Realized P&L
-$156
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved
105
Trades
1,646
lifetime
Volume
$12.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$120
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 02:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
59% 57% $-37
Politics
32% 33% $-13
Sports
5% 40% $-107
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +109 $78 74¢ $80 +$1 07-20 02:26
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +98 $30 30¢ $29 $-0 07-20 02:24
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $7 $3 $-4 07-01 20:58
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $3 $3 $-0 07-01 20:58
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +74 $4 $2 $-2 07-01 20:58
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +85 $3 $2 $-1 07-01 20:59
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -14 $-1 $-1 +$0 07-01 20:59