Realized P&L
-$100
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
49.7%
Resolved
442
Trades
845
lifetime
Volume
$3.13K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$87
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-02 01:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Crypto
45% 18% +$202
Other
30% 15% -$326
Politics
17% 16% +$83
Sports
8% 14% -$56
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,127 $9 2¢ $17 +$8 09-12 00:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +231 $20 6¢ $15 -$5 08-29 09:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +194 $7 4¢ $8 +$1 08-29 09:47
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +97 $7 7¢ $6 -$1 08-20 20:01
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +288 $5 2¢ $5 +$0 09-12 00:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +62 $5 8¢ $5 +$0 09-12 00:16
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +121 $23 4¢ $5 -$18 09-08 00:33
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? Yes +12 $2 28¢ $4 +$2 10-02 01:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +17 $3 17¢ $3 $0 06-10 18:57
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $2 8¢ $2 +$0 07-18 22:37
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? Yes +20 $2 10¢ $2 +$0 10-02 01:43
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026 Yes +5 $2 32¢ $2 $0 10-02 01:40
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +9 $2 14¢ $1 -$1 07-15 20:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +64 $4 2¢ $1 -$3 06-15 02:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? Yes +12 $3 10¢ $1 -$2 10-02 01:41
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 07-18 22:35
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +12 $1 8¢ $1 $0 09-08 00:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +222 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 09-28 00:10
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $1 3¢ $1 $0 07-18 22:35
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 3¢ $1 $0 07-18 22:35
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +49 $1 1¢ $1 $0 07-18 22:36
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $1 2¢ $1 $0 07-18 22:36
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? Yes +8 $1 7¢ $1 $0 10-02 01:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? Yes +14 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 10-02 01:41
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $1 1¢ $1 $0 07-18 22:36
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $1 2¢ $1 $0 07-18 22:36
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? Yes +5 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 10-02 01:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? Yes +54 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 10-02 01:41
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -4 -$1 10¢ $-0 +$1 07-11 02:12
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 07-18 22:36