Realized P&L
-$342
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
75.8%
Resolved
4,426
Trades
6,212
lifetime
Volume
$4.18K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$11
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 09-07 09:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 178 days
Categories
Crypto
74% 25% -$223
Other
23% 4% -$76
Sports
2% 4% -$32
Politics
1% 13% -$8
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -5 -$3 96¢ $-5 -$2 05-13 12:04
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -4 $0 79¢ $-3 -$3 06-06 13:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5 $0 9¢ $-0 $0 06-15 12:03
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Yes -3 $0 9¢ $-0 $0 07-08 04:09
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 08-03 06:13
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 07-28 05:20
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -5 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 07-23 10:37
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 08-03 06:24
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 08-03 06:24
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-25 15:20
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 06-15 12:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 06-29 09:04
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 07-13 10:54
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 08-01 13:17
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 08-03 06:24
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 08-03 06:24
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 08-03 06:24
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 08-03 06:24
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 08-03 06:25
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 08-03 06:24
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 08-01 13:16
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 08-01 13:16
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 08-01 13:16
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 08-01 13:17
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 08-03 06:24
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 07-28 05:20
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 08-03 06:24
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 08-03 06:24
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 08-03 06:25
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-03 06:24