Zealous-Dogwood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.23K

Hit rate

43.2%

Resolved

442

Trades

4,080

lifetime

Volume

$157.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$914

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 09-26 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Other

62% 69% -$22,630

Crypto

24% 9% -$11,378

Politics

14% 4% -$15,966

Sports

0% 67% -$96

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+8,660	$1,027	4¢	$346	-$681	08-10 21:56
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	+3,326	$352	8¢	$283	-$69	09-25 02:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+9,805	$385	1¢	$123	-$262	08-04 16:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4,410	$188	2¢	$99	-$89	09-22 22:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+2,074	$81	2¢	$43	-$38	09-22 22:37
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	-646	$68	3¢	$-21	-$89	09-26 14:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	62	$18.2K	232,067	180,000	+52,067	Yes	-$13,703	09-21 02:46
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	71	$17.2K	25,299	4,623	+20,676	No	-$10,222	03-31 14:11
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$13.8K	7,547	7,547	+0	Yes	+$1,229	03-30 18:48
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	58	$5.6K	45,227	45,872	-646	open	—	09-26 14:55
bitcoin above 60k on june 25 2026	16	$5.4K	9,740	9,740	+0	No	+$3,908	06-25 14:10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	131	$5.0K	13,489	6,255	+7,234	No	+$226	08-10 14:58
bitcoin above 58k on june 28 2026	24	$4.1K	16,213	11,132	+5,081	Yes	+$1,034	06-26 03:56
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	79	$4.0K	8,746	16	+8,730	No	-$4,020	08-15 09:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	18	$3.3K	13,762	0	+13,762	No	-$3,299	06-07 20:53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	52	$3.2K	3,948	4,348	-400	Yes	+$345	06-23 15:19
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	43	$2.6K	2,615	1,713	+902	Yes	+$795	08-10 17:43
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	3	$1.9K	1,825	525	+1,300	No	+$451	08-07 05:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	22	$1.7K	354,165	0	+354,165	No	-$1,696	06-03 23:57
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	31	$1.7K	1,785	300	+1,485	No	+$423	08-08 15:45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	56	$1.5K	4,578	2,382	+2,195	No	-$681	08-07 13:22
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	21	$1.4K	1,776	2,026	-250	Yes	+$28	06-19 15:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	4	$1.4K	43,348	0	+43,348	No	-$1,402	04-22 01:08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	21	$1.2K	2,022	2,000	+22	Yes	-$99	06-16 14:28
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	44	$1.2K	12,500	5,738	+6,762	No	-$793	04-01 06:17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	9	$1.1K	1,100	500	+600	Yes	+$403	08-04 13:57
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	12	$1.1K	2,256	2,656	-400	No	+$180	06-20 17:27
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	11	$1.1K	1,273	2,273	-1,000	No	+$630	06-28 21:41
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	17	$1.1K	5,053	5,053	+0	No	-$980	03-31 16:33
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	12	$1.1K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$1,100	03-13 00:13
will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	20	$1.1K	22,423	14,802	+7,621	No	-$85	09-23 14:30
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	5	$1.1K	5,786	2,460	+3,326	open	—	09-25 02:09
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	41	$1.1K	2,045	0	+2,045	Yes	-$1,078	08-12 03:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	14	$1.0K	8,660	0	+8,660	open	—	08-10 21:56
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	06-23 15:20
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	06-25 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 14:55:26	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	3¢	$4	0x36ca52…
09-26 13:21:11	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,922	3¢	$67	0x60c4b9…
09-25 19:24:56	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	1,546	3¢	$43	0x4eb74d…
09-25 12:26:17	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe29ff1…
09-25 11:40:26	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc314ec…
09-25 11:33:53	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	465	3¢	$13	0xda9afc…
09-25 11:14:35	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xd74133…
09-25 11:14:11	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0x28e104…
09-25 11:14:08	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	168	3¢	$5	0xa55f7d…
09-25 11:12:17	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0x1e0e6c…
09-25 11:12:15	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xa63a0f…
09-25 11:11:50	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xdc9bff…
09-25 11:11:48	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xbc3805…
09-25 11:11:47	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xffdc76…
09-25 09:36:48	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	514	3¢	$14	0x1a0044…
09-25 09:31:36	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	180	3¢	$5	0x8ae566…
09-25 09:31:03	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	180	3¢	$5	0xc5e78f…
09-25 09:30:57	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	180	3¢	$5	0x7a3a99…
09-25 09:30:56	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	180	3¢	$5	0xcb6f1c…
09-25 09:28:14	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	180	3¢	$5	0xa24868…
09-25 09:09:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	Yes	BUY	165	3¢	$5	0x2eaf6e…
09-25 02:30:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xbbd32b…
09-25 02:09:48	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,062	11¢	$227	0x55050c…
09-25 02:05:12	Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,898	2¢	$54	0xe2a830…
09-25 01:08:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	2,500	22¢	$548	0xb394c1…
09-25 01:01:45	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,218	3¢	$113	0xd95825…
09-23 14:30:53	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	5,297	2¢	$95	0xdda930…
09-23 14:27:13	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	340	2¢	$6	0xdb7364…
09-23 14:26:44	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	266	2¢	$5	0xc34fcd…
09-23 04:04:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	Yes	BUY	134	35¢	$47	0x496ab8…
09-23 03:59:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	Yes	BUY	90	35¢	$31	0xb3c293…
09-23 03:59:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	Yes	BUY	776	35¢	$272	0x25c863…
09-23 03:40:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5,466	5¢	$273	0xcc3a3c…
09-23 02:30:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,573	1¢	$20	0xde5c9a…
09-23 02:23:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0x0d97a0…
09-23 01:45:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x86bf3d…
09-23 01:45:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x6119b9…
09-23 01:38:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe3730d…
09-23 01:36:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0xf3b939…
09-23 00:50:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	214	5¢	$11	0x91a62b…
09-23 00:50:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,000	17¢	$170	0xbfb1c3…
09-22 23:29:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x6e1ed1…
09-22 22:37:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,074	4¢	$81	0x9abc98…
09-22 22:36:40	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	504	15¢	$76	0x3ec120…
09-22 22:35:49	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	3¢	$7	0x0bf3a9…
09-22 22:35:41	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,105	3¢	$37	0xe8926e…
09-22 22:35:31	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	3¢	$165	0xf5de89…
09-22 22:35:26	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,599	3¢	$115	0xce4ad5…
09-22 22:34:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?	Yes	BUY	422	18¢	$75	0x4a2cf7…
09-22 22:33:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	2,108	19¢	$410	0x64e92e…
09-22 22:32:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Yes	BUY	179	1¢	$2	0xc5f45d…
09-22 22:30:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	BUY	885	3¢	$26	0xd9233f…
09-22 22:28:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,531	3¢	$109	0x84b99c…
09-22 22:26:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xf623b7…
09-22 19:02:21	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	590	2¢	$11	0xdbdad0…
09-22 16:36:22	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x486695…
09-22 15:46:07	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	2,296	2¢	$41	0x6e6468…
09-22 15:29:25	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	1,099	2¢	$20	0xeb0a94…
09-22 15:04:15	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x26a9ce…
09-22 15:03:18	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x978a2c…
09-22 13:26:37	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5,174	2¢	$93	0xababcd…
09-22 11:41:51	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2620fb…
09-22 11:41:25	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	322	2¢	$6	0xa495e6…
09-22 10:28:51	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xb9e083…
09-22 10:18:19	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x5c803a…
09-22 09:53:15	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x51f262…
09-22 09:53:01	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xe7f25f…
09-22 09:46:57	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xf61bf5…
09-21 19:21:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	3,569	2¢	$64	0xe06d61…
09-21 02:46:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	70,000	1¢	$700	0x8ac123…
09-21 02:16:07	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	50,000	1¢	$527	0x6a2ff6…
09-21 00:29:04	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2,441	2¢	$41	0xe96c17…
09-21 00:24:52	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	57,559	2¢	$979	0x0e2e94…
09-20 22:35:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,759	4¢	$67	0xad80f5…
09-20 22:02:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Yes	BUY	272	4¢	$10	0xce30e0…
09-20 22:02:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x66d3d1…
09-20 21:16:19	Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	324	5¢	$16	0x8a9ff5…
09-20 21:14:13	Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	176	5¢	$9	0x31d3e3…
09-20 20:12:29	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	131	2¢	$3	0x7bc14a…
09-20 20:12:13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x4b6fea…
09-20 20:12:02	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	30,000	2¢	$690	0x0dd8b1…
09-20 20:11:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x927029…
09-20 20:11:29	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	24,493	2¢	$526	0xf4737a…
09-20 20:03:40	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	11,331	0¢	$11	0x5a1bc3…
09-20 20:03:02	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$15	0x0d088f…
09-20 20:02:41	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	20,000	2¢	$360	0xf71770…
09-20 20:01:29	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	35,322	2¢	$772	0xfacaf1…
09-20 20:01:29	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	137	2¢	$3	0x265ae5…
09-20 19:17:58	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,001	4¢	$82	0xb5df80…
09-20 19:17:52	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xdee163…
09-20 19:17:40	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	494	4¢	$20	0xb10c56…
09-20 19:16:43	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6,529	4¢	$274	0x2661bd…
09-20 19:16:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	8,900	5¢	$401	0x4084e9…
09-20 19:11:08	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,850	4¢	$83	0xe403a2…
09-20 19:10:01	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	22,000	4¢	$904	0xadf155…
09-20 19:08:05	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6,000	4¢	$252	0xb2020c…
09-20 18:59:40	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xdbacb6…
09-20 18:59:11	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x619b25…
09-20 18:59:04	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x6b17a6…
09-20 18:59:01	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x5c3c69…