Subtle-Balalaika — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.88K

Unrealized P&L

-$221

Hit rate

47.7%

Resolved

Trades

395

lifetime

Volume

$35.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

$79

1 position

First seen

2026-05-20

last 10-27 10:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

74% 48% +$2,617

Sports

26% 22% -$6,499

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	DENDELE CS		+714	$300	11¢	$79	-$221	10-27 03:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$5.5K	19,640	0	+19,640	Thunder	-$5,540	05-21 01:28
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	5	$2.1K	1,502	1,502	+0	MIBR	+$890	06-02 18:08
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)	2	$1.7K	1,020	1,020	+0	TheMongolz	+$376	05-22 07:49
Spurs vs. Thunder	16	$1.2K	2,327	0	+2,327	Spurs	+$1,103	05-31 01:16
cs2 ldp gls1 2026 10 14	2	$1.1K	747	747	+0	largadosypelados	+$354	10-15 01:54
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	4	$1.1K	795	795	+0	Under	+$460	10-25 21:40
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	3	$1.1K	21,339	0	+21,339	Knicks	-$1,067	05-26 01:07
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	4	$1.0K	2,817	0	+2,817	FURIA	-$1,010	10-18 20:43
Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs	1	$1.0K	1,740	0	+1,740	LOUD	+$740	10-18 06:41
cs2 aur1 9z 2026 10 16	1	$1.0K	3,125	0	+3,125	Aurora Gaming	-$1,000	10-16 12:51
lol fur c9 2026 10 16	1	$1.0K	2,632	0	+2,632	FURIA Esports	-$1,000	10-16 23:47
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	3	$885	586	586	+0	Karmine Corp	+$285	10-15 23:09
cs2 aur1 9z 2026 10 16 total games 2pt5	2	$809	905	905	+0	Under	-$13	10-16 12:53
lol fur c9 2026 10 16 game handicap home 2pt5	1	$600	1,032	0	+1,032	FURIA Esports	-$600	10-16 21:57
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	2	$572	1,425	0	+1,425	B8	-$572	06-02 15:56
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	2	$552	353	353	+0	Dplus KIA	+$152	10-25 20:43
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner	1	$513	1,069	0	+1,069	MVK Esports	+$556	10-17 20:41
LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	2	$507	396	396	+0	CTBC Flying Oyster	+$285	10-23 23:07
Games Total: O/U 3.5	1	$500	1,096	0	+1,096	Over	-$500	10-17 19:27
cs2 9z fal2 2026 10 15	1	$490	2,042	0	+2,042	Team Falcons	-$490	10-15 07:38
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	2	$484	336	336	+0	FUT Esports	+$188	10-25 09:49
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$478	824	0	+824	LYON	+$346	10-23 23:49
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	1	$470	1,068	0	+1,068	Hurricanes	-$470	05-25 21:12
cs2 zomb ot2 2026 10 13	1	$442	705	0	+705	Overtake	+$263	10-14 01:03
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	2	$400	1,040	0	+1,040	BetBoom Team	+$640	10-26 17:28
cs2 mibr 100t 2026 10 17	1	$400	741	0	+741	MIBR	+$341	10-17 08:06
cs2 cce ot2 2026 10 14	2	$374	986	0	+986	Overtake	+$612	10-15 02:02
cs2 aur1 nip 2026 10 15 map handicap away 1pt5	1	$370	841	0	+841	Aurora Gaming	+$471	10-15 07:36
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	2	$355	1,516	0	+1,516	MVK Esports	+$1,161	10-15 23:28
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	4	$349	777	0	+777	GamerLegion	-$349	06-02 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:03:06	Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	B8	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x0c1a6d…
10-27 10:02:20	Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	B8	BUY	108	48¢	$51	0x1c2d58…
10-27 10:00:06	Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	B8	BUY	265	38¢	$100	0x9cb51f…
10-27 03:55:35	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	DENDELE CS	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0x402b35…
10-26 20:44:14	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	304	46¢	$140	0x11cb46…
10-26 19:31:57	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	419	48¢	$200	0xa1f64c…
10-26 17:28:23	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	769	39¢	$300	0x91e8d2…
10-26 06:53:59	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x01b04f…
10-26 06:53:29	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xafe79e…
10-26 06:53:09	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	Legacy	BUY	488	41¢	$200	0x69ae72…
10-26 06:52:06	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0xe863c2…
10-26 06:51:44	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	218	46¢	$100	0x48d049…
10-26 06:51:23	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	93	44¢	$41	0xd91012…
10-26 06:50:44	Counter-Strike: Off Chops vs Alter Ego (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Group A	Alter Ego	BUY	153	33¢	$50	0x6a6017…
10-25 22:53:59	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x78bbc8…
10-25 22:00:03	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x2868f5…
10-25 21:53:45	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	256	44¢	$112	0xf04154…
10-25 21:40:36	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	795	100¢	$794	0xcbb080…
10-25 21:40:14	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xbbf44b…
10-25 20:59:18	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x53faa6…
10-25 20:58:44	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	164	42¢	$69	0xe2d419…
10-25 20:48:45	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	393	42¢	$165	0x3dc1cc…
10-25 20:43:54	Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	Dplus KIA	SELL	353	100¢	$352	0x05989e…
10-25 19:22:56	Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	Dplus KIA	BUY	353	57¢	$200	0xd608bf…
10-25 10:35:53	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	1,291	25¢	$323	0xf6ecc5…
10-25 09:49:11	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	FUT Esports	SELL	336	100¢	$336	0xf1562c…
10-25 05:00:18	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	591	49¢	$288	0x61e4ec…
10-25 04:59:06	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	336	44¢	$148	0x5de162…
10-25 04:57:44	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x324e52…
10-24 13:17:53	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0xfbb8a1…
10-23 23:49:51	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	824	58¢	$478	0xfd7ee0…
10-23 23:08:42	LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	2,417	12¢	$290	0xc602bf…
10-23 23:07:18	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	SELL	396	100¢	$396	0x1ac67e…
10-23 22:18:56	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	396	28¢	$111	0x3ef026…
10-18 20:43:32	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	175	40¢	$70	0x7cbf5b…
10-18 20:43:08	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	1,000	40¢	$400	0xced22b…
10-18 18:50:20	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	568	44¢	$250	0x5893f2…
10-18 15:04:36	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	MVK Esports	BUY	1,917	12¢	$230	0x429ab3…
10-18 14:58:35	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	1,074	27¢	$290	0x1211a1…
10-18 06:41:56	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs	LOUD	BUY	1,740	57¢	$1,000	0xc6ca53…
10-17 20:41:21	LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner	MVK Esports	BUY	1,069	48¢	$513	0xb9d445…
10-17 19:27:00	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1,096	46¢	$500	0x1d3a0e…
10-17 08:06:42	cs2 mibr 100t 2026 10 17	MIBR	BUY	741	54¢	$400	0x27b06d…
10-17 08:06:11	cs2 nip hero 2026 10 17	Heroic	BUY	445	67¢	$300	0x0b6766…
10-16 23:47:12	lol fur c9 2026 10 16	Cloud9	BUY	2,632	38¢	$1,000	0x71b2f1…
10-16 21:57:32	lol fur c9 2026 10 16 game handicap home 2pt5	Cloud9	BUY	1,032	58¢	$600	0x76f46d…
10-16 16:26:04	lol mvk kc 2026 10 16 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0xd20fe7…
10-16 12:53:31	cs2 aur1 9z 2026 10 16 total games 2pt5	Over	SELL	905	44¢	$398	0xc821fd…
10-16 12:52:10	cs2 aur1 9z 2026 10 16 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	905	45¢	$411	0x024068…
10-16 12:51:22	cs2 aur1 9z 2026 10 16	9z	BUY	3,125	32¢	$1,000	0xd5f852…
10-16 12:19:30	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner	100 Thieves	BUY	358	54¢	$194	0xcbba4f…
10-16 11:56:31	cs2 fnc hero 2026 10 16 game1	fnatic	BUY	1,046	10¢	$100	0x9c9536…
10-16 03:34:28	Flames vs. Golden Knights	Flames	BUY	371	6¢	$22	0x90686f…
10-15 23:28:39	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	MVK Esports	BUY	384	21¢	$80	0x9af986…
10-15 23:09:24	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Karmine Corp	SELL	586	100¢	$585	0xf06506…
10-15 23:09:01	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	MVK Esports	BUY	1,132	24¢	$275	0xba9514…
10-15 21:39:14	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Karmine Corp	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x36f0c8…
10-15 21:29:18	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Karmine Corp	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0xe808e4…
10-15 19:12:55	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B	Legacy	BUY	313	39¢	$122	0xb0d06f…
10-15 07:40:49	cs2 prv bb3 2026 10 15	BetBoom Team	BUY	583	48¢	$280	0x6da18e…
10-15 07:38:31	cs2 9z fal2 2026 10 15	9z	BUY	2,042	24¢	$490	0xdd0020…
10-15 07:36:13	cs2 aur1 nip 2026 10 15 map handicap away 1pt5	Aurora Gaming	BUY	841	44¢	$370	0x837058…
10-15 02:02:26	cs2 cce ot2 2026 10 14	Overtake	BUY	301	33¢	$100	0x2284f5…
10-15 01:54:22	cs2 ldp gls1 2026 10 14	largadosypelados	SELL	747	100¢	$747	0x755366…
10-15 01:52:16	cs2 cce ot2 2026 10 14	Overtake	BUY	685	40¢	$274	0xa8cf12…
10-14 19:31:57	cs2 ldp gls1 2026 10 14	largadosypelados	BUY	747	53¢	$393	0x2a47a2…
10-14 19:24:48	cs2 furia bb3 2026 10 14	FURIA	BUY	158	57¢	$90	0xabdbf4…
10-14 19:24:19	cs2 furia bb3 2026 10 14	FURIA	BUY	368	56¢	$206	0x7233c3…
10-14 01:03:34	cs2 zomb ot2 2026 10 13	Overtake	BUY	705	63¢	$442	0xc8108c…
10-13 19:41:45	cs2 mtx esb 2026 10 13	MTX	BUY	202	43¢	$87	0x2fc967…
10-13 02:36:24	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	90	41¢	$37	0x6b4a36…
10-12 01:53:05	Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs DENDELE CS (BO5) - FRAG University Playoffs	Wildcard	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x5b5cd6…
07-19 19:09:45	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,701	5¢	$78	0x177750…
07-19 19:06:10	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	624	6¢	$37	0x9b3de2…
07-19 19:06:03	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,103	2¢	$21	0x535590…
07-12 03:39:50	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	658	29¢	$191	0xfb68ed…
06-02 18:21:11	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	FlyQuest	BUY	360	50¢	$180	0x588461…
06-02 18:21:11	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	FlyQuest	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x094dcc…
06-02 18:14:04	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	FlyQuest	BUY	197	40¢	$79	0x094d0a…
06-02 18:14:02	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	FlyQuest	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x180dc0…
06-02 18:08:12	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	MIBR	SELL	1,502	100¢	$1,501	0x1a82ea…
06-02 18:06:38	Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	801	1¢	$6	0xd85b9c…
06-02 18:06:12	Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	466	1¢	$3	0xa7339f…
06-02 18:05:21	Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,307	0¢	$22	0x6846af…
06-02 18:05:09	Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,740	0¢	$11	0xeab2fc…
06-02 17:30:23	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	MIBR	BUY	569	34¢	$192	0x7b041d…
06-02 17:29:49	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	MIBR	BUY	180	34¢	$61	0x6abb4b…
06-02 17:28:52	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	MIBR	BUY	474	41¢	$194	0x0de15f…
06-02 17:28:27	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	MIBR	BUY	279	58¢	$163	0xa45105…
06-02 15:56:40	Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	1,400	40¢	$560	0xdc2924…
06-02 15:55:56	Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0xe7ed79…
05-31 15:04:34	Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0x81b375…
05-31 15:04:34	Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0x758363…
05-31 15:04:34	Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	0¢	$0	0x0c6a0f…
05-31 15:02:46	Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb7f3d3…
05-31 15:02:40	Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9d8d0d…
05-31 15:02:40	Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x2e9934…
05-31 15:02:37	Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0xd328e2…
05-31 15:02:37	Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0xaf4e47…
05-31 15:02:25	Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x73b7b4…