Motionless-Commonsense 0x122cdd…1f821f
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.17K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.13K
Hit rate
1.8%
Resolved
2
Trades
5,121
lifetime
Volume
$8.15M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.59K
Open exposure
$7.94K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-10 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
61% 50% $-2,166
Other
33% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 1103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +2,312 $2,129 94¢ $2.2K +$56 06-03 17:33
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +2,031 $1,789 90¢ $1.8K +$45 06-10 01:01
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +3,107 $1,399 52¢ $1.6K +$232 06-10 02:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1,665 $1,372 84¢ $1.4K +$35 06-10 01:01
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? Yes +373 $270 80¢ $296 +$26 06-10 00:26
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +2,758 $1,702 6¢ $178 $-1,524 06-07 23:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,448 $160 12¢ $166 +$7 06-10 02:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +666 $100 15¢ $97 $-3 06-10 00:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +357 $76 22¢ $77 +$0 06-10 03:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +207 $64 32¢ $65 +$1 06-10 01:55