Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved
76
Trades
102
lifetime
Volume
$281
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$16
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 09-30 08:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
62% 53% +$7
Crypto
21% 31% -$12
Sports
10% 25% -$4
Politics
7% 29% -$6
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes -6 -$4 77¢ $-5 -$1 06-28 21:13
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -4 -$4 99¢ $-4 $0 06-28 08:29
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -4 -$3 85¢ $-4 -$1 06-28 08:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -40 -$4 4¢ $-2 +$2 06-25 01:24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -128 -$3 1¢ $-1 +$1 05-29 17:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +2 $1 42¢ $1 $0 08-31 14:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 09-28 21:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 09-28 21:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Yes +25 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 09-27 09:10