Realized P&L
-$2.17K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.90K
Hit rate
1.8%
Resolved
2
Trades
5,743
lifetime
Volume
$9.53M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.66K
Open exposure
$1.08K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-22 21:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
64% 50% $-2,166
Other
31%
Crypto
5%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 373 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +315 $280 90¢ $283 +$3 07-22 21:17
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +2,758 $1,702 $245 $-1,457 06-07 23:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +544 $322 31¢ $169 $-154 06-19 00:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,984 $217 $63 $-153 06-12 09:44
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes +119 $94 53¢ $63 $-32 06-12 22:15
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -85 $-91 64¢ $-54 +$37 06-12 21:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +666 $100 $53 $-47 06-10 00:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +333 $103 16¢ $52 $-52 06-11 22:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +491 $105 10¢ $49 $-55 06-12 21:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +200 $38 22¢ $45 +$7 07-13 18:41