Realized P&L
-$532
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
55.2%
Resolved
2,693
Trades
8,640
lifetime
Volume
$46.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$312
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 08-07 10:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 134 days
Categories
Other
44% 57% -$503
Crypto
38% 53% -$522
Sports
13% 54% +$309
Politics
4% 85% +$182
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -119 -$97 82¢ $-97 +$0 08-02 12:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +71 $32 88¢ $63 +$31 08-06 23:19
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +24 $16 86¢ $21 +$5 05-03 10:38
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +22 $16 92¢ $20 +$4 05-12 08:49
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +19 $16 97¢ $18 +$2 06-26 16:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +21 $16 84¢ $18 +$2 08-02 21:10
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +17 $10 96¢ $16 +$6 07-22 21:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +81 $17 18¢ $15 -$2 07-29 23:16
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +13 $12 98¢ $13 +$1 07-29 09:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$0 05-24 05:02
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +54 $7 10¢ $6 -$2 07-25 13:55
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +6 $4 88¢ $5 +$2 08-01 19:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +42 $16 10¢ $4 -$12 05-02 00:17
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +70 $16 6¢ $4 -$12 05-02 00:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $12 10¢ $3 -$10 07-24 14:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 05-16 06:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +15 $1 6¢ $1 -$1 06-30 03:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +44 $4 2¢ $1 -$4 05-05 13:35
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +6 $2 8¢ $0 -$1 05-31 16:40