U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
open
Total volume
$21
Trades
19
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$12,900
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-08
last 06-29 10:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
No active NO holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $2 | — | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 5 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 10:35 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 17:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6be1…1e02 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-20 20:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 10:35:02 | Sad-Thorn 0x3822…d7e5 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x99a3d0… |
| 06-29 10:35:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x99a3d0… |
| 06-27 13:30:02 | (anonymous) 0x2f45…ab6a | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x61e77e… |
| 06-27 13:30:02 | (anonymous) 0x21da…0c34 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x61e77e… |
| 06-27 13:30:02 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x61e77e… |
| 06-22 17:55:58 | (anonymous) 0xd7b6…6eba | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3482a2… |
| 06-22 17:55:58 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3482a2… |
| 06-22 17:54:40 | (anonymous) 0xd7b6…6eba | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc5b6ec… |
| 06-22 17:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc5b6ec… |
| 06-22 17:54:40 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc5b6ec… |
| 06-20 20:27:31 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8cab28… |
| 06-20 20:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8cab28… |
| 06-19 05:27:08 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb14c3a… |
| 06-19 05:27:08 | (anonymous) 0xa4f3…6995 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb14c3a… |
| 06-11 22:14:28 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5973ce… |
| 06-11 22:14:28 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x5973ce… |
| 06-08 14:49:42 | (anonymous) 0x6be1…1e02 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8c8f24… |
| 06-08 14:49:42 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x8c8f24… |
| 06-08 14:49:42 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x8c8f24… |