Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
46.3%
Resolved
127
Trades
7,562
lifetime
Volume
$38.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$203
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 07-03 23:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Crypto
46%
Other
38% 53% +$74
Sports
14% 51% $-70
Politics
3% 50% $-9
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +109 $57 76¢ $83 +$27 06-26 17:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +43 $40 100¢ $42 +$3 06-30 11:56
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +30 $11 100¢ $30 +$19 06-28 07:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +19 $16 88¢ $17 +$1 06-04 00:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +61 $23 24¢ $14 $-9 06-30 20:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +55 $10 12¢ $7 $-3 06-08 08:16
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +6 $6 98¢ $6 $-0 06-28 11:04
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +5 $3 48¢ $2 $-0 06-29 13:28
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +6 $2 16¢ $1 $-1 05-31 16:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +15 $1 $1 $-1 06-30 03:41