Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$46

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-23 20:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

50% 86% +$6

Politics

33% — —

Crypto

14% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No		+49	$48	94¢	$46	-$2	08-29 02:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	12	$177	90	90	+0	open	—	10-23 20:30
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	05-28 12:30
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	09-19 06:21
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-12 10:03
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	09-08 07:55
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	6	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	08-07 02:01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	3	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-13 08:31
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	5	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	08-09 10:53
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$1	07-29 21:32
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	05-12 17:05
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$1	07-29 06:38
Will Trump resign before 2027?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	08-02 02:45
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	09-07 04:46
OPEC dissolves in 2026?	2	$94	49	49	+0	open	—	08-30 06:42
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	3	$93	49	49	+0	open	—	10-17 20:07
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$88	46	46	+0	open	—	06-01 19:06
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	06-24 23:02
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$76	39	39	+0	open	—	09-15 23:09
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?	1	$58	61	0	+61	No	+$3	09-26 14:47
Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat?	1	$58	60	0	+60	open	—	09-25 19:20
Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat?	1	$57	59	0	+59	open	—	09-25 18:19
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?	1	$48	49	0	+49	open	—	08-29 02:53
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-07 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 20:30:29	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x81c7f5…
10-17 20:07:27	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0xc4ee19…
10-17 20:07:24	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x80d623…
09-26 14:47:54	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0x6a6aeb…
09-25 19:20:51	Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x00dff6…
09-25 18:19:20	Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat?	No	BUY	59	95¢	$57	0xb92b52…
09-19 06:21:12	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$51	0xb5f46a…
09-16 21:54:42	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9db56a…
09-15 23:09:28	Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x757ddf…
09-15 22:34:31	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x292f93…
09-15 22:31:54	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xb68e1d…
09-15 22:31:52	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x420998…
09-15 07:48:55	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x8d7f26…
09-14 17:04:33	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x21b4a6…
09-09 10:25:30	Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x7b579a…
09-08 18:37:45	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x55f361…
09-08 07:55:09	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x89317c…
09-08 07:55:09	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x656bfb…
09-08 07:00:45	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x3b886e…
09-07 04:46:04	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x61f6a8…
08-30 06:42:37	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x5415e8…
08-29 02:53:43	Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0xbe8e1d…
08-28 20:15:52	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x1311b5…
08-28 12:33:01	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x50fd1a…
08-27 22:27:27	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x2a8fdc…
08-09 10:53:37	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x21d87c…
08-07 02:01:12	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x29a8f6…
08-06 18:52:39	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x3e8abb…
08-05 09:31:44	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc91b7d…
08-04 16:02:41	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x313411…
08-04 08:49:03	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb546b0…
08-04 08:44:20	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3bca7c…
08-03 15:09:39	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x69aab6…
08-02 02:45:17	Will Trump resign before 2027?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xb35129…
08-01 12:00:26	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x352f98…
07-29 21:32:09	Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x0ad841…
07-29 06:38:38	US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xb9a99d…
07-26 20:00:49	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x01b91b…
07-26 08:28:57	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x36474f…
07-26 05:03:00	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x61e22b…
07-26 05:02:58	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xccbf5c…
07-26 02:31:43	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xa8e557…
07-21 21:59:07	Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xd8999d…
07-19 16:59:00	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xdd9acc…
07-18 22:49:43	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd1e835…
07-18 20:55:21	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x037070…
07-18 19:19:39	Will Trump resign before 2027?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x968ceb…
06-24 23:02:46	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x83a96a…
06-24 23:02:46	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x46e603…
06-24 21:44:44	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x428eaa…
06-20 22:09:29	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x32fe1c…
06-01 19:06:44	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x28d3c5…
05-28 12:30:24	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x3ad2a4…
05-22 13:51:52	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x0400da…
05-22 10:22:24	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xe2d533…
05-13 21:42:58	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xebd983…
05-13 08:31:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x9a72de…
05-12 22:55:05	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xdfb120…
05-12 17:05:13	Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xfefaf2…
05-12 10:03:14	Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x6c2fd8…
05-07 21:04:17	Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xc1b287…
05-07 15:57:36	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xaff262…
05-07 09:14:12	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x7b1b83…
05-07 07:38:46	Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x1d0480…
05-07 07:24:49	Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0x920f28…
04-10 13:22:31	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x3dac55…