Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
46.3%
Resolved
127
Trades
7,981
lifetime
Volume
$41.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$179
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 07-24 06:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Crypto
42%
Other
41% 53% +$74
Sports
13% 51% $-70
Politics
4% 50% $-9
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +109 $57 99¢ $108 +$51 06-26 17:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +26 $21 70¢ $18 $-3 07-15 22:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +55 $10 30¢ $16 +$7 06-08 08:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +28 $10 48¢ $13 +$3 07-07 14:05
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +17 $10 62¢ $10 $-0 07-22 21:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $6 46¢ $6 +$0 07-23 10:25
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$1 06-29 13:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +15 $1 11¢ $2 +$0 06-30 03:41
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +6 $2 15¢ $1 $-1 05-31 16:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +61 $23 $0 $-23 06-30 20:23