Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$157

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-25 09:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

47% 100% +$1

Crypto

22% 100% +$2

Politics

21% 100% +$1

Sports

5% 100% +$0

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$97	100¢	$100	+$2	06-25 14:58
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	+61	$57	94¢	$57	$0	10-25 09:38
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	06-04 20:09
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	05-22 16:48
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	+$0	10-17 07:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	7	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	10-17 07:59
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	2	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$0	05-04 08:48
Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	2	$102	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-23 11:22
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	9	$101	52	52	+0	No	+$0	05-15 23:55
NATO dissolves before 2027?	9	$101	53	53	+0	open	—	05-19 12:17
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	05-18 16:58
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	3	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	05-15 11:52
Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-06 12:39
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	3	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	05-03 08:38
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	4	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-21 05:51
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	5	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-18 14:49
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	9	$100	53	53	+0	open	—	05-22 16:48
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$1	05-28 08:56
Will AJ Brown be traded?	2	$100	51	51	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 16:37
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?	4	$99	51	51	+0	No	+$0	06-16 08:18
Human moon landing in 2026?	4	$99	51	51	+0	open	—	06-12 16:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	2	$98	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-21 05:32
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	2	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	06-24 15:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$97	100	0	+100	open	—	06-25 14:58
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	12	$97	51	51	+0	open	—	06-04 20:09
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	4	$57	61	0	+61	open	—	10-25 09:38
will hezbollah disarm by april 30 343	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-16 07:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:38:15	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0x2849a8…
10-17 07:59:33	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x923388…
10-17 07:33:45	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x445aa6…
10-15 11:03:24	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0xc33344…
10-02 05:30:48	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x1af219…
10-01 21:50:00	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x395235…
10-01 21:19:17	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x73574f…
07-08 22:37:32	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xf29a0b…
07-07 19:52:01	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x2dfa87…
06-29 07:57:43	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfec26d…
06-27 11:19:59	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xa5aff7…
06-25 14:58:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x59a1e0…
06-24 15:44:55	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x283e22…
06-24 14:32:32	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0x8acce3…
06-16 08:18:12	Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x53016b…
06-13 21:35:37	Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xc577d8…
06-12 16:34:54	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x8c8037…
06-04 20:09:40	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x83338b…
06-01 09:01:07	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5280eb…
06-01 09:00:47	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8e2708…
06-01 09:00:39	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5bc83c…
06-01 09:00:37	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc272e5…
06-01 09:00:32	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb96810…
06-01 09:00:32	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa2465c…
06-01 09:00:32	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x410446…
06-01 09:00:30	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x931dfd…
06-01 09:00:26	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xab580f…
06-01 09:00:25	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1d5253…
05-31 16:37:24	Will AJ Brown be traded?	Yes	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x6ebb6f…
05-28 08:56:45	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x187863…
05-26 02:01:07	Will AJ Brown be traded?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x04d978…
05-25 09:35:55	Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x01e1e1…
05-25 08:56:54	Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xcd8618…
05-25 08:02:21	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0xa14dbf…
05-24 19:00:24	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0xea4528…
05-24 19:00:24	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xddbc6d…
05-24 19:00:24	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x5f03e2…
05-23 19:40:57	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x0803bf…
05-23 11:22:54	Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xad8e9c…
05-22 16:48:51	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x681cfc…
05-22 13:38:55	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3bd6d4…
05-22 13:38:53	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xcc77ae…
05-22 13:38:53	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x41835a…
05-22 13:38:46	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x863f5b…
05-22 13:38:45	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb9e942…
05-22 13:38:45	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xb122a8…
05-22 13:38:43	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x45f2ba…
05-21 05:51:39	Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x05641c…
05-21 05:32:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x26b6f3…
05-20 21:58:46	Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x474209…
05-20 13:19:19	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xcb77b7…
05-19 21:30:31	Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$47	0x9d42b6…
05-19 20:33:23	Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$3	0x5ac1b1…
05-19 12:47:01	Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x871bfa…
05-19 12:17:59	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x019cc0…
05-19 01:55:36	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x692f28…
05-18 16:58:54	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xb262a9…
05-18 14:49:47	Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0xc9f909…
05-18 05:06:18	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x46b16c…
05-18 01:35:56	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x02b2f9…
05-15 23:55:56	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x511ef7…
05-15 23:07:42	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0xb7314f…
05-15 23:07:30	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xddc379…
05-15 14:18:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xaf5a83…
05-15 11:52:54	Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x131955…
05-15 11:16:54	Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$22	0x58c3ab…
05-15 01:50:38	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0xf3e060…
05-14 21:09:32	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xdeb8b6…
05-13 03:11:43	Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xd90948…
05-12 17:04:17	Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf9dc5f…
05-11 12:11:35	Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x3e80f3…
05-10 08:22:38	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x672329…
05-09 02:15:42	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd345ed…
05-08 04:11:37	Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x0a1ec9…
05-07 01:11:52	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9f318b…
05-06 12:39:28	Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x3e014b…
05-05 08:56:34	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x254086…
05-04 17:58:50	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xc4c983…
05-04 08:48:52	Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x61ebd9…
05-03 22:26:22	Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xf164e4…
05-03 18:18:32	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x9cf06a…
05-03 17:57:36	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x61e7dc…
05-03 14:57:40	Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xa836af…
05-03 08:38:42	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x5bbf68…
05-03 08:38:38	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x64c191…
05-02 21:05:52	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x78a645…
05-02 08:42:10	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xc7503c…
05-02 02:34:10	Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xccc67e…
05-01 23:41:52	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x605b83…
05-01 14:43:40	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3f729d…
04-16 07:31:18	will hezbollah disarm by april 30 343	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xac5154…