Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$55
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
54
lifetime
Volume
$897
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$197
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 07-24 20:31
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
36%
Politics
32%
Sports
16%
Crypto
13%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +214 $30 30¢ $63 +$33 06-19 23:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +200 $20 24¢ $47 +$27 07-05 18:36
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +68 $10 38¢ $26 +$15 07-23 04:17
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +61 $15 20¢ $13 $-2 07-24 17:43
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? Yes +54 $12 19¢ $10 $-2 07-24 17:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +65 $15 15¢ $9 $-6 06-18 20:30
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027? Yes +47 $10 18¢ $8 $-2 07-24 17:45
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? Yes +100 $10 $8 $-2 07-24 17:44
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? Yes +56 $10 14¢ $8 $-2 07-24 17:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $10 $5 $-5 06-19 23:10