Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$920

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

1,323

Trades

26,200

lifetime

Volume

$769.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$204

5 positions

First seen

2026-07-15

last 10-28 19:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

66% 80% +$715

Politics

20% 75% +$283

Sports

14% 79% +$15

Crypto

1% 67% -$93

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 2282 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+105	$98	90¢	$95	-$2	10-15 10:38
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	+90	$76	86¢	$78	+$2	10-28 18:18
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+24	-$20	74¢	$18	+$38	10-28 20:47
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+20	$7	36¢	$7	+$1	10-28 20:18
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+24	$45	26¢	$6	-$39	10-28 07:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2,617	$115.4K	74,080	74,080	+0	No	+$155	10-25 23:56
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	645	$28.8K	17,908	17,908	+0	Yes	+$131	10-25 23:54
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	643	$15.5K	8,314	8,314	+0	No	+$37	10-26 22:50
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	655	$12.8K	8,883	8,863	+20	Yes	+$21	10-26 22:50
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	625	$12.3K	7,874	7,874	+0	No	+$44	10-26 22:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	84	$8.0K	4,213	4,213	+0	Yes	+$4	10-28 18:00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	289	$7.1K	5,789	5,724	+65	No	+$49	07-19 22:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	84	$7.1K	3,687	3,687	+0	No	+$3	10-28 18:00
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	215	$5.7K	4,153	4,153	+0	Spain	+$21	07-19 22:01
Wuhan Tennis Open: Hanyu Guo vs Sorana Cirstea	208	$5.4K	3,625	3,602	+23	Hanyu Guo	-$8	10-13 08:18
Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz	126	$5.1K	3,461	3,461	+0	Taylor Fritz	+$16	10-22 16:10
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	129	$5.1K	4,056	4,007	+48	open	—	10-28 20:47
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	144	$4.8K	2,956	2,891	+65	Yes	-$29	07-15 21:02
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	203	$4.2K	2,949	2,949	+0	Yes	+$20	07-19 22:01
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	73	$3.9K	2,058	2,058	+0	open	—	10-28 10:28
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	226	$3.8K	2,554	2,554	+0	No	+$2	07-19 22:32
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	127	$3.8K	2,745	2,685	+60	No	-$13	07-15 20:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	172	$3.5K	2,336	2,336	+0	Yes	+$4	07-29 16:08
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	125	$3.5K	2,582	2,582	+0	Argentina	+$46	07-15 21:02
wta navarro boisson 2026 08 30	91	$3.4K	2,204	2,048	+156	Emma Navarro	-$7	08-31 17:34
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	94	$3.2K	1,968	1,946	+23	West Indies	-$38	10-09 17:11
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	53	$3.0K	1,665	1,620	+45	Team Yandex	+$20	09-26 14:31
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	177	$2.9K	2,626	2,626	+0	No	-$22	07-19 10:44
European Open: David Goffin vs Alex Michelsen	45	$2.7K	1,404	1,404	+0	Alex Michelsen	+$6	10-22 14:48
US Open WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic	118	$2.7K	1,863	1,683	+180	Yulia Putintseva	-$18	09-01 21:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	94	$2.7K	1,685	1,685	+0	No	+$2	07-29 16:07
Barranquilla: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Leolia Jeanjean	63	$2.7K	1,485	1,440	+45	Leolia Jeanjean	+$4	09-10 23:53
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	96	$2.6K	1,552	1,552	+0	No	+$8	07-19 21:13
wta tjen andreev 2026 08 18	96	$2.5K	1,353	1,353	+0	Mirra Andreeva	+$4	08-18 18:29
wta olmo masarov 2026 10 15	117	$2.4K	2,168	1,896	+272	Rebeka Masarova	+$54	10-16 10:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:47:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	80	74¢	$59	0xd107e4…
10-28 20:45:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	80	73¢	$59	0x8cf828…
10-28 20:24:25	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	80	74¢	$59	0x3957c6…
10-28 20:18:59	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x860ecd…
10-28 20:17:38	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1dfdb8…
10-28 20:17:34	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x8e55d2…
10-28 20:17:29	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x52cf6a…
10-28 20:17:20	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x5018e4…
10-28 20:17:19	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xf52655…
10-28 20:15:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0x1c2bc8…
10-28 19:40:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	36	73¢	$26	0x1d1ad4…
10-28 19:35:19	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	44	74¢	$33	0x010d6e…
10-28 19:34:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0x2460fc…
10-28 19:32:58	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	80	74¢	$59	0xcd4a57…
10-28 19:25:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	80	73¢	$58	0x2a1c03…
10-28 18:57:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	80	74¢	$60	0x76be47…
10-28 18:18:05	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x816fd8…
10-28 18:18:04	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x4ba6ba…
10-28 18:17:59	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x4a06f1…
10-28 18:17:59	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0x4a06f1…
10-28 18:00:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x491056…
10-28 18:00:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	98¢	$118	0x7a6b84…
10-28 18:00:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x015e90…
10-28 17:59:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	98¢	$117	0xaa9c7e…
10-28 17:59:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$118	0x9fe49d…
10-28 17:59:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	97¢	$117	0xd0c857…
10-28 17:57:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	98¢	$117	0x57c3cf…
10-28 17:57:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x016baf…
10-28 17:57:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	93	98¢	$91	0x83a62c…
10-28 17:56:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	97¢	$117	0x06a1d9…
10-28 17:55:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	97¢	$117	0xf8f9b0…
10-28 17:55:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	97¢	$117	0x29d423…
10-28 17:54:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x75e10f…
10-28 17:54:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	87	97¢	$85	0x9036c9…
10-28 17:54:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	97¢	$117	0xd018c4…
10-28 17:52:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	97¢	$117	0xb35cbe…
10-28 17:51:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	97¢	$116	0x4ebb60…
10-28 17:50:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	97¢	$117	0x692ffb…
10-28 17:49:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xa82be2…
10-28 17:49:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$36	0x424228…
10-28 17:49:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	97¢	$117	0x3b45fe…
10-28 17:49:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xd46417…
10-28 17:48:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x5999f5…
10-28 17:48:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x16acac…
10-28 17:48:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	97¢	$117	0xa9a456…
10-28 17:48:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	97¢	$117	0x5e3814…
10-28 17:47:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	97¢	$117	0xac59f2…
10-28 17:47:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x10b400…
10-28 17:47:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	107	97¢	$103	0x8adc16…
10-28 17:46:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	97¢	$116	0x150eee…
10-28 17:46:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	97¢	$116	0x24247d…
10-28 17:46:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0x033703…
10-28 17:45:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0xc2b13b…
10-28 17:45:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0x62614a…
10-28 17:45:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	113	97¢	$110	0x788676…
10-28 17:44:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$77	0x00f107…
10-28 17:43:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x91bad1…
10-28 17:41:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	96¢	$116	0x22be24…
10-28 17:41:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	96¢	$116	0xdb74ea…
10-28 17:39:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	96¢	$116	0x6283d8…
10-28 17:38:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	97¢	$116	0x1903fb…
10-28 17:33:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	96¢	$116	0xaac34d…
10-28 17:33:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	96¢	$116	0xe41cd7…
10-28 17:33:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	96¢	$116	0x824ac2…
10-28 17:33:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	92	96¢	$89	0x46f6a6…
10-28 17:33:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	96¢	$116	0xc1dd8b…
10-28 17:33:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x812d64…
10-28 17:33:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	96¢	$116	0x1f133d…
10-28 17:28:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	96¢	$115	0x622e5f…
10-28 17:23:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	96¢	$115	0x5839eb…
10-28 17:21:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0xcbf025…
10-28 17:21:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0x607458…
10-28 17:21:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	96¢	$115	0x8d6d23…
10-28 17:21:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	96¢	$115	0xa72ac9…
10-28 17:20:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0xcd3a90…
10-28 17:19:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0x120684…
10-28 17:14:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x67c7f8…
10-28 17:12:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0xfad8b4…
10-28 17:12:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0x831c03…
10-28 17:12:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x0f01ec…
10-28 17:09:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x035567…
10-28 17:07:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x3c318c…
10-28 17:06:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x3a7ce0…
10-28 17:06:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0xd0aaef…
10-28 17:05:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	115	95¢	$110	0x369491…
10-28 17:05:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	115	95¢	$110	0xd57937…
10-28 17:05:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x101e40…
10-28 16:56:34	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	80	74¢	$59	0xbe9cdc…
10-28 16:41:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	80	74¢	$59	0xdb5e2c…
10-28 16:39:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0xae159f…
10-28 16:36:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xc3d684…
10-28 16:25:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x6682b5…
10-28 16:24:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x8e7205…
10-28 16:18:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x38992b…
10-28 16:18:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	99	95¢	$94	0x68ce66…
10-28 16:18:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xf1dae1…
10-28 16:16:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x78f9ee…
10-28 16:12:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xa50b17…
10-28 16:10:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	80	72¢	$58	0xda99f6…
10-28 16:09:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	80	76¢	$61	0x801907…