Sunny-Mix — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.24K

Unrealized P&L

-$192

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

493

Trades

3,734

lifetime

Volume

$118.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$5.01K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-31 06:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Politics

49% 71% +$2,855

Other

45% 65% -$44

Sports

5% 57% +$91

Tech

1% 50% +$10

Crypto

1% 100% +$330

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	+2,338	$2,217	97¢	$2.3K	+$46	10-28 00:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-2,250	-$1,920	97¢	$-2180	-$260	10-07 00:10
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	+269	$203	88¢	$236	+$33	07-30 01:03
GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	+200	$188	96¢	$193	+$5	10-08 09:22
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+800	$96	10¢	$76	-$20	10-05 09:16
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	+259	$12	15¢	$39	+$27	10-13 17:53
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	+400	$40	4¢	$16	-$24	08-02 08:21
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	No	+10	$9	93¢	$9	+$1	06-20 04:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	32	$5.5K	3,290	3,290	+0	open	—	07-09 00:23
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	127	$5.4K	6,439	6,039	+400	Yes	+$355	06-14 21:28
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	80	$4.5K	3,310	3,009	+301	Yes	+$315	06-14 20:22
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	82	$4.4K	3,261	2,796	+465	Yes	+$346	05-01 00:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	33	$3.2K	3,139	3,139	+0	No	-$59	06-26 02:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	35	$3.1K	2,107	1,100	+1,007	No	+$43	05-29 17:11
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 1 2026 31c	81	$2.8K	25,747	1,706	+24,042	No	-$559	03-01 21:42
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	34	$2.6K	5,744	5,656	+88	No	+$1,895	04-13 22:26
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	74	$2.5K	2,193	1,960	+233	Yes	+$246	06-14 20:35
Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	24	$2.4K	1,510	1,510	+0	Yes	+$615	10-07 01:16
will trump post potus this week on truth social	23	$2.3K	1,669	1,669	+0	Yes	-$326	04-22 07:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	11	$2.2K	200	2,450	-2,250	open	—	10-07 00:10
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	58	$2.2K	2,338	0	+2,338	open	—	10-28 00:12
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	142	$2.2K	5,608	5,938	-330	No	+$307	05-28 18:31
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?	9	$2.1K	2,173	0	+2,173	open	—	10-30 15:43
will argentinas monthly inflation in march 2026 be between 3pt4 and 3pt6	16	$2.0K	2,050	4	+2,046	Yes	+$41	04-14 19:29
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	43	$2.0K	1,343	1,125	+218	No	-$15	05-30 19:22
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	102	$2.0K	2,838	2,824	+14	No	+$460	05-30 19:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$1.9K	1,600	300	+1,300	No	+$1	05-11 21:38
Will Lionel Messi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	23	$1.9K	1,122	800	+322	Yes	+$25	05-28 22:25
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	6	$1.7K	1,020	720	+300	Yes	+$2	05-03 21:59
will argentinas monthly inflation in march 2026 be between 3pt1 and 3pt3	39	$1.5K	1,610	190	+1,419	No	-$305	04-14 19:04
will trump post hoax this week on truth social	2	$1.5K	1,496	0	+1,496	Yes	+$1	04-14 00:25
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	5	$1.4K	1,417	0	+1,417	open	—	10-22 17:39
will trump post spain on truth social this week	30	$1.4K	914	532	+382	No	+$70	03-30 06:03
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 8 2026 32corhigher	10	$1.2K	622	622	+0	No	+$1	03-08 23:11
will trump say n word in february	27	$1.2K	1,303	0	+1,303	No	+$118	02-16 10:37
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	24	$1.1K	1,042	200	+842	Yes	+$87	05-29 07:29
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	+$1	05-01 22:02
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 11 2026 32corhigher	2	$976	978	0	+978	No	+$2	03-11 06:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 06:22:16	Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x284587…
10-31 05:44:22	Will Axel Kicillof win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xbaa808…
10-30 15:43:39	Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8c3296…
10-29 17:39:29	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x22b1e2…
10-28 23:53:56	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x4c7e9d…
10-28 02:58:20	Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdf1e17…
10-28 02:49:05	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?	No	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0xa3d138…
10-28 00:12:38	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	298	97¢	$290	0xbb59a7…
10-28 00:09:02	Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x0c6c65…
10-25 23:07:32	Will Sergio Massa win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x8b654c…
10-25 06:26:48	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x869dfb…
10-25 06:11:47	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbb2cd0…
10-24 22:47:48	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x58c64c…
10-24 16:46:54	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x5806f3…
10-24 16:46:36	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0x090f3a…
10-24 12:58:35	Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x76cde0…
10-24 12:55:38	Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?	No	BUY	79	93¢	$73	0x028e2f…
10-24 00:19:33	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd50e04…
10-23 22:16:06	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0xe5f317…
10-23 19:50:38	Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x35f8a1…
10-23 19:07:41	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xde2c88…
10-22 17:39:47	UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x072b57…
10-21 10:16:59	Will Axel Kicillof win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xa1690a…
10-21 09:14:30	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xbafc08…
10-16 05:13:15	will argentinas monthly inflation in october 2026 be between 1pt9 and 2pt1	No	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x4611fb…
10-16 02:51:57	Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	154	1¢	$1	0x161fbf…
10-15 23:57:58	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xab6d35…
10-15 23:57:58	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x6ca1ef…
10-15 23:57:58	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x08e4b5…
10-15 22:58:51	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x670b98…
10-15 19:59:56	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x6fa44d…
10-14 18:47:36	Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x016681…
10-14 17:21:45	Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb75246…
10-13 20:08:22	Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xb2e286…
10-13 19:12:03	Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x2ce038…
10-13 17:59:25	Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xbb4fb4…
10-13 17:53:13	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x50f1d1…
10-13 12:59:49	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x97d569…
10-09 20:37:47	Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xb7a941…
10-09 04:52:33	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xab0931…
10-08 09:22:45	GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x3236cb…
10-08 06:20:07	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	75	10¢	$8	0x8f2363…
10-08 04:57:41	UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$146	0x5e246f…
10-07 01:16:36	Spread: Argentina (-4.5)	Argentina	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x67f0e6…
10-07 01:16:30	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	SELL	310	99¢	$306	0xcae416…
10-07 01:13:06	Spread: Argentina (-4.5)	Argentina	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x487572…
10-07 01:12:29	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	SELL	1,000	99¢	$990	0x06f373…
10-07 01:11:44	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xe143a7…
10-07 01:07:39	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa197a2…
10-07 01:06:02	Spread: Argentina (-4.5)	Argentina	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xba2a27…
10-07 01:05:50	Spread: Argentina (-4.5)	Argentina	BUY	36	26¢	$9	0x725971…
10-07 01:01:44	Spread: Argentina (-4.5)	Argentina	SELL	55	30¢	$16	0x669a09…
10-07 00:29:07	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xf54376…
10-07 00:29:07	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x33a8e1…
10-07 00:29:07	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x282d4a…
10-07 00:28:47	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xf5dee4…
10-07 00:28:47	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf1d12b…
10-07 00:28:16	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xc6b3b4…
10-07 00:28:14	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x617cfe…
10-07 00:28:14	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x50d95d…
10-07 00:28:14	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x250ecb…
10-07 00:25:12	Spread: Argentina (-4.5)	Argentina	SELL	45	30¢	$14	0xd68df4…
10-07 00:22:03	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xafa9af…
10-07 00:10:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	150	97¢	$145	0x7f9fc3…
10-07 00:05:34	Will Messi score 2+ goals vs. Benin?	Yes	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x5c7477…
10-07 00:04:30	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xe16f60…
10-07 00:01:45	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	134	47¢	$63	0xf51bf3…
10-07 00:01:45	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	33	47¢	$16	0x32543e…
10-07 00:01:45	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x1de669…
10-07 00:01:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0x8fecfe…
10-07 00:01:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	35	93¢	$33	0x488417…
10-07 00:01:19	Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x7b63d0…
10-06 23:46:10	Will Messi score 4+ goals vs. Benin?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x19614a…
10-06 23:37:10	Will Messi score 2+ goals vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xf6aa18…
10-06 23:30:20	Will Messi score 2+ goals vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xcfec17…
10-06 23:27:20	Will Messi score 4+ goals vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x481567…
10-06 23:21:35	Will Messi score 1+ goals vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x69d220…
10-06 23:19:22	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0x650245…
10-06 23:17:13	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	310	67¢	$208	0xdc4e3f…
10-06 23:16:32	Will Messi score 4+ goals vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	34	18¢	$6	0xefc11d…
10-06 23:16:14	Will Messi score 4+ goals vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	61	18¢	$11	0x33dd9c…
10-06 23:15:56	Will Messi score 4+ goals vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x2b3899…
10-06 23:11:28	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	370	70¢	$258	0x1817cd…
10-06 23:10:23	Will Messi play 90 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x1bee5b…
10-06 21:32:03	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xd179fc…
10-06 15:30:47	Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb5dccb…
10-06 14:06:33	Spread: Argentina (-4.5)	Argentina	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x522032…
10-06 05:00:25	Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	82	97¢	$79	0xc9ca46…
10-05 19:48:10	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?	No	BUY	77	81¢	$62	0xb46e43…
10-05 19:45:13	Will Lionel Messi play for Argentina again in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc98d8b…
10-05 17:43:53	Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0dbfcc…
10-05 14:31:34	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	197	5¢	$11	0x0d3aec…
10-05 09:16:49	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xd7193b…
10-05 03:23:05	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	No	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0x93f900…
10-05 02:13:35	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	No	SELL	22	49¢	$11	0x8f4610…
10-05 01:55:11	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x8802ac…
10-05 01:31:04	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x982e1d…
10-05 00:16:59	UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x74fdde…
10-05 00:15:49	Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xf7b91c…
10-04 23:38:26	Will Lionel Messi play for Argentina again in 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0xecd7ea…