Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
149
lifetime
Volume
$777
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$220
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 07-14 23:06
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
40%
Tech
35%
Politics
23%
Pop-Culture
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -28 $-28 90¢ $-25 +$3 07-07 18:40
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +32 $20 64¢ $21 +$1 07-02 04:39
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $20 88¢ $20 +$0 07-08 17:41
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +23 $20 88¢ $20 $-0 06-30 12:47
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No -36 $-14 36¢ $-13 +$2 06-15 01:12
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +20 $10 50¢ $10 $-0 06-26 13:58
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No -14 $-9 64¢ $-9 +$0 06-04 16:32
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$0 07-08 17:36
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes -28 $-10 26¢ $-7 +$3 06-12 01:03
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $10 21¢ $7 $-3 06-04 16:00
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -7 $-6 92¢ $-6 $-0 06-04 16:32
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No +6 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 06-04 16:22
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +8 $8 64¢ $5 $-3 07-08 17:41
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-04 16:23
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-04 16:23
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-04 16:27
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-26 14:15
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 06-04 16:28
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 06-26 13:59
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +6 $5 89¢ $5 $-0 06-04 16:24
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +6 $5 74¢ $5 $-0 07-14 23:05
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes -31 $-1 14¢ $-4 $-3 06-30 12:42
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 07-14 23:06
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $-0 07-14 23:06
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 $-0 07-14 23:05
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No -3 $-3 93¢ $-3 $-0 06-26 14:03
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $5 24¢ $2 $-3 06-04 16:01
Revolut IPO before 2027? Yes +37 $5 $2 $-3 06-04 16:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -57 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-04 15:56
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes +3 $2 50¢ $2 $-0 07-08 17:40