Realized P&L
-$2.17K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.64K
Hit rate
1.8%
Resolved
2
Trades
5,680
lifetime
Volume
$9.53M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.68K
Open exposure
$1.03K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-28 00:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
64% 50% $-2,166
Other
31%
Crypto
5%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 1103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +544 $322 56¢ $302 $-20 06-19 00:20
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +2,758 $1,702 $174 $-1,529 06-07 23:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,984 $217 $169 $-48 06-12 09:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +333 $103 29¢ $95 $-8 06-11 22:05
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes +119 $94 67¢ $80 $-15 06-12 22:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +491 $105 16¢ $76 $-28 06-12 21:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +666 $100 11¢ $70 $-30 06-10 00:57
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -85 $-91 61¢ $-52 +$39 06-12 21:43
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +15 $13 90¢ $13 +$0 06-22 00:06