Motionless-Commonsense 0x122cdd…1f821f
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.66K
Unrealized P&L
-$44.0K
Hit rate
87.0%
Resolved
231
Trades
6,260
lifetime
Volume
$10.1M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.61K
Open exposure
$330.5K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-29 21:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Politics
64% 70% -$14,344
Other
31% 75% +$17,099
Crypto
4% 100% +$4,585
Tech
1% 83% +$516
Sports
0% 40% -$200
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -325,853 -$244,068 82¢ $-268014 -$23,946 10-29 17:51
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -301,339 -$33,834 18¢ $-53488 -$19,653 10-29 17:52
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -9,000 -$8,280 94¢ $-8415 -$135 10-29 17:47
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -6,579 -$461 6¢ $-428 +$33 10-29 17:47
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +120 $42 48¢ $57 +$15 10-29 21:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -222 -$44 18¢ $-41 +$3 05-07 08:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +333 $103 3¢ $9 -$94 06-11 22:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +446 $96 2¢ $7 -$89 10-29 17:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +194 $99 2¢ $4 -$95 10-29 17:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +0 -$27 4¢ $0 +$27 10-23 18:40
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +0 $43 4¢ $0 -$43 08-23 13:54