Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$77
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved
11
Trades
12,406
lifetime
Volume
$216.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$367
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-23 14:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
78% 67% +$11
Sports
11% 0% $-3
Politics
7% 0% $-12
Crypto
4%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 387 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -200 $-78 99¢ $-198 $-119 06-22 08:24
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? Yes +247 $57 26¢ $64 +$8 07-13 09:46
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -254 $-36 11¢ $-28 +$8 07-19 00:45
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -79 $-44 35¢ $-28 +$16 07-19 04:06
Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? Yes +98 $18 24¢ $23 +$5 07-13 05:43
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +97 $15 15¢ $15 $-1 07-21 02:45
Will Chainlink reach $24 by December 31, 2026? Yes +54 $5 12¢ $7 +$2 07-01 20:42
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $3 14¢ $3 $-0 07-01 20:42
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +60 $1 $2 +$1 07-15 11:33
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -0 $-4 36¢ $-0 +$4 07-21 07:50