Orange-Ballpark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$158

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

121

Trades

604

lifetime

Volume

$23.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-09 12:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 35% $-216

Other

36% 56% +$6

Sports

2% 50% +$52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$1.9K	3,928	+3,928	HANJIN BRION	+$20	05-07 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	10	$1.8K	2,002	+2,002	Up	+$161	05-07 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	4	$1.4K	1,619	+1,619	Down	$-1,377	05-06 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	12	$1.3K	1,524	+1,524	Up	+$217	05-06 10:25
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 5?	7	$1.3K	1,550	+1,550	Down	+$268	05-05 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	1	$1.1K	1,129	+1,129	Up	+$22	05-05 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	26	$972	2,964	+2,964	Down	+$1,992	05-05 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$856	883	+883	Up	+$27	05-05 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	22	$853	1,288	+1,288	Down	$-853	05-08 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	3	$769	833	+833	Up	+$64	05-07 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$716	736	+736	Up	+$20	05-06 08:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$640	1,092	+1,092	open	—	05-08 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	43	$540	2,203	+2,203	Down	$-540	05-05 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	26	$425	1,030	+1,030	open	—	05-02 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$408	442	+442	open	—	05-01 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	25	$397	1,240	+1,240	open	—	05-04 16:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$393	690	+690	open	—	05-08 10:56
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?	5	$331	745	+745	open	—	05-06 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$327	343	+343	Down	$-327	05-07 21:59
FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5	1	$306	850	+850	Over	$-306	05-09 04:54
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	6	$297	582	+582	open	—	05-06 10:36
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $138 in May?	4	$291	588	+588	Yes	+$3	05-04 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	1	$253	350	+350	Up	+$97	05-06 00:06
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5	2	$246	600	+600	Over	$-246	05-06 19:00
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	2	$228	250	+250	open	—	05-04 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	4	$217	400	+400	open	—	05-04 12:44
BNB Up or Down on May 8?	6	$197	523	+523	Up	+$227	05-08 08:58
Will Boston Celtics advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$167	245	+245	open	—	04-28 19:44
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	2	$148	150	+150	open	—	04-28 20:06
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 4?	1	$142	150	+150	Up	+$8	05-04 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 12:55:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	350	1¢	$4	0x4ad444…
05-09 11:54:52	LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Team WE	BUY	149	6¢	$9	0xf361f8…
05-09 11:00:16	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	144	0¢	$0	0xfe2574…
05-09 09:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0x315209…
05-09 08:55:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x64f091…
05-09 07:35:19	VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x4b0415…
05-09 05:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc87c48…
05-09 05:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xb6272d…
05-09 05:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x351ffd…
05-09 05:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x18a2b0…
05-09 04:54:00	FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	850	36¢	$306	0x1e5a2c…
05-09 04:06:31	Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x4db27f…
05-09 03:01:56	BNB Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x0af15c…
05-09 03:01:54	BNB Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x7399f2…
05-09 03:00:32	BNB Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$24	0xf39438…
05-09 02:49:52	BNB Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0x1f060d…
05-09 02:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0x83bec4…
05-09 02:31:31	Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	115	13¢	$14	0x1fd1d4…
05-09 02:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x0121a4…
05-09 02:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x4dedfc…
05-08 23:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	349	3¢	$10	0xd17c4e…
05-08 23:36:24	BNB Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0x6dc79b…
05-08 22:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x570ea3…
05-08 22:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd49e09…
05-08 22:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x1a39b3…
05-08 22:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa828ee…
05-08 22:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x72451a…
05-08 22:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x5890db…
05-08 22:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1cc738…
05-08 22:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xa93f84…
05-08 22:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0xb3bf73…
05-08 22:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x56cb85…
05-08 22:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x500191…
05-08 21:00:42	BNB Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	49	38¢	$19	0x533071…
05-08 21:00:21	BNB Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	49	38¢	$19	0xdcf1df…
05-08 18:06:10	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	49	64¢	$32	0xd39c9f…
05-08 17:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	148	0¢	$1	0xf39373…
05-08 17:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	102	0¢	$1	0xbc5988…
05-08 16:26:50	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0x543b87…
05-08 16:01:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	365	56¢	$206	0x8a5eac…
05-08 15:34:39	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	Yes	BUY	49	52¢	$25	0x921e50…
05-08 13:33:32	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	No	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x4733e8…
05-08 13:32:13	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $225 in May?	Yes	BUY	149	24¢	$36	0xb2626a…
05-08 13:31:03	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	147	38¢	$56	0xcfdf24…
05-08 13:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x564791…
05-08 11:47:41	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8a8317…
05-08 11:46:45	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	No	BUY	42	69¢	$29	0x12d021…
05-08 11:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xa16ec5…
05-08 10:56:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xbc1957…
05-08 10:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	59	7¢	$4	0x4580e3…
05-08 10:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0xf0e2d6…
05-08 09:18:04	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	Yes	BUY	49	90¢	$44	0xa980f9…
05-08 09:17:29	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	Yes	BUY	49	89¢	$44	0xc6826b…
05-08 08:58:35	BNB Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x39a27c…
05-08 08:09:42	Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?	No	BUY	32	36¢	$11	0xcbd131…
05-08 08:08:27	Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x72fc62…
05-08 08:07:04	BNB Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	49	63¢	$31	0x17169f…
05-08 07:59:00	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	49	73¢	$36	0xc4526a…
05-08 07:54:25	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	49	32¢	$15	0xce44a6…
05-08 07:45:14	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	73¢	$10	0x78cf81…
05-08 07:43:44	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	36	67¢	$24	0x990bf6…
05-08 07:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xeea7d5…
05-08 07:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x8b5a42…
05-08 07:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xba69aa…
05-08 07:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x46447d…
05-08 06:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xd9b305…
05-08 06:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xc20e53…
05-08 06:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x6f0777…
05-08 06:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x5e13fd…
05-08 06:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	97	82¢	$79	0x312dbf…
05-08 06:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0xc8e480…
05-08 06:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x2e07bc…
05-08 06:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x65e11c…
05-08 06:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	138	8¢	$11	0xab6fd4…
05-08 04:46:42	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x6fb11b…
05-08 02:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xd2c380…
05-08 02:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xb4de8b…
05-08 02:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	429	1¢	$4	0xf09957…
05-08 02:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	64¢	$27	0x7eca20…
05-08 02:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xf9758f…
05-08 02:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbc1970…
05-08 02:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	90	71¢	$64	0x96ed1f…
05-08 02:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x8f3b9b…
05-08 02:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	49	70¢	$34	0xdbec52…
05-08 02:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0xf480de…
05-08 02:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa75cb1…
05-08 02:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xf65070…
05-08 02:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x6885b0…
05-08 02:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x0a01bf…
05-08 02:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	231	69¢	$161	0x07c78b…
05-08 02:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xdfb5d2…
05-08 02:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xda2868…
05-08 02:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4adc14…
05-08 02:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x9b58cf…
05-08 02:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x28604a…
05-08 02:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	328	68¢	$223	0x2e71c4…
05-08 02:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	293	67¢	$196	0xc3a4a0…
05-08 02:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xd835f2…
05-08 02:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x7c3413…
05-08 02:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xd84708…