U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
open
Total volume
$314
Trades
64
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$12,900
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-08
last 07-24 17:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $4 | $9 | $5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $46 | — | +$46 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $10 | $60 | $50 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $41 | $30 | +$11 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $2 | $9 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Median | 2 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $38 | — | +$38 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| unranked | 12 | $42 | $60 | $18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chubby-Prior 0x8797…bbbe | Yes | +192 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 07-08 19:57 |
| Daring-President 0x2c41…133e | Yes | +71 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-11 10:17 |
| Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b1…7865 | Yes | +59 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 16:37 |
| Silent-Exile 0x7f13…d602 | Yes | +56 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-24 17:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x28c8…a343 | No | +34 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-09 03:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +31 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-11 08:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +20 | $16 | $35 | 4 | 07-24 17:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 07-08 19:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6be1…1e02 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 14:49 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 09:28 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-22 09:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-24 17:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 17:44:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 31 | 19¢ | $6 | 0xded618… |
| 07-24 17:44:19 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xded618… |
| 07-24 17:44:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xded618… |
| 07-24 17:44:19 | Silent-Exile 0x7f13…d602 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 18¢ | $10 | 0xded618… |
| 07-24 17:44:19 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xded618… |
| 07-22 09:28:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x846b6b… |
| 07-22 09:28:24 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x846b6b… |
| 07-11 10:17:40 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x91d1c0… |
| 07-11 10:17:40 | Daring-President 0x2c41…133e | Yes | BUY | 71 | 10¢ | $7 | 0x91d1c0… |
| 07-11 10:17:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x91d1c0… |
| 07-11 10:17:40 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x91d1c0… |
| 07-11 10:17:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x91d1c0… |
| 07-11 08:46:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x5c79a6… |
| 07-11 08:46:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5c79a6… |
| 07-11 08:46:49 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5c79a6… |
| 07-11 08:46:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x5c79a6… |
| 07-11 08:46:49 | (anonymous) 0x4b1c…4c65 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x5c79a6… |
| 07-11 08:46:49 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x5c79a6… |
| 07-11 08:41:19 | (anonymous) 0x4b1c…4c65 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x7c5b90… |
| 07-11 08:41:19 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x7c5b90… |
| 07-11 08:41:04 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x376d80… |
| 07-11 08:41:04 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x376d80… |
| 07-11 08:41:04 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 16 | 88¢ | $14 | 0x376d80… |
| 07-11 08:41:04 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x376d80… |
| 07-11 08:41:04 | (anonymous) 0x4b1c…4c65 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x376d80… |
| 07-11 08:40:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x254737… |
| 07-11 08:40:34 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x254737… |
| 07-11 08:40:34 | (anonymous) 0x4b1c…4c65 | Yes | BUY | 142 | 19¢ | $27 | 0x254737… |
| 07-11 08:40:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 108 | 20¢ | $22 | 0x254737… |
| 07-09 03:34:58 | (anonymous) 0x28c8…a343 | No | BUY | 34 | 89¢ | $30 | 0x6a6d8a… |
| 07-09 03:34:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x6a6d8a… |
| 07-09 03:34:58 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x6a6d8a… |
| 07-08 19:57:07 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x24a6de… |
| 07-08 19:57:07 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | SELL | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x24a6de… |
| 07-08 19:57:07 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x24a6de… |
| 07-08 19:57:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 44 | 20¢ | $9 | 0x24a6de… |
| 07-08 19:57:07 | Chubby-Prior 0x8797…bbbe | Yes | BUY | 192 | 17¢ | $32 | 0x24a6de… |
| 07-08 19:57:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x24a6de… |
| 07-08 19:57:07 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x24a6de… |
| 07-08 19:57:07 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x24a6de… |
| 07-08 19:57:07 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x24a6de… |
| 07-08 16:37:50 | Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b1…7865 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x108f91… |
| 07-08 16:37:50 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x108f91… |
| 07-08 16:37:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x108f91… |
| 07-08 16:37:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x108f91… |
| 06-29 10:35:02 | Sad-Thorn 0x3822…d7e5 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x99a3d0… |
| 06-29 10:35:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x99a3d0… |
| 06-27 13:30:02 | (anonymous) 0x21da…0c34 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x61e77e… |
| 06-27 13:30:02 | (anonymous) 0x2f45…ab6a | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x61e77e… |
| 06-27 13:30:02 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x61e77e… |
| 06-22 17:55:58 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3482a2… |
| 06-22 17:55:58 | (anonymous) 0xd7b6…6eba | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3482a2… |
| 06-22 17:54:40 | (anonymous) 0xd7b6…6eba | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc5b6ec… |
| 06-22 17:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc5b6ec… |
| 06-22 17:54:40 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc5b6ec… |
| 06-20 20:27:31 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8cab28… |
| 06-20 20:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8cab28… |
| 06-19 05:27:08 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb14c3a… |
| 06-19 05:27:08 | (anonymous) 0xa4f3…6995 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb14c3a… |
| 06-11 22:14:28 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5973ce… |
| 06-11 22:14:28 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x5973ce… |
| 06-08 14:49:42 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x8c8f24… |
| 06-08 14:49:42 | (anonymous) 0x6be1…1e02 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8c8f24… |
| 06-08 14:49:42 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x8c8f24… |