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
42%
Tech
36%
Politics
22%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $10 36¢ $11 +$1 06-04 16:00
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +12 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 06-04 16:20
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No -14 $-9 65¢ $-9 +$0 06-04 16:32
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No -14 $-5 46¢ $-6 $-1 06-04 16:27
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes +31 $5 20¢ $6 +$1 06-04 16:21
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -7 $-6 88¢ $-6 $-0 06-04 16:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-04 16:02
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 06-04 16:22
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-04 16:24
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 06-04 16:23
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-04 16:27
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +7 $5 75¢ $5 +$0 06-04 16:19
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 06-04 16:37
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 06-04 16:23
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 06-04 16:28
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +6 $5 77¢ $5 $-0 06-04 16:24
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +6 $5 87¢ $5 $-0 06-04 16:24
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year? Yes +7 $5 70¢ $5 $-0 06-04 16:26
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $5 46¢ $4 $-1 06-04 16:01
Revolut IPO before 2027? Yes +37 $5 10¢ $4 $-1 06-04 16:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -57 $-4 $-3 +$0 06-04 15:56
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30? Yes +19 $5 $1 $-4 06-04 16:03
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes +6 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-04 16:25