Pastel-Method 0x606d65…bf1aaf
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$79.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.55K
Hit rate
68.4%
Resolved
1,840
Trades
5,506
lifetime
Volume
$2.65M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$482
Open exposure
$87.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 07:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 228 days
Categories
Crypto
44% 71% -$7,735
Other
42% 71% +$42,405
Sports
11% 54% +$42,196
Politics
2% 62% +$330
Tech
1% 100% +$2,299
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -14,619 -$13,863 98¢ $-14363 -$500 10-18 20:15
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +17,163 $13,850 72¢ $12.3K -$1,578 10-25 20:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -12,446 -$12,879 97¢ $-12116 +$763 10-18 20:16
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -23,749 -$10,163 34¢ $-7956 +$2,207 09-17 19:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5,862 -$5,708 99¢ $-5789 -$81 10-18 20:15
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,787 $4,380 92¢ $4.4K +$0 10-17 07:57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +4,124 $3,235 86¢ $3.5K +$311 09-21 14:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3,663 $1,857 95¢ $3.5K +$1,625 10-18 21:40
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +4,444 $3,200 70¢ $3.1K -$67 10-27 07:48
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,883 $2,236 94¢ $2.7K +$488 10-24 12:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,616 $1,548 97¢ $2.5K +$985 10-18 20:15
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +2,507 $2,370 95¢ $2.4K +$21 10-18 20:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,965 $1,823 98¢ $1.9K +$106 09-10 08:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,770 $1,422 92¢ $1.6K +$215 10-27 08:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,647 $978 88¢ $1.5K +$479 10-18 20:16
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +1,884 $1,164 74¢ $1.4K +$221 10-27 07:47
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1,172 $1,117 96¢ $1.1K +$3 10-18 20:24
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +1,164 $1,099 96¢ $1.1K +$17 10-03 10:13
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,515 $1,015 66¢ $1.0K -$8 10-07 08:45
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +1,000 $890 97¢ $972 +$82 07-03 12:14
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -963 -$922 99¢ $-955 -$33 05-19 07:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +982 $700 72¢ $707 +$7 10-20 16:02
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +16,390 $10,225 2¢ $270 -$9,954 10-25 21:04
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +219 $206 96¢ $211 +$5 10-03 10:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +116 $100 82¢ $96 -$4 10-13 08:08
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +490 $50 10¢ $48 -$2 05-04 08:37
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +80 -$83 56¢ $45 +$128 10-19 17:53
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +37 $25 96¢ $35 +$10 09-14 17:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +22 $20 99¢ $21 +$1 09-16 12:00
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +28 $15 46¢ $13 -$2 09-14 17:47