Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$200
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved
11
Trades
8,620
lifetime
Volume
$150.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$285
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 12:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
76% 67% +$11
Politics
10% 0% $-12
Sports
9% 0% $-3
Crypto
5%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 306 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -200 $-78 76¢ $-151 $-73 06-22 08:24
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +339 $43 13¢ $46 +$3 07-02 15:09
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +93 $36 42¢ $39 +$3 07-01 22:22
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +68 $23 40¢ $27 +$4 06-29 16:36
Will Chainlink reach $24 by December 31, 2026? Yes +54 $5 12¢ $6 +$2 07-01 20:42
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +15 $4 29¢ $4 +$0 06-27 09:43
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +60 $3 $4 +$0 06-30 16:40
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $3 14¢ $3 $-1 07-01 20:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -900 $-264 $-2 +$262 06-04 01:34
Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $3 13¢ $2 $-1 07-01 20:42
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +60 $1 $1 $-0 06-30 16:41