Realized P&L
-$2.09K
Unrealized P&L
-$242
Hit rate
35.2%
Resolved
178
Trades
3,792
lifetime
Volume
$105.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$906
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-30 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Other
44% 36% -$682
Politics
29% 69% -$57
Crypto
26% 13% -$1,338
Tech
1% 0% -$9
Sports
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -193 -$98 82¢ $-159 -$61 10-22 09:31
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -158 -$39 95¢ $-150 -$111 05-26 23:31
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No -150 -$111 94¢ $-142 -$31 04-28 14:01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -150 -$110 92¢ $-139 -$29 04-28 13:22
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No -150 -$112 80¢ $-119 -$7 04-28 13:29
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +899 $20 4¢ $40 +$21 10-29 03:49
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +431 $20 8¢ $34 +$15 10-29 03:49
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1,601 $29 2¢ $32 +$3 10-29 06:55
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +148 $19 18¢ $27 +$7 10-29 03:50
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +284 $19 8¢ $24 +$5 10-29 03:50
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 10-29 03:52
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -8 -$9 88¢ $-7 +$1 10-16 16:09
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No -6 $35 79¢ $-5 -$40 05-26 23:39
will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026 No -4 $17 95¢ $-4 -$21 09-24 21:23
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 -$1 21¢ $-1 $0 05-25 12:03
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$5 90¢ $-1 +$4 10-10 06:23
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes -8 -$2 12¢ $-1 +$1 07-17 04:30
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes -3 -$1 18¢ $-1 +$0 06-06 17:23
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -8 -$1 5¢ $-0 +$1 05-12 05:59
will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026 Yes -4 $0 5¢ $-0 +$0 06-18 20:24
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $0 10¢ $-0 +$0 08-28 07:40