Discrete-Deliberation 0x31afc0…8ce843
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
208
lifetime
Volume
$715
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$11
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-20
last 06-28 20:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54% — —
Crypto
34% — —
Politics
11% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +10 $4 42¢ $4 +$0 06-26 21:00
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +14 $3 29¢ $4 +$1 06-11 12:09
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +16 $2 13¢ $2 +$0 06-12 01:53
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +4 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-12 00:33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -13 $-1 3¢ $-0 +$0 06-15 20:16
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +21 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-15 20:17