Courageous-Gateway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$61

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

Trades

569

lifetime

Volume

$1.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-07 23:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

48% — —

Politics

26% 67% +$63

Other

25% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up		+50	$1	4¢	$2	+$1	04-25 00:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No		+11	$1	9¢	$1	$-0	06-07 23:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	6	$234	256	256	+0	open	—	01-31 17:14
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	23	$114	56,425	0	+56,425	open	—	02-03 23:10
will ethereum dip to 2400 january 26 1	2	$91	91	91	+0	open	—	01-31 17:15
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$54	48	54	-6	open	—	02-28 06:51
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	9	$47	222	63	+158	open	—	02-25 20:15
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	4	$46	42	42	+0	open	—	02-28 07:11
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$40	346	0	+346	open	—	02-25 02:59
will ethereum dip to 2500 january 26 1	3	$38	47	47	+0	open	—	01-31 14:58
will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	2	$38	36	36	+0	open	—	01-31 17:15
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	3	$36	30	30	+0	open	—	02-28 06:52
will ethereum dip to 2200 january 26 1	5	$35	56	56	+0	open	—	02-02 03:30
will israel or the us target tehran 812	3	$30	26	26	+0	open	—	02-28 06:53
another us government shutdown by february 14	7	$28	136	27	+108	open	—	02-14 18:27
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	7	$27	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	02-09 19:07
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	3	$25	22	22	+0	open	—	02-28 07:30
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$25	26	26	+0	open	—	02-28 06:57
will ethereum dip to 2300 january 26 1	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	01-31 19:46
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	11	$21	976	0	+976	open	—	02-19 18:35
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	11	$20	611	29	+582	open	—	02-28 06:59
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	4	$19	114	0	+114	open	—	04-27 14:42
will ethereum dip to 2600 january 26 1	2	$19	17	17	+0	open	—	01-31 14:57
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	3	$19	16	16	+0	open	—	02-28 06:56
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	3	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	02-28 07:04
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	3	$17	42	42	+0	open	—	01-27 11:52
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	5	$16	524	0	+524	open	—	02-25 02:51
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	04-21 18:24
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	4	$15	537	5	+532	open	—	01-30 21:51
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	5	$15	1,245	0	+1,245	open	—	02-25 20:14
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	3	$13	62	0	+62	open	—	06-07 01:39
will ilhan omar resign by march 31	6	$13	400	0	+400	open	—	02-26 22:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 23:56:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdae71f…
06-07 01:39:55	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xccff4f…
06-06 21:47:13	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xa56d79…
06-06 21:46:54	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc5d13e…
06-06 21:46:40	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x625163…
06-06 21:37:18	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x049780…
06-04 14:26:52	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$4	0x838bc1…
06-04 14:26:24	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	211	2¢	$4	0x8f4c8f…
06-04 14:26:07	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0x158eae…
06-04 14:25:06	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x1eb33a…
06-04 14:22:07	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x84b6b5…
06-04 14:21:42	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x028b53…
06-04 14:21:19	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x5ae92f…
06-04 14:20:58	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xb23a50…
06-04 14:20:39	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xad3515…
05-26 21:52:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x372bc8…
05-26 21:52:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x35ade2…
05-26 21:52:11	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x682b25…
05-26 21:51:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc3ecd7…
05-26 21:51:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x6bb6ac…
05-26 21:51:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x1f8a6a…
05-26 21:49:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xcfd8ab…
05-26 21:48:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x4a8897…
05-15 01:20:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x87b751…
05-15 01:18:47	Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x61968f…
05-15 01:18:21	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x72fc60…
05-15 01:17:53	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x59b376…
05-15 01:17:35	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xd84857…
05-15 01:15:15	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x520813…
05-15 01:14:51	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x7b06ea…
05-15 01:13:51	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xe6b672…
05-15 01:12:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa90685…
05-15 01:11:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5fe91b…
05-15 01:11:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1b461e…
05-12 02:19:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4a5e64…
05-08 15:59:58	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x631715…
05-02 02:29:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4efdd7…
05-02 02:26:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	270	0¢	$1	0x2daf15…
05-02 02:26:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xda57a9…
05-02 02:25:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x34fb63…
05-02 02:24:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0f3a96…
05-02 02:24:38	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x03b500…
05-02 02:24:26	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x4338fc…
05-02 02:24:12	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x7379ab…
05-02 02:23:52	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x117a4a…
05-02 02:23:42	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x781065…
05-02 02:22:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xa69f6f…
05-01 14:09:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x0299f4…
05-01 14:07:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5e7007…
05-01 14:05:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0xad85b5…
05-01 14:05:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xb4f3db…
05-01 14:02:46	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	185	1¢	$1	0xb9c8a6…
05-01 14:02:28	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x622db6…
05-01 14:02:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0xd0e203…
04-30 14:25:24	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0344e4…
04-30 14:24:42	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x07baee…
04-30 14:24:20	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf9f1a4…
04-29 19:13:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x56ef20…
04-29 19:12:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x5f2530…
04-29 18:15:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe60f77…
04-29 14:11:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1cdda6…
04-29 09:49:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xd64211…
04-27 14:45:56	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in April?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x7684ba…
04-27 14:45:18	Will Solana reach $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xe32246…
04-27 14:45:10	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xe153f9…
04-27 14:44:46	Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x1847a9…
04-27 14:44:38	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcec955…
04-27 14:44:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x70d14b…
04-27 14:43:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0x9bdd3f…
04-27 14:42:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xa49582…
04-27 14:42:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	57	5¢	$3	0x01c479…
04-27 14:42:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x5f63a5…
04-27 01:24:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 26?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x511a52…
04-26 20:53:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb3ebc9…
04-26 20:48:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xede4e2…
04-26 20:48:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x60a51e…
04-26 20:47:34	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x822009…
04-26 20:45:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xfc4511…
04-26 20:44:46	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x7035cf…
04-26 20:44:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x91d9f8…
04-26 20:31:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb06e55…
04-26 20:28:56	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x19a061…
04-26 20:28:32	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x852f32…
04-26 20:28:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xab8a99…
04-26 20:28:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x0003ff…
04-25 00:17:14	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x34317b…
04-25 00:14:54	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x9db96a…
04-25 00:14:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xdc0c5e…
04-25 00:13:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xce5880…
04-25 00:12:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x3f07ae…
04-25 00:12:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0xc0d6d1…
04-25 00:12:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	348	1¢	$3	0xc782a4…
04-25 00:11:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x237e70…
04-25 00:10:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x140346…
04-25 00:10:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xa2346c…
04-25 00:09:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xb42895…
04-25 00:08:02	will president trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in march	Yes	BUY	147	0¢	$1	0x309b34…
04-25 00:07:18	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x62b1d4…
04-25 00:06:50	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x8b5347…
04-25 00:05:32	XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xae6573…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	258	$1.86M	32,553	06-09 15:20
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	238	$281.5K	2,706	06-09 00:36
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	211	$339.4K	29,059	03-31 14:53
(anonymous) 0x4ffe…9f71	207	$44.6K	11,865	06-06 15:54
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	204	$126.5K	54,931	04-17 15:53
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	194	$22.6K	15,353	06-08 07:16
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	193	$32.8M	48,398	06-08 14:08
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	182	$23.0K	11,843	06-10 00:08