Sunny-Mix — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

+$161

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,885

lifetime

Volume

$88.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$1.61K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-30 09:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

53% 50% $-14

Other

42% 100% +$3

Sports

4% 0% $-17

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	+565	$525	93¢	$528	+$3	06-22 13:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+510	$500	86¢	$441	$-59	06-25 16:25
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?	No	-284	$-271	98¢	$-279	$-8	06-19 19:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	-589	$-387	30¢	$-174	+$214	06-26 02:25
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	+169	$125	78¢	$131	+$5	06-21 04:12
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	No	+59	$44	84¢	$50	+$6	06-21 03:55
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	No	+10	$9	88¢	$9	+$0	06-20 04:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	82	$4.4K	3,261	2,796	+465	open	—	05-01 00:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	34	$3.1K	2,102	1,100	+1,002	open	—	05-29 17:11
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	52	$2.9K	2,685	3,735	-1,050	open	—	06-14 21:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	16	$2.8K	1,900	1,390	+510	open	—	06-25 16:25
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 1 2026 31c	81	$2.8K	25,747	1,706	+24,042	open	—	03-01 21:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	27	$2.7K	2,400	3,139	-739	open	—	06-26 02:25
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	34	$2.6K	5,744	5,656	+88	open	—	04-13 22:26
will trump post potus this week on truth social	23	$2.3K	1,669	1,669	+0	open	—	04-22 07:15
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	49	$2.2K	1,400	1,580	-180	open	—	06-14 20:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	134	$2.1K	5,228	5,838	-610	open	—	05-28 18:31
will argentinas monthly inflation in march 2026 be between 3pt4 and 3pt6	16	$2.0K	2,050	4	+2,046	open	—	04-14 19:29
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	102	$2.0K	2,838	2,824	+14	open	—	05-30 19:23
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	42	$1.9K	1,243	1,125	+118	open	—	05-30 19:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$1.9K	1,600	300	+1,300	open	—	05-11 21:38
Will Lionel Messi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	23	$1.9K	1,122	800	+322	open	—	05-28 22:25
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	6	$1.7K	1,020	720	+300	Yes	+$2	05-03 21:59
will argentinas monthly inflation in march 2026 be between 3pt1 and 3pt3	39	$1.5K	1,610	190	+1,419	open	—	04-14 19:04
will trump post hoax this week on truth social	2	$1.5K	1,496	0	+1,496	open	—	04-14 00:25
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	35	$1.4K	1,187	1,313	-127	open	—	06-14 20:35
will trump post spain on truth social this week	30	$1.4K	914	532	+382	open	—	03-30 06:03
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 8 2026 32corhigher	10	$1.2K	622	622	+0	open	—	03-08 23:11
will trump say n word in february	27	$1.2K	1,303	0	+1,303	open	—	02-16 10:37
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	05-01 22:02
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 11 2026 32corhigher	2	$976	978	0	+978	open	—	03-11 06:10
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 3 2026 25corbelow	47	$924	3,543	407	+3,136	open	—	03-03 18:11
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 1 2026 33c	17	$888	914	20	+894	open	—	03-01 20:54
will trump say moon this week april 12	35	$803	779	44	+735	open	—	04-07 19:55
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	16	$735	700	300	+400	open	—	04-07 09:08
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 8	33	$704	587	225	+362	open	—	03-09 03:13
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	5	$693	695	0	+695	open	—	04-30 08:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 09:07:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x558183…
06-30 05:34:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x5c2bc7…
06-30 00:35:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x64555e…
06-29 22:45:20	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x3efdeb…
06-29 17:47:23	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	SELL	121	1¢	$1	0x2b9475…
06-29 17:46:31	ruben rocha out as governor of sinaloa by june 30	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x610fe8…
06-29 05:20:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x8bf834…
06-27 23:03:16	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xfaf378…
06-26 23:00:14	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x2e9d7e…
06-26 02:25:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0xe1f3ed…
06-25 16:25:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x3975e7…
06-25 16:24:23	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0x9cef29…
06-25 15:05:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x27571e…
06-25 08:53:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xd3c9ca…
06-25 08:00:56	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x98d7a4…
06-25 08:00:56	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x7f1cb3…
06-25 04:19:46	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0xceb8f0…
06-25 04:19:19	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	49	5¢	$2	0x33184f…
06-24 21:13:17	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	51	5¢	$3	0x5836e3…
06-24 21:11:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	23	81¢	$19	0x5f95f1…
06-24 08:00:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	92	87¢	$80	0x3351a6…
06-24 07:44:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	108	87¢	$94	0xac5373…
06-24 02:50:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0x6ca34a…
06-24 02:38:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	27	39¢	$11	0x9e85b5…
06-23 15:48:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xd4719e…
06-23 14:04:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0x4fb3a1…
06-23 14:04:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x74600f…
06-23 14:04:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x3ee1b3…
06-23 14:03:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	142	87¢	$123	0x657b06…
06-23 05:55:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0x2dcaeb…
06-23 05:54:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x5e9e26…
06-23 05:54:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x67d01d…
06-22 22:31:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x89901a…
06-22 16:46:23	ruben rocha out as governor of sinaloa by june 30	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x16bdf4…
06-22 14:40:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x32c409…
06-22 14:35:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xe40fb6…
06-22 13:52:01	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x3d3430…
06-22 13:08:40	sinaloa gov ruben rocha arrested by june 30	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x80ec58…
06-22 12:03:22	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x999fff…
06-22 10:59:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x9ae5bf…
06-22 02:50:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x638760…
06-22 02:26:13	ruben rocha out as governor of sinaloa by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe3c7f4…
06-22 00:16:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x94fc05…
06-21 16:42:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x28ac0a…
06-21 16:01:19	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x9986fa…
06-21 13:34:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x5eb719…
06-21 04:12:50	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	BUY	139	75¢	$104	0x97bba3…
06-21 03:55:23	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x0d1a29…
06-20 19:45:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	439	44¢	$193	0x4eba38…
06-20 08:49:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	300	50¢	$150	0x1c5bbb…
06-20 04:54:05	Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xc2c1ab…
06-20 02:32:46	sinaloa gov ruben rocha arrested by june 30	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x4097e7…
06-20 00:19:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x1f96a4…
06-19 20:56:04	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xdc2350…
06-19 19:56:32	Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?	No	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0x3c5126…
06-19 13:03:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x3c320d…
06-19 13:03:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	400	46¢	$184	0x3e312e…
06-19 10:34:46	Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x1f8e10…
06-19 08:53:44	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xb13978…
06-19 05:23:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	102	2¢	$2	0x4d7398…
06-19 05:23:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x22daff…
06-19 05:13:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x3da3cf…
06-19 01:12:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	18	35¢	$6	0xbd69b5…
06-18 23:31:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe86c96…
06-18 20:41:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	65	36¢	$23	0xd48a7d…
06-18 19:37:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x9d414c…
06-18 17:17:26	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xcd850f…
06-18 17:09:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	62	57¢	$35	0x3c0305…
06-18 17:07:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	38	57¢	$22	0xb28ca1…
06-18 17:06:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	400	57¢	$227	0x7b4071…
06-18 16:23:05	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x7c2a5e…
06-18 13:50:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$3	0x9629a6…
06-18 13:49:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x65915e…
06-18 09:38:52	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x17ce0e…
06-18 07:50:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x26d10d…
06-18 05:18:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x4956a9…
06-18 04:39:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x6fe8a6…
06-17 22:52:20	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	49	20¢	$10	0xf6fbdd…
06-17 22:50:14	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x8fa232…
06-17 22:47:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x4c8f55…
06-17 19:36:22	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x4ccbff…
06-17 19:03:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x47c3c7…
06-17 18:59:52	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xfdf684…
06-17 18:56:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0xaeb8de…
06-17 17:45:20	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x1c99d2…
06-17 17:42:37	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x052095…
06-17 17:42:34	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	17	78¢	$14	0x60cb33…
06-17 16:17:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	39	35¢	$14	0x060100…
06-16 19:22:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x4f4723…
06-16 19:20:35	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	94	82¢	$77	0xf892e6…
06-16 19:08:38	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8039a3…
06-16 19:04:50	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x663eb0…
06-16 18:43:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x28e0b7…
06-16 18:16:49	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x7e46ed…
06-16 18:16:01	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x156516…
06-16 16:03:07	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xea91e7…
06-16 16:02:01	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	No	BUY	36	75¢	$27	0x3567f1…
06-16 16:00:28	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0xbb23b6…
06-16 06:40:21	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x6f9f23…
06-15 22:18:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xbe3848…