Realized P&L
+$1.58K
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
56.5%
Resolved
8,931
Trades
80,580
lifetime
Volume
$102.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$113
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 11-06 10:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 243 days
Categories
Other
47% 26% +$388
Politics
27% 33% +$676
Crypto
21% 31% +$524
Tech
5% 30% -$39
Sports
1% 49% +$47
Pop-Culture
0% 14% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -100 $1 13¢ $-13 -$14 07-22 08:36
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? Yes +100 $0 7¢ $7 +$7 10-20 02:11
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +100 $10 6¢ $6 -$4 06-17 17:57
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -100 -$9 6¢ $-6 +$3 08-01 18:43
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +100 $4 6¢ $6 +$2 07-14 22:12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes +130 $1 4¢ $5 +$4 10-05 17:45
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? Yes -100 -$14 4¢ $-4 +$10 04-30 00:21
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? Yes +100 $9 4¢ $4 -$5 05-09 23:22
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 07-22 20:48
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? Yes +100 -$2 4¢ $4 +$6 09-11 13:46
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$1 4¢ $-4 -$3 07-11 07:44
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 -$4 4¢ $4 +$7 09-08 01:16
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$4 3¢ $-3 +$0 08-22 22:55
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$2 3¢ $-3 -$1 08-25 21:22
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $7 3¢ $3 -$4 06-11 21:33
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +3 -$10 89¢ $3 +$13 06-30 12:29
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes +100 $0 3¢ $3 +$3 09-29 18:48
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $9 3¢ $3 -$6 07-18 01:09
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $3 3¢ $3 $0 09-10 11:25
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? Yes +100 $0 3¢ $3 +$2 09-02 10:09
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +59 $3 4¢ $3 $0 06-15 05:34
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes -100 -$2 2¢ $-2 $0 09-22 18:20
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $7 2¢ $2 -$5 06-09 14:15
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -136 -$2 2¢ $-2 -$1 10-04 00:57
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +30 $0 8¢ $2 +$2 10-26 00:46
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -42 -$3 6¢ $-2 +$1 06-08 06:17
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? Yes +100 $7 2¢ $2 -$4 05-22 05:01
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $4 2¢ $2 -$2 07-22 20:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +117 $9 2¢ $2 -$6 10-30 07:17
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 05-02 11:06